View all newsletters
Sign up to our newsletters

Support 110 years of independent journalism.

  1. Politics
  2. The Staggers
8 September 2016

In the fight over grammar schools, the man to watch is Michael Gove

Grammar schools will be a tough fight for the government - and Michael Gove may decide the outcome. 

By Stephen Bush

People say grammar schools are divisive, but they’re wrong: they are the only policy on which you can unite Jeremy Corbyn, Michael Gove, the Liberal Democrats, Policy Exchange, the head of Ofsted and the teaching unions.

The consensus among policy thinkers is near-universal: selection at 11 doesn’t work. Even in Germany, in many ways the model to which a raft of politicians – most notably Ed Miliband – aspire to emulate, their selective model is one of the biggest drags on social mobility.

On left and right, though there is a fierce argument about how you get there, there is a consensus among policymakers that the ingredients of a good school are clear: high-quality teachers and effective leadership.

And we forget now, when grammar schools consistently attract the support of a plurality and in some polls a majority of voters, that by the time that Anthony Crosland triggered their abolition, they had become toxic with most voters, because the losers from the grammar school system outnumbered the winners.

So the policy argument in favour of a return to grammar schools is stacked heavily against them, making it a tricky fight for Downing Street.

Select and enter your email address Your weekly guide to the best writing on ideas, politics, books and culture every Saturday. The best way to sign up for The Saturday Read is via saturdayread.substack.com The New Statesman's quick and essential guide to the news and politics of the day. The best way to sign up for Morning Call is via morningcall.substack.com Our Thursday ideas newsletter, delving into philosophy, criticism, and intellectual history. The best way to sign up for The Salvo is via thesalvo.substack.com Stay up to date with NS events, subscription offers & updates. Weekly analysis of the shift to a new economy from the New Statesman's Spotlight on Policy team.
  • Administration / Office
  • Arts and Culture
  • Board Member
  • Business / Corporate Services
  • Client / Customer Services
  • Communications
  • Construction, Works, Engineering
  • Education, Curriculum and Teaching
  • Environment, Conservation and NRM
  • Facility / Grounds Management and Maintenance
  • Finance Management
  • Health - Medical and Nursing Management
  • HR, Training and Organisational Development
  • Information and Communications Technology
  • Information Services, Statistics, Records, Archives
  • Infrastructure Management - Transport, Utilities
  • Legal Officers and Practitioners
  • Librarians and Library Management
  • Management
  • Marketing
  • OH&S, Risk Management
  • Operations Management
  • Planning, Policy, Strategy
  • Printing, Design, Publishing, Web
  • Projects, Programs and Advisors
  • Property, Assets and Fleet Management
  • Public Relations and Media
  • Purchasing and Procurement
  • Quality Management
  • Science and Technical Research and Development
  • Security and Law Enforcement
  • Service Delivery
  • Sport and Recreation
  • Travel, Accommodation, Tourism
  • Wellbeing, Community / Social Services
Visit our privacy Policy for more information about our services, how New Statesman Media Group may use, process and share your personal data, including information on your rights in respect of your personal data and how you can unsubscribe from future marketing communications.
THANK YOU

But park the policy for a moment – what about the politics? Passing new grammar schools through the Houses of Parliament – which, thanks to Labour’s decision in 1998 to ban the creation of new grammars, would be necessary – is a tricky task.

The government doesn’t have a manifesto commitment to reintroduce grammar schools which means that the House of Lords can vote it down if it so chooses – the government doesn’t have a majority in the upper house and it’s difficult to see where it would find one.

The government could pass it by use of the Parliament Act, which means the Lords can only delay a bill by a year – last used to ban fox hunting back in 2004 – but that requires passing it through the House of Commons, which may be trickier than it looks.

The government only has a majority of 12, something which both Downing Street and Whitehall generally are all too aware. Passing policy with such a small majority is unfamiliar to all but a small handful of very old hands – for the last 19 years every incumbent government has had a large majority, from Labour’s landslide years to the 77-seat majority enjoyed by the coalition government – and that, as well as May’s dislike of insubstantial legislation in search of a quick headline, is one reason why what comes before Parliament will be the subject of great care.

The re-creation of grammar schools is a significant repudiaton for the Gove agenda that every school should achieve excellence, and if the former Secretary of State lends his voice, that will embolden MPs on the Conservative left to vote against the measure. Gove’s incentive to do so would be personal as well as political. There is no love lost between he and May, who as well as disagreeing on substantial matters of policy have wildly divergent approaches to politics. 

But – and this is one of the wider difficulties for the Osborne-Gove tendency, purged en masse when May put her government together – although being defeated over grammar schools won’t have anyone opening the champagne in Number 10, being the architect of that loss would near-certainly bring about the end of Gove’s slim hopes of a return to the top table of politics.

If there is a path back to relevancy for Gove and his allies, it almost certainly lies with the Tory right, who, like Gove in his appearances in the chamber thus far, support a swifter – and more economically damaging – version of Brexit than that favoured by Theresa May. But those would-be allies are also die-hard supporters of a return to grammars.

So what Gove does over the coming days and weeks will be instructive – does he attempt to defend his existing political legacy, or abandon it in search of the longshot return to the top table? 

Content from our partners
Data science can help developers design future-proof infrastructure
How to tackle the UK's plastic pollution problem – with Coca-Cola
The hard truth about soft skills

Select and enter your email address Your weekly guide to the best writing on ideas, politics, books and culture every Saturday. The best way to sign up for The Saturday Read is via saturdayread.substack.com The New Statesman's quick and essential guide to the news and politics of the day. The best way to sign up for Morning Call is via morningcall.substack.com Our Thursday ideas newsletter, delving into philosophy, criticism, and intellectual history. The best way to sign up for The Salvo is via thesalvo.substack.com Stay up to date with NS events, subscription offers & updates. Weekly analysis of the shift to a new economy from the New Statesman's Spotlight on Policy team.
  • Administration / Office
  • Arts and Culture
  • Board Member
  • Business / Corporate Services
  • Client / Customer Services
  • Communications
  • Construction, Works, Engineering
  • Education, Curriculum and Teaching
  • Environment, Conservation and NRM
  • Facility / Grounds Management and Maintenance
  • Finance Management
  • Health - Medical and Nursing Management
  • HR, Training and Organisational Development
  • Information and Communications Technology
  • Information Services, Statistics, Records, Archives
  • Infrastructure Management - Transport, Utilities
  • Legal Officers and Practitioners
  • Librarians and Library Management
  • Management
  • Marketing
  • OH&S, Risk Management
  • Operations Management
  • Planning, Policy, Strategy
  • Printing, Design, Publishing, Web
  • Projects, Programs and Advisors
  • Property, Assets and Fleet Management
  • Public Relations and Media
  • Purchasing and Procurement
  • Quality Management
  • Science and Technical Research and Development
  • Security and Law Enforcement
  • Service Delivery
  • Sport and Recreation
  • Travel, Accommodation, Tourism
  • Wellbeing, Community / Social Services
Visit our privacy Policy for more information about our services, how New Statesman Media Group may use, process and share your personal data, including information on your rights in respect of your personal data and how you can unsubscribe from future marketing communications.
THANK YOU