It’s not all over for Badenoch
Nigel Farage might be looming in the wings, but the Conservatives are still the true opposition.
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Polling
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Polling
Hard right on course to win big in Germany
New polling from YouGov puts the Social Democrats in third place, behind Alternative for Germany.
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Is Farage winning the youth vote?
Beneath headline polls, the question is more complicated than it seems.
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Labour is heading for disaster in Wales
After the next Senedd election, the right could form a government.
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Labour is losing big in the council by-election sweepstakes
The electorate is more fluid than ever. How worried should the government be?
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Are partisan pollsters calling the election wrong?
I have updated my model to exclude polls connected with a party.
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Trump or Harris, who will win? The New Statesman’s US election forecast
Our model predicts a very close contest.
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How Kamala Harris wins in Pennsylvania
One poll has Democrats out-performing expectations with white voters in the Rust Belt.
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