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17 November 2010

Labour opens up a five-point lead over the Tories

New poll gives Labour its largest lead since 2007.

By George Eaton

Poll

Latest poll (YouGov/Sun) Labour majority of 60.

When I noted yesterday that Labour had led the Conservatives in two consecutive opinion polls for the first time since 2007, I added the caveat that it could be a short-term blip.

But the latest YouGov poll, which puts Labour five points ahead of the Tories — the party’s largest lead since the phantom election — suggests the tide really is beginning to turn against the coalition. Support for the Tories has fallen three points to 37 per cent and the Lib Dems are still flatlining on 10 per cent. If repeated at a general election on a uniform swing, the latest figures would give Labour a majority of sixty seats.

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New Statesman Poll of Polls

Poll

Hung parliament, Labour majority of six.

I expect the Conservatives will wryly note that Labour’s surge in the polls coincides with Ed Miliband’s absence from Westminster (he’s on paternity leave). At this rate, they’ll be looking forward to his return.