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20 April 2010

Lib Dems back in first place in new YouGov poll

Lib Dems up to 34 per cent in new poll, three points ahead of the Tories.

By George Eaton

New Statesman - Polls Guide_1271791628967

Latest poll (Sun/YouGov) Labour 60 seats short of a majority.

The latest daily YouGov poll has just been published and it’s more good news for Nick Clegg. The poll puts the Lib Dems up three points to 34 per cent, their best score ever with YouGov, and back in front of the Conservatives. The Tories are down two to 31 per cent and Labour is down one to 26 per cent.

If repeated at the election on a uniform swing, the figures would again leave Labour as the largest single party, 60 seats short of a majority.

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New Statesman Poll of Polls

New Statesman - Polls Guide_1271797351269

Hung parliament, Labour 73 seats short.

Elsewhere, a new PoliticalBetting/Angus Reid survey also has the Lib Dems regaining the top spot. The poll puts Clegg’s party up one to 33 per cent, with the Tories unchanged on 32 per cent and Labour down one to just 23 per cent.

Finally, the latest Times/Populus poll (written up by the sage Peter Riddell here), the first since the TV debate, puts the Lib Dems up 10 points to 31 per cent, a point behind the Tories who are down four to 32 per cent. Labour is down five to 28 per cent.

We’re still expecting a new ComRes poll later tonight, which Andrew Hawkins has promised is a “humdinger”.

UPDATE: The ComRes poll has just been released and it should settle a few nerves in CCHQ The poll puts the Tories up three points to 35 per cent, with Labour down two to 26 per cent and the Lib Dems also down two to 26 per cent.

But it’s worth noting that the fieldwork for the poll took place on Sunday and Monday, so it’s a day older than the other three out tonight. If the Lib Dem poll surge really had ended, I expect we would have seen evidence of it in those polls tonight.