Does Humza Yousaf’s resignation help or hurt Scottish Labour?
A new SNP leader could prove more of an electoral challenge than the beleaguered incumbent.
Humza Yousaf has resigned as SNP leader after he realised that he would not survive two confidence votes later this week. It marks the end of a short, unsuccessful tenure as Nicola Sturgeon’s successor. Yousaf failed to reverse the sense of decay surrounding the party. He was weighed down by the ongoing police investigation into SNP finances, a botched approach to gender policy and the party infighting that followed Sturgeon’s departure. But it was the relationship with the SNP’s coalition partners, the Scottish Greens, that proved fatal. After he last week abandoned the Bute House Agreement with the Greens following internal pressure (something that Kate Forbes called for in her exclusive interview with Jason Cowley last December), the Greens suggested that ...
Ireland’s threat to send back migrants is helpful for Rishi Sunak
The Prime Minister can argue that the Rwanda plan is having a deterrent effect.
Five months ago, an anti-migrant riot set Dublin ablaze. The scenes punctured the perception among some UK politicians that Ireland was this cosy, progressive paradise in the face of insurgent nationalism around Europe. That is the context for the rising prominence of immigration in Irish politics. This week the new taoiseach – the young, affable, career politician Simon Harris – called for Ireland’s cabinet to look at ways to send migrants back to the UK after his government said the Rwanda scheme meant more asylum seekers were heading to Ireland. The Irish justice minister Helen McEntee said last week that more than 80 per cent of those applying for asylum in Ireland were thought to have crossed over the border with ...
Will Rishi Sunak survive the local elections?
The prospect of sweeping Tory losses means this is a moment of real danger for the Prime Minister.
Cast your mind back to 6 May 2021. The UK was still slowly creeping out of lockdown, with socialising indoors in most settings still banned. The Covid vaccine roll-out was under way, with around half the population having received their first jab. And Boris Johnson was enjoying a bounce in the polls as Keir Starmer struggled to cement his authority (in a critical essay for the New Statesman, Tony Blair warned that Labour was “asking whether Keir is the right leader”). It feels like a different era – one that, perhaps, many of us have tried to forget. But that was the context in which the suite of local council seats up for grabs this Thursday (2 May) was last fought. ...
Humza Yousaf is finished
“Humza the Brief” is Alex Salmond’s brutal epithet for Scotland’s hapless First Minister.
“Humza the Brief” is Alex Salmond’s brutal epithet for Scotland’s hapless First Minister. Humza Yousaf may not be gone yet – and may still survive a motion of no confidence at Holyrood next week – but he is done. All authority has fled; the mission has failed and needs to be aborted. His senior colleagues in the SNP know this and internal discussions have begun about who should replace him, and when – either in the coming weeks or after the general election if he can stagger on. Former leadership candidate Kate Forbes is being advised by allies to prepare a smarter campaign than last time, and Education Secretary Jenny Gilruth is said to be on manoeuvres. Will they wait for ...
Labour’s rail plans show Keir Starmer’s cautious populism
The commitment to take the industry back into public ownership is a victory for the soft left.
Labour has announced plans to nationalise the railway operators by folding them into a publicly owned company, Great British Railways, on a rolling basis as the contracts come up for renewal. The idea is that this will allow Labour to take the railways back into public ownership without large compensation bills. As George writes in an excellent interview with Louise Haigh, Labour’s shadow transport secretary: "The Sheffield Heeley MP, 36, who is one of the shadow cabinet’s leading ‘soft left’ members (alongside Angela Rayner and Ed Miliband), is unambiguous about the alternative she would pursue: renationalisation. ‘We will bring those remaining operators – there are ten left on the railway contracts model – back into public ownership,’ she said, 30 years ...
Humza Yousaf has turned on the Scottish Greens too late
The First Minister’s decision to end the power-sharing deal looks panicked rather than strategic.
Earlier this week, questioned about the tottering coalition between the SNP and the Scottish Greens, Humza Yousaf said that he “thoroughly enjoyed” the partnership. “We’ve achieved a lot and I hope the cooperation agreement will continue.” This was consistent with all his utterances on the topic since he became First Minister just over a year ago. Humza loved the deal. By today, under intense pressure from his own MSPs and MPs and with his government in open crisis, he had changed his mind. Following an emergency 8.30am cabinet meeting at Bute House, Yousaf announced that the coalition was over and that the SNP would govern as a minority administration until the next Holyrood election in 2026. He told the Green co-leaders ...
The Rwanda bill may fail – but it will cause Labour problems
Keir Starmer will be vulnerable on immigration if he enters Downing Street.
Just before midnight the Lords backed down to let the Rwanda bill become law. It aims to protect the scheme from legal challenges by declaring that Rwanda is indeed a safe country to send migrants. Rishi Sunak has said he expects flights to take off throughout the summer. This is the government’s third law to crack down on asylum seekers crossing the Channel. The previous two did not work, and it’s unclear whether this one will produce a different result. The political gamble is that flights leaving the tarmac for Africa will restore the government’s credibility on immigration. In other words, proof-of-concept could get them a hearing from a public that has long stopped listening. At that point, it would try ...
Should Labour fear the Greens?
The party is poised to win an MP in Bristol but becoming a national force is a different matter.
Bristol is not a city that disguises its radicalism. The walls are festooned with street art and graffiti (Banksy is a former resident). The local Patagonia store features placards declaring “Net Zero Is Not Enough”, “Frack Off” and “There’s No Planet B”. Clues that the city may soon elect the UK’s second-ever Green MP surround you. An MRP poll in February by Electoral Calculus projected that the Greens would win the new Bristol Central seat with 52 per cent of the vote to Labour’s 39 per cent. The woman bidding to oust the shadow culture secretary, Thangam Debbonaire, is Carla Denyer, the Greens’ co-leader and one of 25 city councillors (making them the largest party). “People say, ‘Well, I usually vote Labour,’ ...