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2 October 2024

Could the Tories win the next election?

Labour’s woes present opportunities for the next Conservative leader.

By George Eaton

The Labour Party is bad at winning re-election. It took a hundred years before a leader (Tony Blair) achieved two comfortable majorities. Clement Attlee and Harold Wilson both lost office after six years despite winning large victories.

This historical trend alone is cause for Conservative hope. But the party was also buoyed at its conference by the early unpopularity of Keir Starmer’s government. Unlike in 1997, when Blair’s approval ratings surged, Starmer’s have plummeted.

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