Despite the Tories’ woes, Labour remains nine points behind

Chart of the Day: With less than one week until the local elections, the Conservatives lead with 43 per cent to Labour’s 34 per cent.

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There’s little sign that the furore surrounding Boris Johnson’s flat refurbishment or his alleged bodies pile high” remark has so far had any meaningful impact on public opinion.

The Conservatives continue to enjoy a vaccine bounce in the polls, with little sign of it being reversed. In the latest release from the Britain Elects poll tracker, the party is nine percentage points ahead of Labour.

Latest polling: Conservatives lead Labour by 9pts
Weighted tracker of the latest voting intention surveys from BPC approved pollsters

The tracker has the Tories on 42.8 per cent and Labour on 34.1 per cent. The Liberal Democrats, meanwhile, are down significantly on their 2019 vote share (of 11.5 per cent) with 7.6 per cent and the Greens are on 5.1 per cent.

Compared to the 2019 general election, Labour has made little improvement. In recent days the Conservatives have stopped rising in the polls and are now standing still, albeit in a comfortable position. Support for Labour, meanwhile, has stopped declining. 

At this point, it might be fair to say that the Tories have reached their peak. But there’s yet to be any convergence or consistent narrowing across the pollsters. With less than one week to go until the local elections, it’s all quiet on the polling front.

[see also: How do things stand as we enter the final straight of the local elections?]

 Ben Walker is a data journalist at the New Statesman

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