A Budget ten billion off course
March 1981: Geoffrey Howe launches the Thatcher governments spend-cutting, tax-raising Budget to widespread contempt
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Peter Kellner
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Why did so many voters switch parties between 2015 and 2017?
A third of those who voted in 2015 either changed parties this year or stayed at home. What is going…
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In defence of the pollsters who failed to predict Donald Trump’s victory
The failure of the polls is symptomatic of a broader political crisis of the left.
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My final prediction is in: and it’s Remain
Remain is on course to win, says Peter Kellner.
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Are the Brexiteers losing?
The latest polls appear to show movement to Remain, but the picture is complex.
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Don’t celebrate too soon, Brexiters: history favours Remain
Movement to Leave in the polls at this point in the cycle is what we’d expect to see, says…
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A shift towards Brexit? Don’t bet on it
There is reason to be sceptical of the surge to Leave, says Peter Kellner.
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The opponents of Jeremy Corbyn are running out of road
The Corbyn insurgency has opened up a chasm on the left. His opponents may have to accept that Labour…
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New polling data shows the challenge facing Jeremy Corbyn
Exclusive YouGov research for the New Statesman shows how Corbyn’s support base crucially differs from Labour’s target voters.
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