Politics Watch: the extraordinary speech that defeated the government’s bid to oust the Speaker Charles Walker, Chair of the Procedure Committee, delivered the most memorable speech of an hour-long debate to oust Speaker Bercow. By harry
Elections The rise of the SNP is a phenomenon without precedent – new predictions are guesswork By harry
Devolution New Ashcroft polls: Labour to be wiped out in Scotland and lose Gordon Brown’s seat By harry
Five election forecasts concur: Labour & Tories to fall at least 40 seats short of a majority Three new forecasts published today reiterate how similar predictions are for this election – and that a hung parliament… By harry
Introducing the New Statesman Political Index: Lib Dems to win at least 30 seats The Lib Dems are polling more strongly than public polls suggest. They could hold onto as many as 35… By harry
New Ashcroft polling shows Ukip could win three more Tory seats Ashcroft polls show Ukip are competitive in three seats where the Tories won by big majorities in 2010. By harry
Here’s what would actually be news in polling – and three rules for reporting polls It’s only news if you’ve compared lone polls to all the others, compare it to that pollster’s past and… By harry
Castle Point: Farage, Carswell and co. descend on Essex’s Canvey Island On Thursday Nigel Farage kicked off Ukip’s general election campaign in surreal surroundings. By harry
Politically, the UK is now five nations Never has the UK been so clearly divided: Scotland is yellow, England is red or blue, Wales is a… By harry
Ashcroft polls show sensational surge for SNP and suggest they will win more than 50 MPs in May Lord Ashcroft’s seat-by-seat polls have confirmed the SNP are set to win more than 50 seats in May, after… By harry
How religious – and Islamic – is the UK? By one measure, nearly 60 per cent of Britons are religious. By another, fewer than 15 per cent are.… By harry