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The Staggers

The latest comment and analysis from our writers

23 January 2025

Cabinet splits on Heathrow are a defining test for Starmer

The debate over whether to build a third runway pits Rachel Reeves against Ed Miliband.

By George Eaton

In January 2009, as Gordon Brown’s government argued over whether to build a third runway at Heathrow, the senior civil servant Jeremy Heywood was moved to declare: “Who is this new minister holding up the wheels of government like this?” That new minister was Ed Miliband – who had become energy and climate secretary three months earlier. Building a new runway, he warned, would make it almost impossible for the government to achieve its pledge to reduce carbon emissions by 80 per cent by 2050. Fierce rows between Miliband and Brown, his political godfather, and fellow cabinet ministers Ed Balls and Peter Mandelson ensued. A compromise was eventually achieved: Miliband accepted a third runway in return for stringent limits on aviation ...

21 January 2025

Southport and the changing face of terror

Keir Starmer is correct: the Prevent programme failed to comprehend Axel Rudakubana’s obsession with violence.

By Hannah Barnes

“Terrorism has changed,” the Prime Minister said this morning, responding to the unexpected guilty plea of 18-year-old Axel Rudakubana to the murder of three little girls, and the attempted murder of ten others, in Southport in the summer of 2024. Keir Starmer is right. The information that has emerged in the last 24 hours about Rudakubana’s unhealthy obsession with gratuitous violence, and his past attempts to act on it, highlight once more that Britain faces a new kind of threat, which is not adequately dealt with by our current terrorism legislation. We have hitherto viewed terrorism as an organised force, perpetrated by groups with flags and symbols, that uses violence and the threat of it to pursue political aims. Few could argue ...

21 January 2025

What the left gets wrong about Rachel Reeves

Bond market traders should not be trusted with the fate of a Labour chancellor.

By Larry Elliott

Every Labour chancellor has a primal fear of falling foul of the financial markets – and with good reason. Stretching all the way back to Philip Snowden’s currency crisis in 1931, the party’s history is studded by run-ins with the massed forces of capital in which capital has invariably emerged victorious. The devaluations of 1949 and 1967, together with the sterling meltdown of 1976 and the “cap in hand” International Monetary Fund humiliation, are an indelible chunk of Labour’s collective memory. Gordon Brown is unusual in being chancellor for so long and not to have experienced the sinking feeling that accompanies a run on the pound – but that was only because he moved from 11 to 10 Downing Street a ...

21 January 2025

The tide is starting to turn against Brexit

Interventions by Ed Davey and Kemi Badenoch show how the European question has been reopened.

By David Gauke

The received wisdom in Westminster is that the Brexit process was so bruising and divisive that no party aspiring for power will want to go near the European question for at least a decade. Radical reform, such as rejoining the single market and the customs union, let alone full EU membership, will be off the table, just as it was a non-issue in the 2024 general election campaign.  It is a familiar theme of these columns to question that opinion for three reasons. The economic and geopolitical arguments for a much closer relationship are fundamentally strong; public opinion has largely concluded that the 2016 Leave vote was a mistake; and our political parties will eventually recognise that there are votes to ...

17 January 2025

Has the bonfire of consultants begun?

Labour’s struggle to reduce government waste.

By Will Dunn

Labour’s 2024 manifesto is very clear that it “will not tolerate fraud or waste anywhere”, and specifically identifies an area in which money is wasted: “The excessive use of consultants.” It states that the government aims to halve spending on management consultancy, saving £750m a year. How’s that going? From Labour’s arrival in power to today, 1,979 contracts have been awarded that fall into the category of “business and related consultancy and related services” (CPV code 794000000, public-sector procurement fans). This amounts to £2.17bn in new business for the consultancy sector, according to the government contracts data platform Tussell. In the same period (5 July – 17 January) last year, the (Conservative) government awarded 1,872 consultancy contracts, with a value of £1.29bn. ...

17 January 2025

This is Donald Trump’s ceasefire

Joe Biden doesn’t own this peace – but Trump and Benjamin Netanyahu must now take responsibility for what comes next.

By Megan Gibson

After nearly 500 days of brutal war, a ceasefire in Gaza has been signed. Seemingly endless negotiations between Israel and Hamas – brokered by Qatar, the US and Egypt – ended in a deal on 15 January, with a multi-phase plan due to begin on 19 January. Though the deal is still subject to agreement by Benjamin Netanyahu’s cabinet, who will vote on it today (17 January), once enacted the first 42-day phase would see Israel halt fighting in the Strip, allowing displaced Palestinians to return to what is left of their homes and the delivery of humanitarian aid. Hamas will also free 33 of the 98 remaining hostages captured during its 7 October attack; in exchange, Israel will release ...

17 January 2025

Nicola Sturgeon still thinks she was right

The former first minister has shown little interest in self-reflection since leaving office.

By Chris Deerin

The world of Scottish politics awaits Nicola Sturgeon’s forthcoming autobiography with a kind of agog fascination, but also with some trepidation. The former first minister is due to publish her memoir later this year – but what kind of book will it be? There are various templates for these things: in A Journey, Tony Blair delivered a thoughtful self-examination that sought honestly to address his mistakes as well as his successes; Margaret Thatcher’s effort was, perhaps unsurprisingly, a much drier and humour-free affair; Liz Truss and Boris Johnson produced wearying attempts at self-justification and score-settling. Sturgeon is a bookworm (she is an able occasional reviewer for the New Statesman) and an admirer of good writing. Her passion for novels suggests a longing ...

16 January 2025

Kemi Badenoch still has no ideas

Her party reset speech lacked policy and a sense of direction.

By Rachel Cunliffe

The Conservative Party is under new leadership. That was the key takeaway from Kemi Badenoch’s speech today, her first of 2025 and her big opportunity to tell a country that roundly rejected her party six months ago exactly what the Tories now stand for. Well, that was what she wanted the takeaway to be. Badenoch repeated the line several times, punctuating her diagnosis of the UK’s long-term malaise with regular reminders that the Conservatives have changed. The essence of that change, however, is up for debate. But let’s backtrack – back through the lavish halls of the Institute of Directors on Pall Mall where Badenoch chose to deliver her agenda-setting leadership speech, back past this week’s YouGov poll that put the Tories ...