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7 October 2019updated 08 Oct 2019 12:17pm

Where Boris Johnson thinks the next election will be won and lost

Government spending announcements give us a sense of where the key marginals are.

By Stephen Bush

Perhaps before the end of the year, perhaps in the spring, but sooner rather than later, there is going to be another election. Almost everything Boris Johnson has done and said since becoming Prime Minister has been a reflection on that reality, as has almost everything his government has announced.

I’ve been tracking the government’s spending announcements and promises since then, in order to produce a rough and ready guide as to where it thinks the battleground seats are. Using a combination of its 100 towns fund, its six new hospitals, its education spending announcements and various other pledges, I’ve produced a list of what I think are the constituencies that the government believes represent its target and defensive seats.

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