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9 August 2010

Tory support on the slide in Scotland

Conservative support falls as new poll shows Labour is likely to take back power from SNP.

By George Eaton

The Conservatives may generally be polling well but it’s a different story in Scotland, where they’re lagging in fourth place. A new poll by TNS-BMRB for the Herald, ahead of next May’s Scottish Parliament election, puts them down 3 to 10 per cent in the constituency section and down 1 to 11 per cent in the regional section.

Meanwhile, Labour looks likely to take back power from the SNP next year, polling an impressive 46 per cent (+1) in the constituency section and 42 per cent (+1) in the regional section. The Lib Dems are unchanged on 12 per cent and 11 per cent.

For a sense of how significant the swing to Labour is, it’s worth remembering that in 2007 the party polled just 32.2 per cent in the constituency section and 29.2 per cent in the regional section.

As for the Tories, after their disappointing perfomance in Scotland at the general election and, now, their falling poll ratings, there must be some wondering if they’ll ever be a truly national party again.

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