Welcome to the New Statesman website. Please sign in or register to participate in the conversation.

WikiLeaks whistle blows time on the old game

Following the disclosure of thousands of US diplomatic cables by the whistleblowing website, the landscape of international relations has changed irrevocably.

It will take some time, perhaps a generation, for the full impact of the WikiLeaks disclosure of thousands of US diplomatic cables to become known. For this is an event of historic importance for all governments, not only the US. While they may roar their condemnation, governments are also pretending that it's business as usual. But what we have witnessed is something very dramatic in the world of diplomacy - and thus in the way that the world runs its business. We may now date the history of world politics as pre- or post-WikiLeaks.

The press may have concentrated on Gaddafi's voluptuous nurse or Karzai's corruption (which is depicted in excruciating detail in the cables), but this event carries a much deeper significance than merely the highly embarrassing and, in some cases, destabilising revelations in the enormous hoard of documents. Neither the US State Department nor WikiLeaks can say with any confidence whether the effects of this release will be good or bad, for in truth neither of them can know. There will be manifold and long-lasting consequences; that is all we can know for sure.

Word and deed

The presumption that governments can conduct their business with one another in secret, away from the prying eyes of the public, died when the leaks started to emerge on 28 November. Diplomats and officials around the world are now realising that anything they say may hit the public sphere - ie, the internet. Governments are no doubt rushing to secure their data and hold it more tightly than ever, but it's too late. If a government as professional, technologically sophisticated and well-protected as the US can suffer a breach of this magnitude, no other is safe. Politicians can demand the prosecution of Julian Assange or - absurdly - that WikiLeaks should be designated as a terrorist organisation, but the rage is a tacit admission that a government's monopoly on its own information is now a thing of the past.

Hillary Clinton has described the WikiLeaks disclosures as an attack on the "international community". But they are something else: an ­attack on the governments that make up the current international system of diplomacy. The cultural and political assumption that governments have business that they should conduct in secret with one another has taken a massive hit. From now on, it will be ever more difficult for governments to claim one thing and do ­another. For in making such claims, they are ­making themselves vulnerable to WikiLeaks of their own.

Why? Because the most embarrassing thing about the WikiLeaks disclosures is not that they happened (though this is bad enough for the American government), but the revelation - long suspected but now proven - of the yawning discrepancy between US words and actions in that most contested area, the Middle East. Cable after cable details the extraordinarily intimate and codependent relations between the US and various despotic and unpleasant Arab regimes. One Arab intelligence chief plots with the Americans to target Iranian groups, or destroy Hamas. Another undemocratic Arab leader invites US bombers to attack targets in his own territory. It is this discrepancy - between word and deed - that will keep fuel in WikiLeaks's tanks and those of others like it.

Governments around the world are convincing themselves that nothing has changed and that if they restrict the circulation of those really sensitive telegrams and glue up the USB slots in their computers, this won't happen to them. But it will. There will be more such ­revelations, not just about the US (which has so far been the main target of WikiLeaks's somewhat arbitrary attentions), but others - Britain, China, perhaps - the reality is that electronic data is formidably difficult to protect. The reason is simple. To be effective as organisations, governments and foreign offices are required to circulate sensitive data, so that their officials and diplomats know what's going on.

One reason the UN Secretariat is ineffective is because nothing is secret there, so no one circulates anything sensitive. Don't buy the argument that the really important stuff is kept "Top Secret" and hasn't been compromised. Even a cursory perusal of the WikiLeaks store reveals cables that are the very meat and drink of diplomacy - what foreign leaders and governments really think and want in their relations with the US.

WikiLeaks mission

Thus, governments are confronted with a conundrum. If they restrict and protect the data, and perhaps even stop recording the most delicate information (as no doubt some diplomats are now considering), they will inevitably reduce their operational effectiveness. If they circulate the data widely, as the US did pre-WikiLeaks, they will risk compromise on this devastating scale.

There is only one enduring solution to the WikiLeaks problem - and this is perhaps what Assange wants, if one can get past his rather confusing statements - which is that governments must close the divide between what they say and what they do. It is this divide that provokes WikiLeaks; it is this divide that will provide ample embarrassment for future leakers to exploit. The only way for governments to save their credibility is at last to do what they say, and vice versa, with the assumption that nothing they do will remain ­secret for long.

The implications of this shift are profound and, indeed, historic.

Carne Ross resigned from the Foreign Office over the Iraq war. He founded and now runs Independent Diplomat, the world's first non-profit diplomatic advisory group. He is also the author of "Independent Diplomat: Dispatches from an Unaccountable Elite" (Hurst, 2007)

14 comments

zhidian2011ppp's picture

YOU MUST NOT MISS IT!!!

-------------- http://www.ftoto.com/ -----------

a leading worldwide wholesale company (or ucan say organization). We supply more than 100 thousand high-quality merchandise and famous brand name products all at wholesale prices.

-------------- http://www.ftoto.com/ -----------
Send Christmas Gifts. Buy more to send.

Thomas Devine's picture

Isn't it interesting that Carne Ross uses the duplicity of Arab leaders as proof of American imorality. One wonders why, if these leaks prove America's imorality and worthlessness, why Ross had to choose examples of non-Americans acting badly. Surely, if the leaks proved America wicked, wouldn't there be American acts of evil on display?

What the Wikileaks are it seems to me is a vast inkblot. People like Carne Ross and John Pilger look at the inkblot and see what's in the minds, turning the randon pattern into a picture from their imagination. Carne ross like John Pilger and the whole of the Eurotrash left see only American evil, not because it's there to see, but because it is all they want to see.

Paul Hillyard's picture

Thomas Devine,
What Wikileaks shows is that International Politics is a world full of grubby, cheating and lying.
I doubt that any nation comes out of this well even though it merely confirms what we all know mostly.

The problem for the US is that it sees itself as morally superior to most of the non-democracies and dictatorships when in reality it is just as bad in realpolitik terms.

writeoff's picture

Tom, you have to read some history mate. Start with Haiti and US intervention, the overthrow of Aristide and their endorsement of recent bankrupt elections. Or the coup in Honduras if you get bored. Examples of US wickedness are legion. We didn't need Wikileaks to tell us that but maybe some US citizens did.

CrISpY DuCk's picture

I doubt if Wikileaks will do any damage in terms of long term diplomatic relations as a secret that up to 30,000 people were privy too ain't exactly a secret .What the US and other governments are getting excited about is us getting to find out just how slimey and duplicitous they are.Would the folk who signed up for Kitcheners army have been so willing had Julian Assange and his Wikileaks organisation been about in 1914.
Cyber attacks on Wikileaks rather than court action IF THERE IS A CASE TO BE ANSWERED do nothing to reassure us.

shoestrade41's picture

========= http://www.1shopping.us/ =========

Best regards for you all,

Looking forward to your visiting.

========= http://www.1shopping.us/ =========

Corcaighrebel's picture

"Neither the US State Department nor WikiLeaks can say with any confidence whether the effects of this release will be good or bad, for in truth neither of them can know. There will be manifold and long-lasting consequences; that is all we can know for sure."

Critical point which I have only seen only mentioned in this article. Not sure leaking this mass of information necessarily the right road, like throwing a can of petrol on a fire.

ollie14's picture

In addition to what you've written, it's also quite interesting to look at what Assange himself claims as his motivation. E.g. see https://zunguzungu.wordpress.com/2010/11/29/julian-assange-and-the-computer-conspiracy-"to-destroy-this-invisible-government"/

Thomas Devine's picture

Ollie14@ I'm afraid I don't find Mr. Assange's desire to smash the USA or his bigoted assumption that the USA is only a bigoted conspiracy comforting or admirable. Why doesn't creepy-boy Assange expose the secrets of a European nation or China? Why? Because he's a bigot and a conspiracy nut who sees America as Evil. Nothing could appese this kind of nut except the destruction of America and all of its people.

Excuse me from having to praise a Hitler-wannabe like Assange.

Why can you Eurotrash bigots ever deal with your own deep bigotries. Why do you insist on mucking around in the USA when you neither know nor care anything about us?

shoestrade05's picture

Best regards for you all,

Looking forward to your visiting.

http://www.1shopping.us/

Best regards for you all,

Looking forward to your visiting.

http://www.1shopping.us/

Post new comment

By submitting this form, you accept the Mollom privacy policy.

Latest tweets