Flickr/Defence Images
Show Hide image

How the Labour conference voted in favour of Trident renewal

A little-noticed paragraph in a foreign policy report committed the party to retaining the nuclear weapons system.

Trident was long billed as one of the likely flashpoints of Labour conference. Jeremy Corbyn declared in advance that he would welcome a debate on the issue, which pits him against almost all of his shadow cabinet. But the opposition of trade unions (most of whom support Trident renewal) and MPs to the pro-disarmament motion helped keep it off the agenda. Just 0.16 per cent of trade union delegates and 7.1 per cent of Constituency Labour Party delegates voted in favour of debating the issue.

CND allies were dismayed by the decision (though some Corbyn supporters were relieved to avoid a likely defeat). But the conference in fact went further than merely not debating Trident. In a little-noticed vote yesterday, it endorsed full renewal. The Britain In The World policy report included a paragraph committing the party to supporting a continuous-at-sea-deterrent, which would entail the replacement of all four submarines. Labour First, the moderate "old right" group, noted in an email to supporters: "If the rules are applied properly, this issue should not be considered by conference again until three years have elapsed!"

But Corbyn insists he will fight on. In a message to last night's CND fringe meeting, which he was unable to attend, he said that he is "As committed as ever to the non-renewal of Trident" and would do his "persuasive best" to win over colleagues. A free vote on the issue has long been mooted as an obvious solution. But expect Trident supporters to cite the conference vote in their favour. 

George Eaton is political editor of the New Statesman.

Ukip's Nigel Farage and Paul Nuttall. Photo: Getty
Show Hide image

Is the general election 2017 the end of Ukip?

Ukip led the way to Brexit, but now the party is on less than 10 per cent in the polls. 

Ukip could be finished. Ukip has only ever had two MPs, but it held an outside influence on politics: without it, we’d probably never have had the EU referendum. But Brexit has turned Ukip into a single-issue party without an issue. Ukip’s sole remaining MP, Douglas Carswell, left the party in March 2017, and told Sky News’ Adam Boulton that there was “no point” to the party anymore. 

Not everyone in Ukip has given up, though: Nigel Farage told Peston on Sunday that Ukip “will survive”, and current leader Paul Nuttall will be contesting a seat this year. But Ukip is standing in fewer constituencies than last time thanks to a shortage of both money and people. Who benefits if Ukip is finished? It’s likely to be the Tories. 

Is Ukip finished? 

What are Ukip's poll ratings?

Ukip’s poll ratings peaked in June 2016 at 16 per cent. Since the leave campaign’s success, that has steadily declined so that Ukip is going into the 2017 general election on 4 per cent, according to the latest polls. If the polls can be trusted, that’s a serious collapse.

Can Ukip get anymore MPs?

In the 2015 general election Ukip contested nearly every seat and got 13 per cent of the vote, making it the third biggest party (although is only returned one MP). Now Ukip is reportedly struggling to find candidates and could stand in as few as 100 seats. Ukip leader Paul Nuttall will stand in Boston and Skegness, but both ex-leader Nigel Farage and donor Arron Banks have ruled themselves out of running this time.

How many members does Ukip have?

Ukip’s membership declined from 45,994 at the 2015 general election to 39,000 in 2016. That’s a worrying sign for any political party, which relies on grassroots memberships to put in the campaigning legwork.

What does Ukip's decline mean for Labour and the Conservatives? 

The rise of Ukip took votes from both the Conservatives and Labour, with a nationalist message that appealed to disaffected voters from both right and left. But the decline of Ukip only seems to be helping the Conservatives. Stephen Bush has written about how in Wales voting Ukip seems to have been a gateway drug for traditional Labour voters who are now backing the mainstream right; so the voters Ukip took from the Conservatives are reverting to the Conservatives, and the ones they took from Labour are transferring to the Conservatives too.

Ukip might be finished as an electoral force, but its influence on the rest of British politics will be felt for many years yet. 

0800 7318496