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Why political blogging belongs to the insurgent

2010 and the rise of the left-wing blogosphere

Forget tired clichés about 2010 being the year of the UK's first internet election. For many of us, that came nearly five years ago. And what will feel like sophisticated digital electioneering next spring will seem quaint -- if not antiquated -- come 2014.

Nevertheless, the forthcoming election will mark a media break from the past for a number of reasons.

First, it's worth repeating that when the last general election campaign got under way in March 2005, YouTube was barely a month old and "broadband Britain" was at least three months away (in June that year, the number of households with a broadband internet connection finally outstripped those with dial-up).

Second, despite the multiple millions spent (wasted?) on 3G licences at the beginning of the decade, by the mid-point of the Noughties mobile internet was more notional than real. Always-on, mobile connectivity in its many guises is now, finally, commonplace.

The third point worth making is that political activists -- if not the mainstream media -- were mostly dabbling with the power of the net in 2005. Not so this time.

The political right is more established, with Guido Fawkes, Iain Dale and ConservativeHome leading the way, but the left is coming. Or so argues James Crabtree in this week's New Statesman, forecasting "the rise of the genuinely powerful, left-wing blogsophere".

He cites the likes of 38 Degrees (funded by the estate of Anita Roddick) and Left Foot Forward (set up and run by Will Straw) as examples of the new breed of left-of-centre blogs, joining the more established LabourList and Liberal Conspiracy.

Straw's site, with a remit to scrutinise Tory policy commitments, is inspired by Think Progress in the US, but also by the likes of Channel 4 FactCheck, where I was editor during the last campaign.

Crabtree is most persuasive when he argues that "the internet is not intrinsically amenable to either left or right". He writes:

Dubious theories circulate that the online world is ideologically slanted to be either libertarian or collectivist. Instead, it is most usefully understood in British politics as an insurgent technology. It's where you go when you are on the outside and you need to beat an incumbent.

In this way, the rise of the right-wing blogosphere has been pegged to two forces: people who strongly dislike Gordon Brown (such as Fawkes) and people who want their government back (such as the ConservativeHome activists).

His analysis is spot-on (even if Guido disagrees) but it does mean that, for the left to become truly successful, Labour will need to lose the next election. And that may not be what this new breed of left-of-centre bloggers -- preparing to sweat it out over the next six months -- had planned.

Read James Crabtree's piece in full.

 

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14 comments

incubus's picture

Oh, come on, Frank, the (formerly) left-of-centre CiF published articles by you and a host of right-wing libertarian types. They still do, even if you have stopped posting (so have I, by the way). If anything, left-of-centre sites are far too accommodating to their opponents.

Masterth, that's nonsense. If anything, CiF moderating bias is against its core left-liberal posters, who are constantly abused - 'Stalin', 'Pol Pot', 'economic illiterates' and so on ad nauseam. The right have it far too easy on that site.

CharlieBeckett's picture

Good piece Jon.
It is roughly what I was suggesting about 18 months ago http://www.charliebeckett.org/?p=737
However, I think there might be a difference between Left and Right responses via the blogosphere.
I suspect the Right is more focused on results. So Guido is a campaigner and ConservativeHome is very much there to get Cameron into Number 10. I suspect that in opposition the Left blogosphere will thrive but that it will consume itself in fascinating internal debates that will do little to further the Party's electoral interests. That may not be a bad thing but it feels different to the generally purposeful nature of conservative (and perhaps Democrat) bloggers.
cheers
Charlie

guido's picture

Insurgents come from all directions, I'll still be coming at the next government from the right.

James Crabtree's picture

Guido — my question is, do you think you'll have as good sources? You'd be the first to think that there is a left bias in the civil service. And, hold my hand to the fire, and i'd say i probably slightly agree. (I used to work as an official, but only for a year.) Its a slight liberal bias, certainly on social issues — and a perhaps understandable bias in favour of state efficiacy.

Now: it strikes me those people are more likely to want to leak to a credible left wing source, or at least someone with some journalistic neutrality, like, say, Andrew Gilligan. So doesn't this suggest that, even if you play the same role, you'll have less fuel to throw on the fire?

Anyway, just a thought. This is all speculation, who really knows what will actually happen.

jc

RIchard Manns's picture

@ Guido

Don't forget last year too, when Hundal's launch of Liberal Conspiracy was praised as a new "super-blog". We have a whole raft of new beginnings to choose from...

@ James Crabtree

You might be right, but you have to ask yourself, what types of leaks? Papers from 30 years ago show the intransigence fo the Civil Service towards Mrs Thatcher; wouldn't a few well-placed leaks into the headlines force the Civil Service to back down, lest they become a big target for "cuts"?

Devil's Kitchen's picture

@Jon,

You approvingly quote James Crabtree...

"Dubious theories circulate that the online world is ideologically slanted to be either libertarian or collectivist."

It is libertarian or collectivist. There are the collectivists—Labour, Tories, LibDem, Greens, etc.—and the libertarians.

We'll still be here when Cameron takes over—and we have a lot of members in the higher echelons of the civil service and the think-tank world.

DK

KCorrick's picture

Nice post Jon.

However, even with the tech changes you mention and the forth coming election, for the most part neither the left or right blogs are of that much interest to the electorate at large and are still a mostly Westminster Village or minority sport.

Their power and reach is still reliant on main stream media and the ambitions for even the most popular sites are very much party focussed as a result, and may sometimes have disproportionate influence.

There are a few exceptions and the relationship is beginning to change. It's specifically interesting to note how newspapers are increasingly using bloggers for PR purposes around big political news stories - such as the expenses row earlier in the year. It suits everyone involved: political blogger gets inside track on explosive news story, looks in the know to readers, tickles their interest, newspaper increases possible impact and readership.

@guido/@james - re. sources - like Richard I'm doubtful whether this will be a problem. Back stabbing, in fighting and land grabbing are not unique to a Labour government, as Thatcher and Major know only too well.

BegbiesEvilTwin's picture

James Crabtree: You have to be much more specific. Exactly what aspects of the Left do you expect to succeed?

Debunker's picture

Bloggers are at it even in Cuba:

See this anti-Castros debunking site:
http://desdecuba.com/generationy

FrankFisher's picture

Garbage.

You know what the entire leftwing blogosphere has in common? This place, Illiberal conspiracy, labour list? They *censor*. The right does not. The Left can only win arguments, online or offline, when they can gag their opponents. I dont' call that "dominating", I call that pathetic cowardice.

undercoveragent's picture

what's the evidence of censorship on this site, then? and on liberal conspiracy and elsewhere. sounds like paranoia to me.

Masterth's picture

undercoveragent

The Guardian is notorious for censoring its comments. From being a regular on its blogs, I'm afraid the deleting of posts seems to be based largely on political lines, particularly on issues such as global warming.

As for the rest, I can't comment

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