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23 June 2016

The latest EU referendum polls: is Leave or Remain in the lead?

As the votes are finally cast, the latest Brexit polls are still in the balance.

By New Statesman

Throughout the EU referendum campaign, polling has been too close to predict an easy victory for either side. And as voting closes, that’s still the case.

The final poll from YouGov gives Remain a sliver of hope with a 2 per cent lead, while ComRes puts Remain 6 per cent ahead – a sturdy margin, but one that is canceled out by other recent polling showing a clear majority for Leave or a very tight result.

The latest Brexit odds show that bookmakers continue to think Remain is the most likely outcome, and Remain will probably get the benefit of being the status quo when voters enter the polling booth. But will that be enough to compensate for a campaign that couldn’t match Leave on memorable talking points?

Read on to find out what the latest polls are saying – or come over to our EU referendum liveblog for the results as they come in. 

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YouGov

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22 June

Remain 51%

Leave 49%

 

Comres

22 June (for Daily Mail/ITV News)

Remain 48%

Leave 42%

Undecided 11%

 

Opinium

22 June

Remain 44%

Leave 45%

Don’t know 9%

 

ORB

21 June (for the Telegraph)

Remain 53%

Leave 46%

Don’t know 2%

* People who will definitely vote only

 

YouGov

20 June (for the Times)

Remain 42%

Leave 44%

Don’t know 9%

Would not vote 4%

 

YouGov

19 June (for the Sunday Times)

Remain 44%

Leave 43%

Don’t know 9%

Would not vote 4%

 

YouGov

17 June (for This Morning)

Remain 42%

Leave 44%

Don’t know 9%

Would not vote 5%

 

Ipsos Mori

16 June 2016

Remain 47%

Leave 53%

 

Comres

14 June 2016 (for the Sun)

Remain 46%

Leave 45%    

 

TNS

14 June 2016

Remain 40%

Leave 47%

Undecided/Would not vote 13%

 

YouGov

13 June 2016 (for the Times)

Remain 39%

Leave 46%

Don’t know 11%

 

ICM

13 June 2016 (for the Guardian)

Remain 47%

Leave 53%

 

ORB

10 June 2016 (for the Independent)

Remain 45%

Leave 55%

Undecided 7%

 

Opinium

31 May 2016

Remain 43%

Leave 41%

Other 16%

 

BMG

25 May 2016

Leave 45% (nc)

Remain 44% (+1)

Undecided 12% (-1)

 

Survation

25 May 2016

Remain 44% (-1)

Leave 38% (NC)

Undecided 18% (+1)

 

Ipsos MORI

18 May 2016

Remain 60%

Leave 40%