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6 May 2010

My election predictions

Deep breath. Here we go.

By Mehdi Hasan

Here they are, in no particular order:

* No party will gain an overall majority — parliament will be hung. (Seeing as how I predicted a hung parliament nearly a year ago, it would be odd to pull back from that prediction now.)

* Ed Balls will retain his Morley and Outwood seat.

* Turnout will be higher than 70 per cent — again, a prediction I made a while ago (on LBC, in an interview with Iain Dale!) and one I’m sticking with.

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* The Conservatives will emerge as the largest single party.

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* Labour will come second, not third in the popular vote. Its vote share and number of seats will exceed the 1983 totals.

* Gordon Brown will still be PM at 1pm on Friday.