Trump or Harris, who will win? The New Statesman’s US Election Forecast
Our model predicts a very close contest.
ByNew Times,
New Thinking.
Our model predicts a very close contest.
ByIf Democrat voter turnout is as expected, it's good news for Kamala Harris.
ByUnless she learns lessons from the British Labour Party, the vice-president will do little to unite the US behind her.
ByBoasting of Goldman Sachs’ and Dick Cheney’s approval will not win over the working-class voters she needs.
ByDonald Trump may have alienated some undecided voters. But debates rarely change the entire narrative.
ByIn their first and only debate, she kept her composure and he lost control.
BySeeing the party salivate over celebrity endorsements is uncomfortable viewing.
ByPennsylvania remains the key state for both parties.
ByAlso this week: the deification of Kamala Harris and the cruelty of ageing in the US.
ByThe vice president's first sit-down interview of the campaign was light on policy, heavy on politics.
ByKamala Harris’s competence is a relief, not an inspiration.
ByWhy former Democrats and once stalwart Republicans are now switching sides.
ByThe pro-Palestine movement is resurgent – and determined to crash the VP’s coronation.
ByOn the final day of the Democratic National Convention, the vice-president gave the party what it wanted: energy.
ByIt is not enough for Kamala Harris to reaffirm what she is against. She must also set out a vision…
ByThe vice-president’s campaign isn’t aimed at pleasing liberal feminist columnists.
ByThe country is still searching for its first post-neoliberal president.
ByKamala Harris’s running mate hails from a region with a long-running tradition of egalitarian politics.
ByHow Minnesota’s governor went from relative obscurity to Kamala Harris’s running mate.
ByIf he's named as Kamala Harris’s running mate, the Pennsylvania governor would be a political choice, not an indication of…
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