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The Latest Polls — Britain Elects

Everything you need to know about who's ahead in the polls and what the country thinks in one place

By Ben Walker

The Conservatives won the 2019 general election with the highest vote share for any party since 1979. The opposition Labour Party, meanwhile, won its lowest number of seats since 1935.

Since then the polls have fluctuated significantly. For any politico, keeping an eye on the polls is a healthy sport but fixating on individual polls is a risky endeavour. Better, instead, to look at the polls in aggregate. Modelling from the Britain Elects poll trackers helps us cut through the noise of outlier surveys and instead gain a deeper understanding of who is ahead in the polls, who the country wants as prime minister, which politicians are in favour with the public and which issues matter most to voters.

Plug the numbers into our election calculator — Britain Predicts.

Who will be the next Prime Minister?

Public opinion on the politicians vying for your vote.

Did you know? Throughout the 2010-15 parliament, polling found high numbers for the Labour Party but low numbers for the Labour leader.

How popular is Boris Johnson?
How popular is Keir Starmer?

Who do voters want as Prime Minister?
How does Starmer compare?

Will Scotland vote for independence?

Scotland voted against independence in the 2014 referendum. Here's how the polls have looked when asking the same question since.

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Select and enter your email address Your weekly guide to the best writing on ideas, politics, books and culture every Saturday. The best way to sign up for The Saturday Read is via saturdayread.substack.com The New Statesman's quick and essential guide to the news and politics of the day. The best way to sign up for Morning Call is via morningcall.substack.com Our Thursday ideas newsletter, delving into philosophy, criticism, and intellectual history. The best way to sign up for The Salvo is via thesalvo.substack.com Stay up to date with NS events, subscription offers & updates. Weekly analysis of the shift to a new economy from the New Statesman's Spotlight on Policy team. The best way to sign up for The Green Transition is via spotlightonpolicy.substack.com
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