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  1. Spotlight on Policy
  2. Elections
15 May 2018updated 24 Jun 2021 12:22pm

Who’ll win the Lewisham East by-election?

The answer will not shock you.

By Stephen Bush

Heidi Alexander has triggered a by-election in Lewisham East, an ultra-safe Labour seat, to take up a new job in Labour politics as Sadiq Khan’s deputy mayor for transport.

Labour have opted for a short contest, which is their preferred strategy when they want to prevent a challenger taking the seat. However, in this case, the 14 June date has more to do with getting the desired candidate of the party’s power brokers in than hobbling another party.

Although the constituency has patches that voted for Ukip in general elections past, it is more Remain-y than the national average by some distance, so the Liberal Democrats ought to seek a good second place here, which they failed to do in the general election.

But that is very much the upper limit of what any party other than Labour can expect do in Lewisham East, who should and will win comfortably.

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Select and enter your email address Your weekly guide to the best writing on ideas, politics, books and culture every Saturday. The best way to sign up for The Saturday Read is via saturdayread.substack.com The New Statesman's quick and essential guide to the news and politics of the day. The best way to sign up for Morning Call is via morningcall.substack.com Our Thursday ideas newsletter, delving into philosophy, criticism, and intellectual history. The best way to sign up for The Salvo is via thesalvo.substack.com Stay up to date with NS events, subscription offers & updates. Weekly analysis of the shift to a new economy from the New Statesman's Spotlight on Policy team. The best way to sign up for The Green Transition is via spotlightonpolicy.substack.com
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