Boris has regained the lead but the London mayoral election remains too close to call. Last month’s YouGov poll put Ken two points ahead (51 per cent to 49 per cent), this month’s puts Boris two points ahead. With three months to go, the rivals are neck-and-neck in the closest election since devolved government was restored to London.
The full data tables haven’t been released by YouGov yet but the Evening Standard’s Joe Murphy has a useful summary of the findings here. The good news for Ken is that his impressive “fairer fares” campaign is supported by 68 per cent of voters. The bad news is that just 44 per cent believe he would fulfil his pledge if elected. The outer London “doughnut”, which Ken has been courting with his fares policy, currently favours Boris by 52 per cent to 48. In inner London, Ken leads by 53 per cent to 47.
Strikingly, Boris has a two to one lead among the over-sixties, the group likeliest to turn out. If Ken is to return to City Hall, he will need to reduce this deficit.