Davidson confirms slow death of the Tories in Scotland
The new leader of the Scottish Conservatives, Ruth Davidson, gave a confident speech but didn't conf
By James Maxwell Published 25 March 2012 12:13
In his speech to the Scottish Conservative Party conference in Troon on Friday, David Cameron attempted to shore up the morale of the handful of Tory faithful still active north of the border."Let's be frank", he said bluntly. "We aren't where we want to be. There are those who think this is just a fact of life, that a small Conservative presence in Scotland is inevitable -- I am resolutely not one of them. I'm here today to argue that this is our moment -- if we are bold enough -- to come back stronger." But perhaps the prime minister hasn't fully grasped the scale of the crisis his party faces.
Since 1997, when the Conservatives lost every one of their Scottish seats, its share of the vote in Scotland has barely grown. In fact, at the last devolved elections in May, it actually dropped by 2.7 per cent on its 2007 performance. What's more, Scotland's Tory activists are literally dying out. Between 1992 and 2011 membership of the party declined from 40,000 to 10,000, while the average age of those members who remain is around 70.
So yesterday it fell to Ruth Davidson, the new leader of the Scottish Tories, to demonstrate that someone at the top of the party understands just how much work is needed if there is to be revival of centre-right politics in Scotland. Speaking in front of what looked like a half empty town hall, Davidson laid out plans to reform the organisation's internal structures -- including its candidate selection procedures -- and to draw a younger generation of activists into the Tory fold. She also urged her colleagues to "stop apologising" for their conservatism and signalled her intention to confidently re-assert right-wing values against Scotland's SNP and Labour maintained social democratic consensus.
Davidson was equally robust when it came to the constitutional question. "Our position is clear," she said. "We are foursquare for the Union. Scotland is better off in Britain and you don't defend Scotland's place in the United Kingdom by compromising with the forces of separatism." She went on to say that there must be no "rigged ballots and no second questions" in the independence referendum., as well as repeating the all too familiar unionist charge that by "delaying" a vote on autonomy, the SNP government was damaging Scotland's economy. (Although she didn't explain how this fits with yesterday's announcement by Gamesa, the Spanish energy company, that it would create 800 new wind-turbine production jobs in Edinburgh.)
But despite what was an undeniably well constructed and delivered address, Davidson failed to confront the two central challenges facing Scottish conservatism. The first is that the Scottish Tories are still run by the UK party, from London . This has lead to Davidson's authority being badly undermined on two occasions: once by the prime minister, who announced in January that he was willing to enhance the powers of the Holyrood parliament beyond the provisions offered in the Scotland Bill, despite Davidson having described the Bill as a "line in the sand" as far as constitutional reform was concerned, and again this week by the UK government in its decision to support minimum pricing for alcohol, which forced her to abruptly abandon her opposition to the SNP's own minimum pricing proposals.
The second, much more deep-rooted challenge is that posed by the legacy of Tory rule in Scotland. Modern Scottish politics is to a large extent defined by its anti-Thatcherism. The current generation of nationalist and Scottish Labour leaders came of age during the 1980s - when Scottish unemployment and poverty rates nearly doubled - and share a common antipathy towards the laissez-faire economics championed by the Thatcher government. The problem for Davidson is that this antipathy is by no means restricted to Scotland's political class, but reflects the feelings of Scottish voters more widely.
So far, there have been no indications that Davidson understands how to overcome these obstacles - or that she even knows they exist. If in fact she does then, ironically, her best bet might be to adopt the strategy advanced by her defeated leadership rival Murdo Fraser, who argued that the party needed to be completely disbanded and a new one - free from the baggage of the past - established in its place. But there is no chance of that happening: Davidson won the leadership on the basis that she was the continuity candidate (she was endorsed by her predecessor Annabel Goldie and is thought to have had the private backing of the prime minister). The difficulty, of course, is that continuity for the Scottish Conservatives means slow decline and then, probably, death.
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35 comments
I followed your link and was disappointed to read that the country’s number one political blogger states: “Gordon Brown has divorced Prudence”. Given that he is married to Sarah, is this another example of Mr Dale getting it wrong?
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I followed your link and was dpsapiointed to read that the country's number one political blogger states: Gordon Brown has divorced Prudence . Given that he is married to Sarah, is this another example of Mr Dale getting it wrong?
Good article...
Back in the 1950s the Tories got a majority of Scottish votes but since 1983 Conservatism in Scotland has come to mean Thatcherism, with its core southern/middle England heartlands...
Many ex-Tories went to the SNP from then on, explaining the rise in Scottish nationalism and the very real prospect of full independence in 2014...
I think the Tory decline in Scotland is now terminal, there are already three more robust parties to vote for, the SNP, Labour and Lib Dems, and the few Scots Tories left should focus their energies on making a case for the UK, and nothing else
The Tories are a waste of time in Scotland; however, Labour are also still run from London and have a fool for a leader.
Vote for independence in 2014, and rid ourselves of Toryland.
Davidson confirms slow death of the Tories in Scotland.
Ed Milliband confirms slow death of the Labour party in England.
With ............
1. Scottish independence.
2. Individual voter registration
3. Redrawn constituency boundaries
and 4. Capped union donations
LABOUR ARE HISTORY!!
Shug
DONT KID YOURSELF...SCOTLAND IS AN ECONOMIC AND CULTURAL ZERO (THIS IS WHY WE ARE HAVING THIS CONVERSATION IN ENGLISH!!!)
@A. Hole: I'm sure people said the Tories were history in 1997, yet they are in government. If you actually think there will be a permanent Tory government in what remains of the UK, you are seriously deluded.
David
Labour will probably win an election every twenty years with a tiny majority.
Stick that in your left wing pipe and smoke it!!!
Good to see the level of debate on this thread so intellectually stimulating.
The Tory party keep bringing up this myth that the Indy question and its timetable is somehow damaging the economy up here. Yet week after week this is being proven wrong. They talk of meetings with business leaders who allegedly say the uncertainty is driving away their enterprises, yet fail to name one or prove this assertion in any way.
It is this kind of nonsense which drives away Scottish voters. We're not daft and don't like being treated as such.
I also am sympathetic to the Scottish call for independence on the grounds that the ruling Conservative party on has 1 MP of the 59 MPS in Scotland. Given this level of support for the Tories in Scotland it is a joke in democratic terms for the Tories to have any influence within Scotland on any major scale.
I am for self-determination....and the Scots are making their wishes very clear!!!
You're making a huge assumption based on no evidence.
LABOUR ARE HISTORY!!
------------------------------
Rubbish! Have you forgotten the LibDems? They, apparently will get in to bed with anyone. That may well include Labour in the future .
Celery
If you look at the polls since the 2010 election one could also contend that.............
LIB DEMS ARE HISTORY!!
@A Hole WHEN YOU HAVE STOPPED SHOUTING, std behaviour for any English person who encounters a non-Anglophone BTW, we can start to deal with your stupidity. This cultural zero has more academic research papers published per head than any other country in the world, our list of inventions is that long it gets boring to repeat to you intellectual pygmies. As for being an economic zero, you would do well to remember it is only the $125 Brent Crude that stopped the UK losing its AAA rating years back. You really are a self-deluding little Englander. Reality beckons, dear chap but you won't like it. Watered your lawn recently? We'll be happy to supply - market rates of course ... toodle pip
check out my blog for some irreverent weekly relief. Why not follow me while you on there :)
http://hinchysdailydose.blogspot.co.uk/
Slug
I am all for ended the Barnet Formula too....and subsidising Scottish state services.
Your culture is as sophisticated as your food....fatty and stodgy.
Now go and learn some Gaelic and feast on a deep fried mars bar!
Scotland is little more than the remaining pebbles of the English empire!
A.Cole: your offensiveness is precisely why the Scots want nothing to do with England - please, go to Wikipedia and gawp at the Scots contribution to science, engineering, medicine, political theory (you surely have heard of Adam Smith), law and politics. Scotland will do very, very well without us; but we will really miss their dazzling contributions to our history. They have produced rather more, proportionally, than whatever region in which you live.
Pete 111
I live in London.... Scotland cant match the economic muscle of the English capital.
Edinburgh on the other hand is an over-sized museum.
When the English subsidies stop Scotland will continue to decline. Having lost it's steel industries and manufacturing it's population cannot raise the revenue to keep the state sector afloat.
The Scottish would benefit from having English teachers in their classroom....after all their grasp of their English superiors dialect is appaling! This is captured well by the Glasweigian destitute Rab C Nesbitt.
Scotland is a economic and linguistic burden on England!!!
Continually impressed by the author's analysis on Scottish politics and would only disagree with concept of supposed right wing 'values' though I understand the need for apparent balance.
A.Cole, your comments have Daily Mail written all over them. They actually made me smile at how rediculous they are.
I will refrain from insulting your country though in retaliation.
Interestingly most opinion polls show that most Scots oppose independence. This reflects a lack of confidence in their ability to govern their own country. Many Scots also realise that Scotland will become an even greater non-entity without England!!
The Tories are rightly hated in Scotland, and everything the Tories do drives the nails further into their own coffin.
Scotland is heading for independence or greater powers - and I look forward to it with great excitement.
I watched and listened to Ruth Davidsons speech with little interest it reminded me of a quote attributed to a former Tory minister being savaged by a dead sheep, even Frankenstein could not bring this monster of a party to life, in fact if anything she may finally give it the kiss of death and rid us of more tories in Scotland, one last Tory MP to go and maybe he will take a few of those deceitful Libdems with him. As to the independence debate with so few Tory MPs in Scotland I cannot understand why David Cameron wants to keep us ? many years ago independence was a flight of fancy for the SNP never had enough MPs to make any real difference, then devolution and the Scottish Parliment and the SNP rout of the other parties Labour / Tories ect independence is back on the agenda and could very well be a good thing for Scotland we needed the Barnett formula because Maggie destroyed all our industrial heritage and turned us into a service industry of call centres and the like we did not forget and turfed the Tories out.
Maybe with independance we Scots can get back to real jobs with apprenticeships, take our share of North sea oil if there is anything left after Maggie used it to pay the National debt, to manage our own economy without the Westminister influence, let us try give us the opportunity to be an independent and proud nation of Scots
All the hoary ancient myths are well scotched!
http://tiny.cc/62wqbw
READ IT TWICE IT IS VERY GOOD.
A.Cole (interesting moniker-shouldn't it be A-hole?), you're an imbecile. Go away and bore someone in a pub somewhere.
Lox
What an academic response from you. Then again if you are Scottish I am sure your spoken English is worse than your written English!!!
Seriously, why allow idiots like a cole to post on this website?
I read articles here quite frequntly, but dicussions BLT are always totally ruined by rightwing muppets.
Show some balls and get rid, then this place might actually become a popular place for intelligent leftist discussion.
I live in England and am a Tory voter...............however if I lived in Scotland I would tactically vote SNP for independence so that Labour lose their Scottish representation at Westminster......meaning that Labour in England eventually dies!
HAPPY DAYS!!!!
Is the fundamental question for the anti-independence Tories not: what is "the union" you seek to keep?
Is it not just the continuation of Westminster sovereignty - ultimate power - which is in the hands of political parties at Westminster?
For every time we have a Labour and a Tory politician on TV or radio neither can come to an agreed position of what unites them against independence. Or is it a case that "the union" they want to keep is one that is not appealing to people. A politicians club.
Maybe a question you would like to put to them James. Why are you so keen to protect Westminster sovereignty when it comes to Scotland? Why do you want to protect ultimate power for partisan politicians?
A Cole
Actually Labour Governments have only needed Scotland once to form
Anyway, shouldn't you be out hawking yourself to donors today?
Davidson's challenge is that she has to keep disparate elements in her own party together whilst dealing with being persistently undermined by Cameron & Co. Her current rebranding attempt and intention to adopt a new logo would seem to be a compromise with this in mind - she can't move as decisively as she might like without losing crucial support, and her best hope is to keep playing it cool. I have no doubt that, as a former journalist, she's aware of how she's being used (with Cameron's interests re Scotland not what he pretends), but it would be suicide for her to show that.
250,000 of us are chipping in a pound each. We're setting up dinner with Dave and we'll get independence that way.
A Cole, only ONCE has Labour needed the votes of Scots to forma government. England almost ALWAYS gets the govt it votes for. We almost NEVER. Thats the difference, we're different. So ta-ta old chap and welcome to your ever-steepening decline and irrelevance. The future is bright, the future is Scottish. Brent Crude has been hovering around $125, it can only trend upwards and there is at least 40+ years of it left. Bye now :-)
@ A Cole. Here here here.
The English Tories are deluded. They still believe in monarchy, empire, church and 'Blighty'. They should know by now which side of the border their vote is 'buttered' - ENGLAND. Nowhere else matters !