Ed Balls' surrender is a political disaster
The shadow chancellor's capitulation on cuts and public sector pay offers vindication for the Tories
By Owen Jones Published 15 January 2012 10:48
I never expected to become a defender of New Labour's record, let alone against its own most zealous supporters. At this point, I should clarify that I haven't been kidnapped by Peter Mandelson and transformed into a Blairite drone. What I mean is that among all the disappointments and betrayals of the New Labour era, there were genuine social advances. They are now being shredded at lightning speed by a radical Tory government - but with the increasing complicity of the Labour leadership.
Just after news broke on Friday that Ed Balls had regretfully announced the next Labour Government is 'going to have to keep all these cuts' and declared his support for the Government's public sector pay freeze, I spent my evening debating Tory ex-Minister Edwina Currie on Stephen Nolan's 5 Live show.
Currie was in full-on triumphalist mode, gloating that Labour had accepted that the Tories were right all along. I couldn't blame her. Before coming on air, I listened to a spokesperson for the hard-right Taxpayers Alliance similarly praising Balls to the hilt. At the same time, I scrolled through Twitter, wincing as prominent Tories and Liberal Democrats proclaimed victory. 'You lose,' tweeted right-wing blogger Harry Cole to Balls' political advisor Alex Belardinelli.
Tory MP Robert Halfon couldn't contain his glee, either: he promptly cobbled together a blog post entitled 'Ed Balls comes out... as a Conservative', bragging that the Shadow Chancellor had appeared 'to sign up to Coalition economic policy'. 'After months of opposition, the Labour Party appear to have conceded defeat,' he boasted, adding that he thought 'Coalition Ministers will be able to sleep safer in their beds in future'.
The stifling of Labour's internal democracy is taken so much for granted that no-one has even bothered to pass comment on the lack of consultation before Ed Balls' announcement. One leading MP was stunned, telling me that the Parliamentary Labour Party was given no prior warning and would be 'shellshocked' when they returned to Westminster. As for trade unions or party members -- well, you are well within your rights to chuckle that I've even bothered to mention them.
Ed Balls' surrender is a political disaster. It offers vindication for the Tories' economic strategy, even as it is proven to fail. Growth has been sucked out of the economy. Consumer confidence has plummeted. Unemployment is soaring, with no sign of the promised 'private sector-led recovery'. Even on its own terms, the Government's austerity measures have failed disastrously: George Osborne will borrow more than Alistair Darling's plan, so derided by the Tories at the last general election. As for the impact the cuts are beginning to have on our communities and those groups being pummelled hardest (women, young people, and the disabled, for instance) - well, that's simply incalculable.
But rather than trying to push a coherent argument against this disastrous austerity programme, it is now being treated as a fait accompli. Sure, the cuts are now necessary because of George Osborne's mistakes, but they are nonetheless here to stay. Labour can no longer talk about how these cuts are inherently destructive, because otherwise it would have to commit to reverse them. Neither can it aim fire at their ideological nature, as when Cameron announced they were permanent before the election: that is, after all, now Labour's starting point too.
And it will surely fuel the sense that the Conservatives are making the necessary tough economic decisions, and Labour are simply playing catch-up. This is a large part of the catastrophe that has befallen Labour since the biggest economic crisis since the 1930s began. The Tories were allowed to transform a crisis of the market into one of public spending because Labour failed to offer a coherent alternative narrative. The role of collapsing tax revenues and rising welfare spending as unemployment rose barely got a mention; the Tories managed to get away with the fact they backed Labour's spending plans pound for pound until the end of 2008.
When I complained about this suicidal strategy - or, rather, suicidal absence of one - to a shadow minister at Labour Party Conference in September, they responded quick as a flash that we did indeed have a deficit because Labour overspent. I confess that - at this point - I felt that if senior Labour figures were happy to accept dishonest blame handed out by the Tories, then it was hopeless.
This latest surrender to the Tory cuts agenda comes after a protracted struggle at the top of the leadership. One faction argued that, once you started specifying cuts, there would be a loss of focus on their deflationary impact, and that the Tories would come back for more and more detail on Labour's spending plans. We now know this argument has been decisively defeated.
Arch-Blairite Jim Murphy - who harbours ambitions to stand for leadership should Ed Miliband fail - began rolling out the new strategy earlier in the month by calling for Labour to avoid 'shallow and temporary' populism over spending cuts, setting out his own proposed cuts as an example to his colleagues. The equally devout Blairite shadow education secretary Stephen Twigg has partly endorsed Michael Gove's attacks on the scrapped Building Schools for Future programme, and has outlined £2bn of his own cuts. And Liam Byrne has committed Labour to a renewed attack on the welfare state, currently being hacked to pieces by the Government. I bet the word 'vindicated' will be used liberally around the corridors of Conservative Campaign Headquarters next week.
And so former arch-critics of Blair and Brown such as myself are forced to defend large chunks of their record from their acolytes. New Labour's major departure from Thatcherite orthodoxy was investment in public services. It is now being torched with the approval of Blairites and Brownites. Clement Attlee and Margaret Thatcher headed the two transformative governments of post-war Britain, each establishing a new political consensus by forcing their oppositions to accept the key tenets of their programmes. Cameron looks set to follow in their footsteps, with New Labour an interregnum that temporarily tinkered with the Thatcher consensus, much like the Tory governments of the 1950s and the Attlee consensus.
As the usually thoughtful Tory Peter Oborne put it:
A sea change is at work. In practically every area of British public life - state spending, the economy, education, welfare, the European Union (where Ed Miliband refused to condemn Cameron's pre-Christmas veto), mass immigration, law and order - Conservatives are winning the argument and taking policy in their direction.
It is not inevitable, of course. It is being allowed to happen because there is a lack of countervailing pressure from below. If a broad coalition of Labour activists and trade unions united around a coherent alternative and put concerted pressure on the leadership, this surrender can be stopped in its tracks. With the Shadow Cabinet set to continue its suicidal course, time is running out - but it is the only hope to stop Cameron transforming Britain forever.
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67 comments
Sorry, it took a second. Have figured out point of article. There hasn't been a labour surrender Owen. There is just the policies and economic plan Labour have always had. Owen, if what you mean is 'I am sorry for colluding with the disenfranchisement of those in my book'- then say so. This naiive frustration at a capitulation that hasn't happened, because it colours your very young and rosy view of things is getting tired. Is increasingly difficult to tell the difference between well meaning naivety and deliberately obfuscating the truth.
Oh dear Owen, nice bit of polemic and selective quoting heavily laced with confirlation bias, but you ealy do seem to have have misinterpreted what has been said and suffered a juevenile lefty activist knee-kerk reaction. Of course Balls can't promise to reverse all cuts in 2015 when there will still be £79bn of structural deficit to deal with. But that does not preclude any future Labour government from reversing them at a later date, once economic health is restored.
If Balls didnt mean it, he would have made that plain by now. Yet I see and hear no painstaking, vigorous clarification, thus Balls and Milibland are happy to position Labour as Tory-lite, a somewhat crowded option these days.
MichelleG is right - the country is crying out for a straight-forward, unashamed social democratic alternative, proclaimed with anger at the destruction now being wrought on the foundations of civil society. Please, spare the usual Labour-failed-socialism-failed tripe; anyone with a scrap of sense knows that the Blair regime was a pro-corporate, pro-City copout during which a gaggle of City/banking advisors muttered incessantly in Blair's and Brown's ears, resulting in the UK's portion of the 2008 global banking clusterf**k.
Balls and Milibland's current round of posturing is merely evidence of their hankering after the good old days, hence the yearning to appear credible. Question is, credible to who?
Owen's criticisms are based on the premise that Labour's anti-cuts stance was credible.
The public simply didn't believe it.
Reading articles about Labour's attempts to regain credibility about their economic competence or their general appeal to the public are interesting I suppose, but it would be better to spend your time thinking of new ways to rebalance society and the economy. To persist with a political system where the 3 main parties are all very similar is much the same as choosing between Persil, Ariel or Bold. If you prefer, you could compare them to 3 firms of cowboy builders as they all have a track record of bodging. The previous Tory government cocked up the economy, but by winning the 1992 election they were able to spend the next 5 years repairing the damage they had wrought upon the nation at great human cost. Had Kinnock won that election, Labour would have embarked on a very similar economic programme to that pursued by the Tories under Major. Either way the economic models they use are a "spot the difference" competition where there are no differences. So what's the alternative? My Vote For Yourself campaign proposes that policy is decided by the public using the Internet to allow everyone to vote on everything. The public might decide that it would be better to spend their own money on building solar panel factories all over the country rather than on new nuclear power stations. You could train thousands of unemployed people to install them on every roof thereby creating employment and reducing energy costs for ordinary people in a sustainable way. The idea that only people who have gone to Oxbridge, where they are taught the same ideas, have the ability to make these decisions is absurd. Real people living in the real world know what the real priorities are. To grab some headlines by endorsing the new high speed rail investment and introduce another debate to distract everyone from what's actually going on is masterful spin, but the time scale involved makes the debate meaningless. We need immediate public capital spending to boost the economy hence my view that the public should decide how their money should be spent. Of course, when you go down the V4Y road you won't need politicians any more.
The only thing falling apart is the most vaunt Osborne economic policy.
Unemployment up, exports down, welfare spending up and the eurozone crisis still bubbling away.
If only Osborne really took the job seriously.
"George Osborne will borrow more than Alistair Darling's plan, so derided by the Tories at the last general election".
I'm sick of journalists comparing Osborne's and Darling's plans. Osborne might be making a mess of the economy (though perhaps crucially not according to the ratings agencies), but Darling's economic forecast was of its time. The financial situation has changed and worsened significantly (again) since then, so it is no longer relevant. Under present circumstances Darling would surely have had to spend and borrow above and beyond that plan.
Labour are currently self-destructing. They don't have a coheret argument on anything. I know that the next election is still a long way away, but first impressions are all important...
Owen's criticisms are based on the premise that Labour's anti-cuts stance was credible.
The public simply didn't believe it.
-ah but Owen did and this allowed him to stifle any criticism of Labour by those worst affected, with a clean conscience. Aw.
Ed Balls is responsible for our economic situation, so it's about time he started taking some responsibility.
A real political disaster would be if Labour had followed the ultra left prescriptions peddled by Owen's daddy in the 1980s. Wasn't he a Militant Tendency full-timer, sent to Sheffied by failed revolutionary leader, Ted Grant? Trot nonsense.
Like father, like son, it seems.
This country has become like the USA where all the main parties are in pockets of corporate greed and their reason for existence is to hammer the poor. Ed Miliband's 'new generation' is shown as one big sham. It is New Labour in a different suit. We have no opposition in this country.
Face the reality, if Scotland go independent Labour will need to be somewhere to the right of New Labour to ever have a chance in government again. They have to shift.
The more interesting question is whether the Tories will shift to the right as well, or whether they'll dig in. I suspect the Tories will only shift to the right if UKIP threaten them, and that seems unlikely at the moment.
.
"If a broad coalition of Labour activists and trade unions united around a coherent alternative and put concerted pressure on the leadership, this surrender can be stopped in its tracks."
But you can't unite around a cherent alternative, because you don't have one.
Sorry, cherent with an O
Labour has moved into line with the Coalition, Europe and US. Growth is going to be as rare as hen's teeth; the credit rating agencies are corralling everyone into austerity; investment is going to drop; trade will drop; the deficits will increase bla, bla, bla...
The Eurozone has an excuse because of the myopic policies of the ECB and Germany. The UK and US are volunteering for depression when they control their own interest rates, their own money supply and their own central banks.
As for the public - they don't understand. They've been duped by the emphasis on debt and the deficit.
How you get growth when unemployment is increasing remains one of the mysteries of the prevailing orthodoxy. Also, the depressive policies of the UK, US and the Eurozone cannot do anything but make things worse. It's a perfect disaster in the making.
An exellent article. Why should anyone vote for Labour now? I hope the unions cut all ties and start a new party.
I know Ethnic minority cops ,who on the basis of The last gov't going back on it's word of giving the police the pay rise they were due and not, Then voted for the tories despite the tores saying the Police were going to get a 2 year pay freez,e so criticizing labour over accpeting the pay freeze is hardly a sign of weakness,in fact uit's the honesty of the matter that's mre ot blame for laobur having to accpet teh country is broke, being a start ,rather than a disaster
Utterly depressing state of affairs. I think I'll go and live in a Kenyan mud hut
@Markus
If anyone needs to get a grip, it is you. The "taxpayers alliance" is - by any reasonable standard - hard right; certainly the BNP are even further to the right, but then, whatever they may claim, they have neo-fascist antecedents.
The reason the country is in a mess is because of the catastrophically failed neoliberal economic policies introduced by the Tories, and which New Labour failed to reverse. Simply implementing more of the same is just going plunge the country still further into the shit - as the present crassly incompetent Tory administration is demonstrating all too clearly.
Sounds like a bad case of twisted knickers. Many Blairites love the Tory cuts. This one doesn't, but he does love kicking Balls and Miliband. What does he think the other brother would have done?
Lasciate ogne speranza
Tories are already whispering that books of coupons are being printed so Labour can get off to a flying start come the next general election.
If the Tory agitprop and duplicity machine really gets into its stride knitting circles are not far off.
Of course. no matter what rumour the Tories drop into the media's lughole there is a gullible public only too ready and willing to consume it hook, line and sinker.
They'll be sorry. Another English generation disillusioned -yet again.
And the Labour Party is always the lifesaver of last resort. Last time they saved the whole capitalist shebang and shortly after sweaty business palms had been wiped dry ingratitude is expressed by these same victims of their own misfortune.
Swinish behaviour - but haven't you read Orwell's Animal Farm?
Deja Vu
Here's a quote from Ed B's speech:
"With growth stagnating around the world, every country pressing ahead
with deep cuts risks being a catastrophic mistake.
Which is why Ed Miliband and I have argued for a global plan for
growth, with clear medium-term plans to get deficits down, but
stimulus now to avoid a global slump too."
That's just about the opposite of what is reported in the article.
So who's right? Did he say what he said, or did he say what Owen Jones thinks he said?
keep milliband and ditch balls- how many times does one have to say it....
Everyone saying Milliband unelectable.... more like those who seek is throne are briefing against him. Who insisted on the dumb idea that the electorate woudn't shift to the right EVEN as the situation worsened? It was PLAIN to see. And I see the usual anals have joined in " not us guv it was tory introduced neo liberal wot done it, the last lot failed to undo it...." or someone still somehow attacking Osborne in a thread dealing with balls is psychosis.
The left in tatters?? one can't be surprised... seriously, one could run a busines, tend to 3 young and STILL come up with better policy and more convincing arguments thatn the current batch of moron front benchers, their advisers and the lefty media (who are SUPPOSED to engender ideas) but instead, well, lokk at it...
Clowns everywhere
a leopard does not change its spots, ed is playing the bullshit game, if he was really serious he would create a framework to bind all governments to running budget surpluses when we grow at trend which would allow us to spend the war chest on infrastructure when we are in recession.
but he ain't ever going to do that nor is any other party for that matter. that's what we need though to run this country properly on a sound basis.
Amazing how people wearing rags and who are in danger of being flapped to death spring to the defence of the wealthy.
Who says 'deference' is a thing of the past?
Yas Sur!
Well at least it answers the independence question. It will be a definitive yes from me.
@James
Nope.
- If we were in power now we would be making different decisions .. we would be looking to stimulate growth.
- But we now know from the Autumn statement that their plan is failing. When we come to power in 2015 things are going to be really really grim.
- In other words, we accept that when Labour get into power we will be handed a mess by the Tories and will likely have little money to spend. So we aint gonna commit to reversing their cuts -- lets look at how much of a mess they hand to us.
Osborne is failing badly, he is an incompetent joke.
Owen Jones - SHUT UP!
Whingeing is just making things worse! I take it you want Labour to be in office, I suspect you probably want to be a Labour MP, but the simple point being made is that we cannot reverse all the cuts, we will have to cut because the Tories have increased the deficit. I think Ed Balls should think a strategy to ensure that the public sector pay freeze will be reversed by 2020, but just realize that we will not win if we aren't honest about the reality of the economic situation we are.
Also, please be quiet about welfare reform! Liam Byrne is not renewing attacks on welfare - that is just idiocy!
It's difficult for me to grasp why on earth Labour would move closer to the government's economic strategy when it's doomed to failure and will only push the country into a dangerous and destructive downward spiral that'll result in a semi-permanent recession.
So we've now got the three parties signing up to something close to an economic suicide pact which hasn't got a chance in hell of working. To describe this course as tragic doesn't cover it. It's more like grotesque.
When our kind of system, "state capitalism" is in a depression, cutting will only make things worse and knock the bottom out of demand, which is the engine that market machine turning and growing.
It's staggering that the leadership of the main parties don't seem to have a clue about how capitalism works, and are seemingly oblivious to the central role of the state in ensuring that demand doesn't collapse. That is primarily why the state "spends so much."
It seems incredible reading many of the ridiculously partisan comments here that people still cling to the absurd idea that Labour and the Conservatives have pursued wildly different economic strategies over the last forty years. They haven't. What's characterised them is how closely they resemble each other on a practical level, forget about campaign rhetoric and the Westminster farce.
The core problem of the UK economy is the lack of demand and consumption founded opon the creation of real wealth/production. Instead, for decades, under both political factions, consumption has been financed by the creation of "debt." Today, that's all over, and a drastic adjustment is taken place, which will destroy the hopes and aspirations of millions of people, as the economic rug is pulled from under them.
Of course most of the "debate" about the differences between the major parties is dogma and rhetoric, and arguably a distraction from the structural weaknesses of the UK economy which are now being revealed as the comforting veil of debt is ripped to pieces.
Owen Jones is completely right.
The Mambo have blogged on this here:
http://representingthemambo.wordpress.com/2012/01/15/so-what-did-ed-ball...
When New Labour was formed, Tony Blair and his cronies (Peter Mandelson, Alistair Darling, Philip Gould etc) started moving the party to the right in order to win the votes required to win an election. Fortunately, they had the foresight to realise that the Labour Party required some left wing heavyweights at the top in order to maintain unity in the party and avoid losing its core voters, hence the importance of MPs such as John Prescott and Gordon Brown.
Ed Balls is the obvious left wing heavweight at the top of the current Labour Party. If this speech is a sign that he is moving to the right, then Ed Milliband better find one or 2 new credible left wingers in high places, or else the Labour Party will go downhill.
Sorry, I wrote Alistair Darling by mistake. I meant to write Alistair Campbell.
"Owen Jones is completely right.
The Mambo have blogged on this..."
So Owen Jones is right because you agree with him. Hahhahaha awsome!
The kind of state/capitalist system we enjoy is fine, up to a point, then when the bubble bursts, things go very wrong indeed and one ends in a depression, like the one we've gotten into today, which in the worst hit countries is probably worse than the Great Depression.
I don't know of a single historic example of a state getting out of an economic depression by cutting demand and creating unemployment. This is a kind of scorched-earth policy, economics for the lobotomised, in the dogmatic belief that somehow, someday, green shoots will grow out of the ashes; but one only creates a desert.
Cutting government spending and creating unemployment, was certainly not the way the last Great Depression was brought to an end, on the contrary. That bleed the patient to save him was tried in the 1930's and failed miserably.
Finally the state was forced, as the old, realistic, credible, solutions were not working, to step in and save the market from itself, do what the markets were incapable of doing, create jobs and demand, in other words, growth. This is all pretty elementary economic history and documented, so it's truly amazing and depressing that the current UK leadership is pursuing the opposite strategy, the strategy of permanent recession.
Another view, which still shows that cuts don't work, is that the Great Depression wasn't ended by following Keynes' original plan at all to revive the economy, but needed a far, far, bigger stimulus, and that stimulus was... World War Two, without which we'd possibly still be mired in the Great Depression, but I don't suppose we want to go down that particular road again, as it's a rather drastic solution to depression.
dont i just get sick of middle class white leftys like owen jones putting himself up as the the voice of the working classes on 5 live,your not mate,,your just another middle class left wing leafy surburb living trendy who would not know the meaning of being working class,or maybe i am wrong and you live in a inner city sink council estate mate,,to many fresh faced posh boy middle class media lovvies out there who i can sniff a mile away..
Can the present mess in the country have anything to do with the hundreds of thousands of uneducated third world immigrants allowed into the uk every year by Tony the phony Blair and his labour stooges for a life on welfare benefits in exchange for votes?
@scampy
No.
That didn't cause a global financial crisis that started with Lehman Brothers went thru Fanny Mae and on to Northern Rock and RBS before hitting the major economies in the Eurozone.
But yes, if your narrow minded and frankly rascist viewpoint satisfies your reptilian brain then you keep believing that.
You won't be alone, but might want to read the Mail and vote UKIP at the next Election.
@dillon
Attack the argument not the man?
Note to editor: Think the headline has typo, surely it should read "Ed Balls is a political disaster" Thanks
Balls to his funding
i have to get my sick bag out when middle class university educated marxist lefty owen jones sucks up to john majors ex shagger edwina currie on stephen nolans phone in,,this love in they have justs proves to me that new labours and the torys are just 2 cheeks of the same backside,,why is there never any working people on stephen nolans show who can challenge the likes of that disgusting edwina currie,,get ian bone from class war on 5 live and get rid of that middle class lefty owen jones.
this middle class lefty marxist anti christian ponce owen jones is just about getting on my tits with his anti christian hatred and bile like the rest of these socalist secular haters of there own country which they are trying to destroy..all of a sudden poncy jones is a freind and defender of radical islam and sharia law,,maybe you should convert to islam jones since you hate the christian heritage of this country so much..you marxists make me pukeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeee
Oh dear. Another person that hasn't actually read Balls' speech to the Fabian Society.
http://labourlist.org/2012/01/ed-balls-speech-to-the-fabian-society/
He's against many of the cuts (but not all) and will argue against them. The only thing he *has* announced is there will be no pledges to reverse specific cuts three years ahead of the general election.
But deficit spending there will be, but only to Labour's priorities, which will only be determined nearer the election.
All in good time.
Yet the Tories are increasing spending and borrowing. No wonder Labour can approve of them.
@Hal
It doesn't matter what Balls actually said in his speech, it was what he was heard to say. If anything, it indicates poor speech writing?
'Another person that hasn't actually read...'
How many voters do you think read speeches to the Fabian converted? Labour IS losing the argument with the electorate.
Ed Balls said 'I can't' 11 times on the Today programme yesterday. The electorate are looking for someone who can and will set out an alternative.
'Shadow Minister...might know better..'
Then why aren't we in power? Shadow is the salient word here and Owen Jones, a former parliamentary researcher, isn't entirely uninformed on these issues.
The main problem is that Labour's message isn't differentiating them from the Tories, there's no coherent story, and the 'policies' are shambolic.
Nah! financial reality is now different to what it was, so policy has to be different. Tories have destroyed any chance of growth so there is nothing left to do but cut.
Never mind twitter.
Why don't you just admit Labour's falling apart? The now totally economically discredited left don't have any alternative to responsible government. Labour's trapped in a political time-warp, most workers no longer support them. Labour's front bench team are truly awful, you have black racist MP's. You have upper-class Harriet Harman talking bollocks a chancellor barely [fit for purpose]. An economic strategy in tatters, and an electorate no longer prepared to listen.
Whenever you have a very long post, you can bet your life it is crap. Yes, it is. A broad coalition of Labour activists,(that's teachers, isn't it?), and trade unions! My that will strike fear in many a Tory breast. Mark Serwotka and Christine Blower - names to conjure with!
They , Labour, can't see the wood for the leafless trees.