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How Blue Labour can outflank the coalition

There is a huge opportunity for Ed Miliband to borrow and adapt thinking from the centre right.

When political parties have been in government for a long time, they run out of new ideas. After their crushing defeat in 1997, it took an awfully long time for the Conservatives to even refresh their thinking. The process of intellectual renewal didn't begin in earnest until after 2001, when a new generation of think tanks were created to modernise the centre right.

Something similar is needed now on the centre left. A process of renewal is slowly starting. New groups like the Resolution Foundation are doing interesting work on stagnating wages. The Blue Labour project is interesting, as any group involving both James Purnell and Jon Cruddas is likely to be.

The problem is that this new thinking won't come to fruition for years yet. And that leaves Ed Miliband awfully exposed. Why not borrow and adapt some thinking from the centre right? There are plenty of opportunities to outflank the coalition.

I hear you groan. Of course, these days people are naturally suspicious of anything that smacks of "triangulation" or "outflanking". I understand why. Crass attempts to defeat your ideological opponents by turning yourself into them don't work in the long term. There is no point trying to out-racist the BNP. But there are a whole set of new ideas floating about on the centre right that can fit in with Labour voters' values.

Take the environment. Over the course of recent years, politicians have scrambled to catch up with the public, and have quickly cobbled together a framework of policies to be seen to be "doing something". Partly because of this scramble for headlines, our current set of policies are not particularly effective. We have some, like the climate change levy, which reduce carbon emissions at a cost of less than £4 a tonne. We have others, like feed-in tariffs and the renewable heat incentive, which do the same job, but at a cost which is orders of magnitude higher. (The feed in tariff is about £440 for the same tonne). Rationalising the higgledy-piggledy mix of overlapping instruments we now have would allow us to decarbonise more, at a lower cost. With energy bills now a front page issue again, and Labour voters most likely to feel the pinch, there is a huge political opportunity here: making things "greener and cheaper" is the winning position in the green debate. You could spend the savings on reducing fuel poverty.

Or think about welfare. Here, things are tricky. Public attitudes are often described by commentators as "tough". That's partially true, but is a rather superficial reading. It is true that there is a big political danger for Labour in being too associated with an uncritical defence of the welfare status quo. Voters quite rightly want to change a system that left 5-6 million working age adults on out-of-work benefits all the way through the long boom.

But there are public attitudes and policy opportunities that Labour can work with. The first is strong public support for the contributory principle -- the idea that those who make greater contributions will get more out of the welfare system. This was a core principle of the welfare state as designed by William Beveridge and Lloyd George, who regarded it as essential for both reasons of fairness and public support for the welfare state, and also to underpin incentives to work. But every time the UK has experienced fiscal problems, we have rinsed the contributory principle out of the system a little further, because it is politically tempting to hit those whose immediate needs are less severe. This process is still going on, and few people realise that the UK is an extreme outlier among developed countries in having moved so far away from this principle. Most other countries, from the US to Germany have contributory unemployment insurance at a higher rate than basic welfare payments.

Perhaps the most interesting concrete proposal to emerge from the "Blue Labour" discussions so far is a renewed interest in the contributory principle. But how to get from here to there? At Policy Exchange, we recently suggested allowing the creation of a personal welfare account that would sit above the new Universal Credit. However, that would take time and money to run up. As a first step, we could change things so that the conditions on receipt of welfare benefits (like the period in which you can turn down non-preferred jobs) were relatively more generous than for those with a record of national insurance contributions, compared to those without.

On crime too, there are relatively technocratic ideas floating around on the centre-right which Labour should be seizing on. Poor people are disproportionately likely to be the victims of crime. And polling by Lord Ashcroft suggests that crime has become the government's main vulnerability. The polls also show that the public are far "tougher" on crime than any of the main political parties are. But voters aren't thick either: given that money is tight, we need to be smart on crime, and use resources in the most effective way.

There are masses of things that could be done to improve the criminal justice system, which don't involve spending more money. Our prisons are awash with drugs, and the Metropolitan Police estimates that there are a thousand corrupt officers bringing them in. We will never make progress on rehabilitation until we sort this out. Prison work has been neglected and too few prisoners work. Meaningful work helps rehabilitation, and the money it would generate could be used to help victims and also to get prisoners to partially "pay for their stay." Community sentences are rightly regarded as a joke by the voters, because they fail to stop reoffending. We have proposed thaty they be replaced them with meaningful "work orders".

Despite Tony Blair's promise to be tough on the causes of crime, crime prevention efforts are still peripheral. And of course, there is much more that can be done to enable the police to do more with less: from the shift to individual patrolling (twice as many patrols for the same money) to the more targeted use of expensive warranted officers (they shouldn't be cleaning cars).

On schools, Labour needs a much clearer response to the coalition's expansion of the academies programme. Given that it was originally a Labour initiative, perhaps it is time to try and snatch the policy back. The new government has radically increased the number of academies by allowing existing schools to convert to academy status. And it has introduced new parent-driven free schools. But Andrew Adonis' original academies programme -- in which consistently failing schools are replaced by new schools -- is still up and running. Seven schools of this type, sponsored by individuals and institutions, opened in the first couple of months of this year. Unfortunately for Labour, the government are already moving to rebalance their agenda back towards the Adonis vision. Andy Burnham needs to move much quicker if he is going to grasp this opportunity.
Why not take Adonis' original concept and turbocharge it? Set the bar for failure far higher and aim to replace not tens but hundreds of schools that are failing less privileged children. You could push lots of public institutions to act as sponsors: every university in the country, for instance. If you wanted to make a political point and needle the Tories, you could push independent schools to act as sponsors too.

Trying to turn around a party after a long period in government is a tough gig, as William Hague and Iain Duncan Smith discovered. But there are all kinds of policy opportunities out there for Ed Miliband, if he chooses to take them.

Neil O'Brien is Director of Policy Exchange

15 comments

Lou's picture

I do take issue with the contributory point on welfare. yes some people are on it who shouldn't be but what about the person who is long term ill and disabled, who because they were unfortunate enough to get a disease or disability paid in sporadic contributions, or none at all, and then are to be penalised at a lower rate of support because of their lack of contributions.

Seems a bit of kicking someone when they are down to be differing between people who were born disabled, became ill and infirm and those who choose to park themselves on benefit rather than work. Also, if one is on benefit due to health problems then the contributory link is already in place; if you paid enough stamps the previous year you get incapacity benefit, if you haven't it is income support and at a lower rate

j hill's picture

Ed Miliband is naturally to the left of most of the British electorate - a terrible stance for a Labour leader in our age. Blue Labour could be embraced by him but it will lack credibility in his hands and it also doesn't solve the central problem of the economy. Labour are nowhere on this major issue and have a massive trust problem with the public. I personally think the whole centre-left has to re-align (Blairite Labour with LibDems) and the socialist Left then forms its own party. Either way, Ed Miliband would not be the correct leader for either of these factions. The left at the moment is totally lost.

Sam's picture

Blue Labour is national socialism; essentially the BNP in sheep skin.

If Blue Labour outflank's the coalition then God save us all.

Stuart Eels's picture

j hill

Your views are an awlful lot closer to the majority than Balls and Miliband but will they listen? No of course not just look at Sam comparing Blue Labour to the BNP, with that sort of thinking Labour will never get in power again.

Lou

Do you work in Social Services?

John P Reid's picture

The BNP isn't national socialsim, it's a democratic idea for a start and although there is a purpose to listen to why the Working class (note I didn't say white working class)are drawn to the EDl, it doens't mean Blue labour have anything in common with the BNP

David Lindsay's picture

John P Reid, I am glad that you so disapprove of a cult of youth which strips parents and teachers of their authority, subverts religion and the family, and is entirely relaxed about extramarital sex. And I am glad that you would not consider it a badge of honour to be opposed by all of social democrats, traditional conservatives, and the Catholic and Protestant churches. Indeed, you are no Nazi.

To hell with "the Centre Right", who are the old Pretoria and Santiago hands from the Eighties as surely as "the Centre Left" are the old Communists and Trotskyists from the Seventies. This article expresses what has come to unite them. Whereas Ed Miliband and Maurice Glassman express everything against which that toxic union defines itself.

The monarchy, the organic Constitution, national sovereignty, civil liberties, the Union, the Commonwealth, the countryside, traditional structures and methods of education, traditional moral and social values, economic patriotism, balanced migration, a realist foreign policy, and an unhysterical approach to climate change: these things can only be conserved and restored by means of the Welfare State, workers' rights, trade unionism, the co-operative movement and wider mutualism, consumer protection, strong communities, conservation rather than environmentalism, fair taxation, full employment, public ownership, proper local government, a powerful Parliament, and a base of real property for every household to resist both over-mighty commercial interests and an over-mighty State.

The Welfare State, workers' rights, trade unionism, the co-operative movement and wider mutualism, consumer protection, strong communities, conservation rather than environmentalism, fair taxation, full employment, public ownership, proper local government, a powerful Parliament, and a base of real property for every household to resist both over-mighty commercial interests and an over-mighty State: these things can only be conserved and restored by means of the monarchy, the organic Constitution, national sovereignty, civil liberties, the Union, the Commonwealth, the countryside, traditional structures and methods of education, traditional moral and social values, economic patriotism, balanced migration, a realist foreign policy, and an unhysterical approach to climate change.

Good to have John P Reid on board.

Sam's picture

Maurice Glassman came across as very rude and defensive on the Daily Politics. Even less impressive than his philosophy.

Luddite's picture

Labour should, thank-fuck!! thats a Yorkshire saying. The BNP never found that charismatic leadership in the dark days of Labours betrayal. Because if they had, the political landscape may have being fundamentally different. We may not be that lucky next time....

hugh markey's picture

Today enjoyable fisticuffs on the Andrew Marr 'The Daily Politics'. Famed for non-appearance of Tory and LibDem ministers who chicken out when the nightmare of fending off a presenter whose blood-lust verges on the vampiric, today's display featured a couple of hopeless Tory scapegoats.
Talk about throwing Christians to the lions.These Tory minions might as well have been armed with wooden swords when they came face to face with mighty opponents clad in full gladiatorial armour - plus standard weaponry.
NIck Gibb got a severe hammering and left worrying about his pension funds.
Lord Glasman hit Mr Finkleman with 'every 'ook in the book!' Blue Labour by a knock-out!
Look, kicking a whimpering cur normally makes us feel a little uneasy. But these one-sided affrays brought out the Bill Sykes in both of us. Sad; yes, we know!

Hunting Aficionados

stevem1's picture

The electorate is well to the left of the Labour Party. Cleggmania took off when Clegg started to talk about moving to the left. Things like the abolition of Trident electrified young people . Many voted for the first time because of his apparent conversion.One thing I am sure of: the electorate have had enough of 30 years of neo liberal policies as practiced by Tory and Nulabour. Ther are millions like me - pensioners who stopped voting Labour after 1997. We are waiting for a leader who will announce that Labour is once again a social democratic party who look to the Scandinavian model of society and rejects the USA model. When that happens millions will return the the fold. We vote ,too.

gerry's picture

SteveM - you are delusional! All polls have shown that the Britain is a small c conservative country.

This explains the continued dominance of 80s Thatcherism, the rise and success of New Labour, the Cons/Lib Dem right convergence, and now Blue Labour..

Ed Miliband does not convince as a Blue Labour leader - his heart is not in it, and he will obviously never be PM.

My main thought: if Blue Labour is the most effective response (and it may well be) then will we have 3 OPENLY Thatcherite centre-right national parties, the Cons, Lib Dems and Labour.

And what kind of choice is that - even in a small c conservative country? UKIP, BNP and Greens should be laughing...

Sam's picture

Gerry - Blue Labour is only socially conservative ie wanting no immigration, no rights for non-white people, women not to work and nationalism.

Economically it is extremely socialist, and Thatcherism is an economic outlook more than anything so you could hardly call it Thatcherite. Blue Labour is national socialism a la BNP and the Nazis.

Indu Pendent's picture

Perhaps the contributory principle is only skin deep...

The contributory principle could be given effect by giving rate tax relief to people who send there kids private school up to the cost per head paid for state shool kids. Or similarly, tax relief for Bupa monthly subscriptions.

If Red Tory is "mine, me, my big society" and Red Labour is "you cant have because I dont want you to have" then Blue Labour is "you cant have because your betters know how to spend your money".

someguy24's picture

God bless Blue Labour, putting forward the interests of the ultra-rich in the name of the working man!

Kamadev Sargent's picture

Labour are nowhere on this major issue and have a massive trust problem with the public. I personally think the whole centre-left has to re-align (Blairite Labour with LibDems) and the socialist Left then forms its own party. Either way, Ed Miliband would not be the correct leader for either of these factions. The left at the moment is totally lost. http://www.homeimprovementfirm.com/

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