If you want PR, vote Yes tomorrow
If the system can be changed once, it can be changed twice.
By George Eaton Published 04 May 2011 19:11
One of the biggest problems for the Yes to AV campaign has been that many of its own supporters aren't keen on the system. Ben Bradshaw, for instance, who is now leading the Labour Yes campaign, did little to disguise his opposition to AV when he spoke to the New Statesman in November 2009.
As he said:
The reason I've never supported AV is that it would have given us an even bigger majority in 1997, and it would have given the Tories an even bigger majority in 1983, and probably 1987 as well.
Before the referendum, Alan Johnson, one of Labour's most passionate electoral reformers, admitted: "I'll support AV, but my heart won't be in it in the same way as if it was the proper thing."
Some supporters of proportional representation (PR), most notably the former SDP leader David Owen, are so opposed to AV that they are calling for a No vote tomorrow. Others may choose to stay at home on the day. Why get out of bed for a "miserable little compromise"?
But if AV is rejected tomorrow (and the final ICM poll puts the No campaign 36 points ahead), there is almost no chance of a future referendum on PR. If the British people won't vote for moderate change, the anti-reformists will argue, how can they be expected to vote for radical change? First-past-the-post would be not just preserved but strengthened by a No vote.
By contrast, a Yes vote tomorrow would increase the possibility of a subsequent transition to proportional representation. If the system can be changed once, it can be changed twice. As Nigel Farage puts it in his interview with the Spectator's David Blackburn, AV is "a crack in the damn". A Yes vote would banish the myth that there is no popular demand for reform, that any system other than FPTP is not "British". Only the most masochistic electoral reformer would vote No tomorrow.
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18 comments
@? has impeccable logic.
"A Yes vote would banish the myth that there is no popular demand for reform".
This, for me, is the nub of the argument in favour of AV. If we vote 'no' or the turnout is low the politicians will use that as an excuse to deny us democratic reform. Its time the great British worm turned to bite its tormentor. Time the tail wagged the dog and high time we pulled the politicians' strings instead of allowing them to do that to us.
Next agenda? Abolish the party system and force prospective parliamentary candidates to stand on their merits - a philosophy I feel sure Mr Cameron would endorse. Eh?
Farage is wrong. AV has nothing to do with PR and the British people are simply not ready for PR, even though it is quite common across the world, even in most developing countries. Its too complicated for the British to take in.
@? "By voting No you allow the debate on voting systems to continue."
I disagree - I think voting No shuts down the debate. It gives the Conservatives the mandate to flatly refuse any future electoral system referendum in coalition agreements, and it tells Ed Miliband (our best hope of getting electoral reform beyond AV) not to put it in his next manifesto. No serious political party wants to offer a referendum on something with a history of getting firmly voted against. It gives their political opponents something to kick them with and they'd fear losing.
Voting No just lets politicians throw PR into the long grass for another few decades.
@ swatantra nandanwar:
If PR is truly so complicated as you make it seem, why then is it used to elect the Scottish Parliament, the Welsh Assembly, the Greater London Assembly and the UK delegation to the EU parliament. At it's simplest, PR is one cross in a box (Closed and Open list PR, AMS) and at it's most complex it merely consists of ranked preference voting (STV).
Now, where you are correct is where you say that AV is not PR. AV isn't a proportional system and cetainly wouldn't produce hung Parliaments at every election and nor would it produce a parliament that reflects the votes cast. That said, it does allow for the true feelings of the British Electorate to be aptly displayed. It lacks the distortion of First Past The Post insofar as it eliminates tactical voting. That is an advantage in itself.
On the wider point about PR, it could go either way and there are really two scenarios that could play out in the event of a No vote:
1. It's accepted as a rejection of AV as a system meaning that the next time the issue of Electoral Reform is raised the issue will revolve around FPTP versus PR, or;
2. It's argued by the Conservatives and Labour No supporters in particular as being a rejection of ALL electoral reform and the issue is buried for decades.
Of the two, I sincerely believe that the second is sadly the most likely, due to the attitudes that the politicians who have benefitted from the First Past The Post system will take.
Now, to be fair, a Yes vote doesn't guarantee PR either but it does make it more likely. There's very good reason for arguing in the event of a yes vote that the people have backed reform and they may do so again. The issue of reform may not arise for a while after any yes vote, granted, however it will be a long time until reform becomes an issue again either way. At least with AV we will have a better system in the interim that at least allows some level of wider choice and ensure that MPs have a proper democratic mandate.
Swatantra is so wrong. The British have had PR in the London, Scottish, Welsh, Northern Irish and European Assemblies and Parliaments for years and none of them want to come back to FPTP. We are perfectly happy with it because it's not difficult once you close your ears to the jabbering conservatives, for whom it means playing on a level playing field for the first time.
However, you can bet your bottom dollar that they'll deny us all any further debate if we don't say Yes tomorrow and, as Ed Milliband said this morning, when Labour had a huge majority, it wasn't in their interests either.
so please don't be complacent. Robin.melley
ote yes.
Ideally I'd prefer to see full proportional representation, but I still think AV is fairer than the current system. Under the current FPTP system, if there are 5 candidates standing for one constituency, then one of those candidates could potentially win on less than a quarter of the vote. Therefore, 75% of voters could end up with a candidate that they don't like at all. With AV, a candidate has to get at least 50% support in order to win.
FPTP is fine for a country where there are only 2 popular parties (such as the USA where almost everyone votes for either Republican or Democrat), but in the UK we frequently get at least half a dozen candidates standing in each constituency. Therefore, FPTP gives highly anomalous results. With AV, the winner is the one who has the broadest support.
In the last few decades, governments have been elected on around just 35% of the popular vote, which is very unfair as it means most of the population are effectively disenfranchised. The number of seats for each party is highly disproportionate to the number of votes they received.
FPTP is ancient and hugely discredited, and has been abandoned in many mature democracies. It makes voting pointless for most people in the country as most constituencies are safe seats for either Conservative or Labour. It therefore discourages participation, which weakens our democracy.
I don't think it's true that AV will help extremists get elected, as it means they will have to get at least 50% support, which is very unlikely. In fact it's less likely that extremists will be elected under AV than under the current system.
Lots of parties elect their leaders via a form of AV. So if it's good enough for them, then why isn't it good enough for the general population?
Once we've switched to AV, it should be easier to switch to a fully proportional system such as AV+ or STV as people will be used to ranking the candidates in order of preference. If the No side wins, then the government might interpret that as meaning that people don't want PR at all. Then we could be stuck with FPTP for many more years to come. So even if you really want full PR, it is better to support AV rather than sticking with the current system.
Spilliam Wooner writes, 'If we vote 'no' or the turnout is low the politicians will use that as an excuse to deny us democratic reform.'
You may not have noticed, but a substantial number of 'the politicians' are in favour of AV. This absurd pretence that AV is somehow a campaign against 'the politicians' has been one of the things that has persuaded me to vote No. It is supported by 'the politicians' who believe they may do well out of it and opposed by 'the politicians' who think they might not. But they are all 'the politicians'.
@Herbert - I don't believe you.
I don't really care what the politicians thing, I don't really care to second guess their motives or honesty.
Instead I'm going to be looking at the system on it's merits. And on it's merits I will vote HELL YES, if only that was one of the options.
@? The first post is completely wrong. In Australia the Upper House was originally first past the post. In 1919 it changed to preferential (AV) and by 1948 we had Proportional Representation (STV). You could argue that times may have changed, but what you can't argue is that your statement was 100% incorrect.
The real and simple crux of the debate on electoral form has been lost in the noise. Apart from invoking Winston Churchill and the Prime Minister's 'gut feeling', the 'No' campaign has been pityful in failing to advance any rational arguments. The definition of democracy is majority rule in the sense of majority of the population. The first past the post system is an undemocratic system. At no stage of the process is there majority rule. Under AV, there is majority at the level of each constitutency. it is a huge step forward.
Ed Miliband denied strongly yesterday morning on Today that AV was a stepping stone to PR.
So let's spend a load to change to a system that is barely better than FPTP? That's like spending £10 on fuel to go to a supermarket in another town, to get a tin of beans 5p cheaper.
Utterly pointless.
It is outrageous that we are not being 'allowed' to vote on PR at this referendum. Initially I supported the 'No to AV, yes to PR' position. However, I am sceptical that a 'yes to PR' campaign following a NO to AV outcome will cut any ice at all - not least with Ed M against it...also, I would have felt a complete knob voting with the Toffs and BNP.
AV is crap, but my yes vote signals my desire for change.
A Yes vote, will diminish democracy, not enhance it.
I'm baffled why these 'voting machines' haven't been introduced already. They will be needed in the future, as politicians try and think up different gimmicks to draw people into voting, like texting, and online etc. So we might as well introduce them no, although in my opinion nothing beats a blunt pencil and paper ballot.
Heres one gimmick. Lets make voting compulsory and stick a hefty fine on those too lazy to stroll down and give up 15 mins of their precious time to be an active citizen.
I voted YES, and urge others to do the same.
@ swatantra nandanwar
you seem to have a very low opinion of your fellow citizens.
We've been using PR in Northern Ireland for pretty much every election other than Westminster - Council and NI Assembly - for years now.
The Scottish and Welsh have no problem with it.
So either you are knowingly spreading falsehood, or you genuinely have no idea what you are talking about abd are parroting the nonsense pedalled to you by your local Tory councillor.
Name says it all.... hope you all voted yes today! Big step forward towards a better democratic future for this country. Getting the MPs to earn 50% of the vote will really make a huge difference, no more "safe seats" with low turn outs. Vote yes for a better democracy :)
No country has ever made a transition from AV to PR.
If AV is brought in and no-one likes it, then the country will move back to FPTP, if AV is brought in and everyone likes it, then we will stick with it.
By voting No you allow the debate on voting systems to continue.
I support STV and that's why I'm voting No tomorrow.
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