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New poll gives Tories lowest rating since general election

Labour are two-points ahead, as public mood begins to swing against scale and speed of cuts.

A new poll has given the Conservative Party their lowest rating since the general election, as it gears up for its annual conference next week.

The Guardian/ICM poll is the second this week to give Labour a lead over the Tories. It puts Labour on 37 points, the Conservatives on 35, and the Liberal Democrats on 18.

This is a significant shift, and together with Wednesday's YouGov poll is the first time since Gordon Brown's election-that-never-was in 2007 that Labour have been ahead.

But while this is psychologically a major boost for the new Labour leader, Ed Miliband, it is worth noting that the party's lead is the result of Conservative support falling away, rather than a vote of confidence in the new leader. Labour's support remains unchanged from last month's ICM poll.

But it is certainly bad news for the Tories -- this is the lowest rating that any poll from any company has given them since the general election (the YouGov poll had them on 39 points), and comes several weeks before the full details of spending cuts have even been announced.

This slump in support is partially explained by some of the other findings in the poll. Public sentiment appears to be turning against the scale and speed of spending cuts; 43 per cent said that the cuts have gone too far, with 37 per cent feeling that the balance is right. This compares with July, when just 38 per cent said that cuts were going too far, and 39 per cent thought the balance was right.

The poll should bring some comfort to the Liberal Democrats, who gained just 13 points in the YouGov poll earlier this week. Indeed, the low showing for the Tories may well be related in part to the higher rating for Nick Clegg's party. ICM have consistently shown about 18 per cent support for the Lib Dems, while YouGov has given them ratings as low as 12 per cent.

While 50 per cent of people said that they still trusted the coalition the most to ensure a prosperous future for Britain (compared with 31 per cent for Labour), this does not bode well for support for the government after the comprehensive spending review on 25th October. Miliband would do well to tap into this growing discomfort, but he still has the task of convincing the public that he and his party would do better.

Tags: Polls

13 comments

a.carnation's picture

You can tell liars by their looks. Cameron looks false as he is and Osborn looks evil. They can laugh because with their millions they wont feel the pain, I knew this would come.

RK's picture

NS does not need to distort the picture of Cam...does it?

@"Miliband would do well to tap into this growing discomfort, but he still has the task of convincing the public that he and his party would do better."

...dont you think you missed the most important bit, you have to wait for few years first?

On the other hand, Unions such as BBC union paid for by British Taxpayers is already started blackmailing the elected government.

Do'nt you think it is like taking hostage and threatening to blow them unless they vote labour?

frances smith's picture

oh please, cameron, in that photograph, is far more annoying than, er george, when did we start calling him by his first name?

he's got that annoying, this is so obvious expression. as he sort of lectures the world on his view of life, which is always a dangerously simplistic analysis.

hopefully the polls, for the tories. will be downwards from now on.

swatantra nandanwar's picture

Great news for Labour. Trouble is the GE isn't for another 5 years and fortunes can change as well as leaders.
If Cameron and Clegg prove a liability watch the Tories and Lib Dems ditch them unceremoniously, something Labour didn't have the guts to do.

jean jones's picture

Clegg looks so smug in the photo, Judas who sold his soul for 30 minutes of fame!

Iris's picture

sorry not to contribute to the political discussion, just an observation, but in photos like this one, the resemblance is uncanny - Osborne has an air of the sinister about him, and the look of the The Joker

ang's picture

I have always thought that Osborne has a slyness about him, but in this photo it looks like he's going to the toilet, which may be what he will be doing, metaphorically, quite soon.

j.diamond's picture

they where just the same in the Eighties one big waste of time now back to square one again this idiot does not have a clue what the hell is he trying to do make people worse of in britain or maybe he thinks he can wave a magic wand and make things better oops it was because of these people that I could not even get a job they have ruined my life and I hope they are happy but now this idiot comes in he should be done for fraud and how can you get a job when there is no jobs going go back to school david camaron because you do not have clue.

j.diamond's picture

meant to say have a clue.

Clem the Gem's picture

Tee hee!
http:clemthegem.wordpress.com/

Clem the Gem's picture

Osborne looks a bit "Ooh! Missus!" to me altogether now..
"Palari! Wo-oh..
Vada the big butch one...
http;//clemthegem.wordpress.com/

swatantra nandanwar's picture

Is George taking lessons in grinning when 'you can't justify what you're saying but you'll say it anyway' from Hazel Blears? At least its a step up from the permanent scowl and the look of having swallowed a frog that he sports on the Front Bench.
Andrew Neil caught out Blears in a Fringe Meeting which she tried in vain to wriggle out of. If I were Caroline Flint I would not want to be seen in the company of Blears as its likely to damage her prospects.

Dave C's picture

During the middle of the conference season, it's difficult to discern any trends. I think we'll have to wait a couple of weeks before we get a clear picture.

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