Election 2010 Lookahead: Thursday 29 April

The who, when and where of the campaign.

With only seven days to go until the closest election in recent times, here is what you should be looking out for today:

Labour

Steering clear of Rochdale, Cabinet Office Minister and Minister for London Tessa Jowell will speak at 'The Future of Cities in Britain' debate at the Sheikh Zayed Theatre at the New Academic Building in London (6.30pm), where she is joined by Conservative Party MP Bob Neill. However all eyes will be on her boss as he takes to the stage in what will be a crucial final leaders' debate (See below).

Conservatives

A quiet day for the Conservatives, with Cambo doubtless engaged in fervent preparation ahead of the kick-off tonight (8.30pm, See below).

Liberal Democrats

Nick Clegg continues to target the youth vote by taking part in a Q&A with students at a further education college ahead of the final leaders' debate in Birmingham. He will be joined by Lib Dem candidate for Birmingham Hall Green, Jerry Evans, for the event at South Birmingham College, Hall Green Campus (9.30am) The Liberal Democrats will also focus on setting out their policies for older people today. Mr Clegg will then travel to BBC studios for tonight's debate with David Cameron and Gordon Brown (See below).

Other parties

Unilever will bring a High Court case against the British National Party after the BNP used an image of its Marmite product on their website without permission in a campaign video. BNP party leader Nick Griffin expected to attend hearing at the Royal Courts of Justice in London (10am). The SNP will hold a press conference with party leader and Scottish First Minister Alex Salmond addressing economic policy at the Point Hotel in Edinburgh (1pm).

The media

Yes, it's that time of the week again - BBC One will host the third and final live televised debate between Gordon Brown, David Cameron, and Nick Clegg. This time the focus will be on the economy, with Mr Cameron delivering the first opening statement (8.30pm). Presenter David Dimbleby will then host a 'Question Time' debate with the panel including Children's Secretary Ed Balls, Liberal Democrat finance spokesman Vince Cable, and SNP leader Alex Salmond (10.45pm) on BBC One.

Away from the campaign

Ecologists are gathering at Wytham Woods near Oxford today today to celebrate the 60th anniversary of its designation as a Site of Special Scientific Interest (SSSI), probably making it the most studied wood in Britain. The celebration includes the launch of a new book - 'Wytham Woods: Oxford's Ecological Laboratory.'

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Voters are turning against Brexit but the Lib Dems aren't benefiting

Labour's pro-Brexit stance is not preventing it from winning the support of Remainers. Will that change?

More than a year after the UK voted for Brexit, there has been little sign of buyer's remorse. The public, including around a third of Remainers, are largely of the view that the government should "get on with it".

But as real wages are squeezed (owing to the Brexit-linked inflationary spike) there are tentative signs that the mood is changing. In the event of a second referendum, an Opinium/Observer poll found, 47 per cent would vote Remain, compared to 44 per cent for Leave. Support for a repeat vote is also increasing. Forty one per cent of the public now favour a second referendum (with 48 per cent opposed), compared to 33 per cent last December. 

The Liberal Democrats have made halting Brexit their raison d'être. But as public opinion turns, there is no sign they are benefiting. Since the election, Vince Cable's party has yet to exceed single figures in the polls, scoring a lowly 6 per cent in the Opinium survey (down from 7.4 per cent at the election). 

What accounts for this disparity? After their near-extinction in 2015, the Lib Dems remain either toxic or irrelevant to many voters. Labour, by contrast, despite its pro-Brexit stance, has hoovered up Remainers (55 per cent back Jeremy Corbyn's party). 

In some cases, this reflects voters' other priorities. Remainers are prepared to support Labour on account of the party's stances on austerity, housing and education. Corbyn, meanwhile, is a eurosceptic whose internationalism and pro-migration reputation endear him to EU supporters. Other Remainers rewarded Labour MPs who voted against Article 50, rebelling against the leadership's stance. 

But the trend also partly reflects ignorance. By saying little on the subject of Brexit, Corbyn and Labour allowed Remainers to assume the best. Though there is little evidence that voters will abandon Corbyn over his EU stance, the potential exists.

For this reason, the proposal of a new party will continue to recur. By challenging Labour over Brexit, without the toxicity of Lib Dems, it would sharpen the choice before voters. Though it would not win an election, a new party could force Corbyn to soften his stance on Brexit or to offer a second referendum (mirroring Ukip's effect on the Conservatives).

The greatest problem for the project is that it lacks support where it counts: among MPs. For reasons of tribalism and strategy, there is no emergent "Gang of Four" ready to helm a new party. In the absence of a new convulsion, the UK may turn against Brexit without the anti-Brexiteers benefiting. 

George Eaton is political editor of the New Statesman.