Deep South gives Santorum hope
Rick Santorum’s victories in Alabama and Mississippi might spell the end for Newt Gingrich.
By John Stoehr Published 14 March 2012 8:36
Mitt Romney didn't stay in the Deep South after the results of Tuesday's primary vote came in. Perhaps it was because Alabama and Mississippi were his "away game", as he said. Or maybe it's because, even if he lost, he'd still be ahead of the others in number of delegates.
Indeed, he expected to run third, behind Rick Santorum and Newt Gingrich, and even so, he'd gain a third of the delegates, give or take. That's enough, as he said, to inch closer to 1,144 needed to win.
Indeed, events unfolded pretty much like that. Santorum bested the field in both states. In Alabama, with 98 per cent of the vote counted, the former US senator from Pennsylvania had 34.5 per cent of ballots compared to Gingrich's 29.3 and Romney's 29.
The race was much closer in Mississippi, where for much of the evening, it was a statistical dead heat, with Santorum taking only a slight lead. But around 11pm EST, the TV networks projected Santorum as the winner. He took 32.9 per cent of the votes while Gingrich took 31.3 and Romney 30.3.
"We did it again," Santorum told supporters.
True grit
The media narrative in the run-up to Tuesday was by now familiar. Can Romney win the conservative stronghold of the Deep South where he must woo evangelical Christians and white, working-class voters? The answer is going to be no for most political observers. He is a rejected suitor. Yet again.
But as I say, that may not matter. Though he didn't do himself any favours talking about eating grits and saying "ya'll," he did come in to Tuesday's primaries with more delegates than Santorum, Gingrich and Ron Paul combined. Leaving with a third of the delegates (both states are proportional, not winner-takes-all) gets him just a little bit closer to the "magic number", as Romney put it.
What about the general election? If he struggles in the Land of Dixie, can Romney beat President Barack Obama? Even if, as some have said, a Romney nomination means conservatives stay home in November, there is no way Obama will take Alabama or Mississippi (or most likely any of the states in the American South). According to a survey by Public Policy Polling, more than half (52 per cent) of voters in Mississippi erroneously believe that Obama is a Muslim.
Meanwhile, Santorum and Gingrich have been making themselves completely unelectable by competing for the title of Mr Most Conservative. Both have pandered to evangelicals by railing against "anti-Christian bigotry" and the like. Gingrich used similar dog-whistle rhetoric as we saw in South Carolina – that Obama favours infanticide and that the US genuflects to the United Nations. He even promised to bring gasoline down to $2.50 a gallon with more domestic drilling.
Keep things in proportion
This might be the end for Gingrich. He's said he will carry on, but his main backer, Shelton Adelson, a billionaire casino magnate, has already hinted that he's as likely to put money in Romney's super-PAC as he is into Gingrich's. Without Adelson's support (for Gingrich, he's written cheques of roughly $10m), Gingrich would have quit long ago. But now, with only South Carolina and Georgia in his pockets and an ascendent Santorum, there's little reason to keep pushing, unless you count the practical get-out-the-vote value of making this nomination process appear to be exciting. Politics is sleight of hand, after all.
As for Santorum, if the rules didn't allot delegates proportionally, his wins on Tuesday would be more significant. As it is, he would have to crush Romney by wide margins in big states like such as New York and Illinois to make up ground, but that's unlikely, given Romney's lead and the amount of money flowing into his super-PAC, which has the luxury of attacking Santorum every chance it gets.
The best Santorum can do is to keep pushing ahead and making the case for a run in 2016 or 2020.
John Stoehr is a lecturer in English at Yale University.
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6 comments
Ha, lefties gave us Bill BJ Clinton, John (is she dead yet) Edwards, John (poodle-boy) Kerry & Barney (loves the Fannie(Mae))Frank. Oh yeah, current Treasury Sec (tax cheat) Tim Geitner. Pathetic...
hilarious, the entertainment isn't finished by a long shot. no doubt the candidates will turn the heat up until everything is burnt to a crisp.
why the GOP is doing this to itself is a mystery.
it's easy to see why some people don't want their names out there. they spout such drivel. obama will be a shoo-in, no matter which idiot the republicans eventually pick. and the racists will have to choke on it for another four years.
"...half (52 percent) of voters in Mississippi erroneously believe that Obama is a Muslim."
But Obama is well-known to be a liar.
"anti-Christian bigotry" and...
"Obama favors infanticide"
True. Obama sponsored an infanticide bill when a state senator in Illinois. Yes, the government is acting in a bigoted manner against Christians. It even know has declared the Vatican a "money-laundering" country, in retaliation for the Catholic opposition to being forced to financially and morally support abortions.
"(Gingrich) even promised to bring gasoline down to $2.50 gallon with more domestic drilling...."
Yes, the price of gasoline was $1.80 when BHO took over the White House.
Obama opposed the Illinois Born Alive Infant Protection Act because it would have undermined Roe-v-Wade. The bill was part of the usual rightist-evangelical push to outlaw abortion of any kind. Anti-abortionists are almost always rightwing extreme pro-market zealots to boot: they shed not a tear when children go hungry due to jobs bleeding out of the economy, yet they will move mountains in the attempt to protect anything happening in the womb, right from hour one.
Fairbro, ever wondered why people from outside the US think an awful lot of Americans are stupid and ignorant?
In any democracy in Europe, the Republican candidates wouldn't be fit to run for local councils. The fact that they are running for President of the US is a truly shameful indictment on the country.