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There will be no Lib Dem U-turn on boundary changes

The offer of state funding (or anything else) will not induce Clegg to change his stance.

Deputy Prime Minister Nick Clegg. Photograph: Getty Images.
Nick Clegg has previously stated that "nothing" will persuade him to drop his opposition to the propsoed boundary changes. Photograph: Getty Images.

Without the introduction of the proposed boundary changes, there's almost no chance of the Conservatives winning a majority at the next election - the party would need a lead of around seven points on a uniform swing. With the changes, however, it would need one of just four. So it's no surprise that some Tories are still hopeful that they can persuade the Lib Dems to renege on their opposition to the reforms. 

Today's FT reports that the Conservatives are planning a "cash-for-seats" offer under which the Liberal Democrats would approve the new boundaries in return for the introduction of state funding for political parties. So woeful is the Lib Dems' financial situation that the Tories believe Nick Clegg will have no choice but to withdraw his veto. "They are basically out of money," one minister tells the paper, while another adds: "There is a plot". That the Lib Dems' finances are increasingly strained is beyond doubt. As Rafael noted in August, the party's entry into government has seen it deprived of the "short money" made available by the state to opposition parties (something that will cost it £9m over the course of the parliament), while the loss of a quarter of its membership in 2011 helped result in a deficit of £299,964 last year.

But even with this in mind, it's hard to see the offer of state funding (or anything else) inducing Clegg to change his stance. In August, after the abandonment of House of Lords reform, he said:

Coalition works on mutual respect; it is a reciprocal arrangement, a two-way street. So I have told the Prime Minister that when, in due course, parliament votes on boundary changes for the 2015 election I will be instructing my party to oppose them.

In September, when rumours of a deal first surfaced, he declared: "Nothing will change my mind on that." His stance was overwhelmingly endorsed in a motion at the party's conference last month. For these reasons, Lib Dem Scottish Secretary Michael Moore was almost certainly right when he told the Today programme this morning that there is "no prospect of any kind of deal like that." A "cash-for-seats" agreement would only confirm Clegg's reputation as a turncoat, while making his party look irredeemably grubby.

Last month, whilst apologising for breaking his pledge not to support an increase in tuition fees, Clegg declared: "I will never again make a pledge unless as a party we are absolutely clear about how we can keep it." And the pledge to vote against the boundary changes is one that will be kept.

7 comments

Marathonman's picture

Clegg's a shyster, a desperate one at that. Just bung him something, he'll fold. Only an idiot would bet against that one!

Marathonman's picture

Clegg's a shyster, a desperate one at that. Just bung him something ( and they will) he'll fold. Only an idiot would bet against that one!

Hugh C Markey's picture

If LibDems cave in and allow constituency boundaries to be re-drawn they will incur the everlasting hatred of the Labour Party, not to mention disturbing the ghost of Lloyd George.
However, this change of heart may not make much impression on UK voters.
Besides doing their senior partners in government a favour, reneging on this policy may be worth taking a little political shellacking for.
Revenge is a dessert best eaten cold as Machiavelli murmured sotto voce.

Old Nick

Barrie J's picture

Since every aspect of our 'democracy' is corrupt, surely it is impossible to say what the Limp Damps will do?
For the chance of getting their Party snouts deeper into the trough of taxpayer largesse there is no depth to which they would not stoop.
It would be folly to believe otherwise.

nourredine's picture

The Lib/Dem have always been divided, on tuition fees some were for, some were against, some abstained.
The same will happen for the boundary changes.
It is in the history of the Lib/Dem.

praha7's picture

I wish I had your faith Mr.Eaton.
I think that when the time comes opposition from the Lib/Dems will come in the form of abstention thus allowing Clegg to claim that they opposed while still giving the Tories what they want.

Graeme Hancocks's picture

It is quite possible PRAHA7. They have reneged on nearly every else. But it really would be "turkey's voting for Xmas" as the libdems would be hurt disproportionately by these proposed boundary changes. The only party that benefits are the tories.

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