What about Israel's nukes?
Iran Watch, part 3.
By Mehdi Hasan Published 06 March 2012 18:42Iran Watch, part 3.
Last night's Newsnight was pretty disappointing. Diplomatic editor Mark Urban and host Jeremy Paxman had a nice, long chat about the logistics of an Israeli attack on Iran - from refuelling mid-air to the availability of US bunker-buster bombs. I don't recall either Urban or Paxman discussing the legality, legitimacy or catastrophic consequences of such an attack. So much, as I often say, for the "anti-war" BBC. Watch the discussion for yourself.
Then Paxman introduced his main guest on the subject: Daniel Taub, Israeli ambassador to the UK. It was a soft interview by Paxo standards (including questions such as "How long do you think you've got?" and other such curveballs) and I found myself yelling at the television: ask him about the nukes, their nukes.
This is the closest that the Newsnight presenter came to pressing Taub on Israel's nuclear weapons programme, in his penultimate question:
You speak, of course, as a nuclear weapon regime...
To which Taub responded:
The Israeli policy as far as nuclearisation hasn't changed for decades.
And that was that. Taub was allowed to hide behind the Israeli policy of nuclear "ambiguity" (or "amimut" in Hebrew). Paxman moved on. The fact that Israel is the only nuclear-armed nation in the Middle East, refuses to sign up to the Nuclear Non-Proliferation Treaty (NPT), is in violation of UN Security Council Resolution 487 which "calls upon Israel urgently to place its nuclear facilities under IAEA safeguards" and continues to ignore the IAEA's September 2009 resolution calling upon the Jewish state "to accede to the NPT and place all its nuclear facilities under comprehensive IAEA safeguards", seems to be off-limits in the current debate about Iran.
In fact, discussing Israel's secret nuclear weapons arsenal has long been a taboo for the west's media. It's as depressing as it is outrageous. My own view is that no Israeli official or spokesman should be allowed to come on the BBC or ITV or Sky News and fear-monger about Iran's nuclear programme unless he is first questioned about Israel's own nuclear weapons programme - and any self-proclaimed "impartial" journalist who fails to ask such questions, or follow up on them, should hang their heads in shame.
Here's the New Yorker's excellent John Cassidy, writing on his blog yesterday:
In case you'd forgotten about them -- and that wouldn't be hard, given how seldom their existence is mentioned in public debates -- Israel has perhaps a hundred nuclear weapons, maybe even a few times more than that, and it has the capacity to launch them from underground silos, submarines, and F-16 fighter bombers.
Outside of the Israeli defense ministry, very few people know precisely how many nuclear-armed missiles the country has. According to a non-classified 1999 estimate from the U.S. Defense Intelligence Agency, which was cited in a 2007 bulletin from the Federation of American Scientists, Israel had between sixty and eighty nuclear warheads. More recent estimates say the figure is considerably higher.
The London-based Institute of Strategic Studies says Israel has "up to 200" warheads loaded on land-based Jericho 1 and Jericho 2 short- and medium-range missiles. Jane's, the defense-information company, estimates that the over-all number of warheads is between a hundred and three hundred, which puts the Israeli nuclear arsenal roughly on a par with the British and French capabilities. And some of these warheads are widely believed to have been loaded onto the new Jericho 3 intercontinental ballistic missile, which has a range of up to four thousand five hundred miles -- meaning it could theoretically strike targets in Europe and Asia.
Cassidy concludes:
The regime in Tehran is a deeply unpleasant one, and many of our other allies, including Britain, France, and Saudi Arabia, are also determined to prevent it from joining the nuclear club. But publicly acknowledging what everybody already knows about Israel -- that it's one of the world's nuclear powers -- would make the United States less vulnerable to the charge of double standards.
Hear, hear! (Read Cassidy's full blogpost here.)
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239 comments
Why wont Israel sign the NPT treaty or admit openly it has nuclear weapons?
Why wont Israel sign the NPT treaty or admit openly it has nuclear weapons?
@JJ
"@jankaas: I can see how you personally think that attacking Iran right now would be illegal but cowardice? Think about the retaliation from Hamas and Hizbullah."
it's just my personal opinion that bombing Iran would be illegal? you think 1 country can just attack another because it thinks it has a valid reason?
cowardice? you think Iran would stand a farts chance in hell against Israel....? so yes Israel would be cowards if the attacked.
and as for Hamas et al getting stuck in, imagine Operation Cast Lead with the 'gloves totally off'.
@Mariella "I will support the rights of all downtrodden people across the globe"
I think you're deluding yourself. I think you're driven more by hatred than by compassion.
You'll no doubt accuse me of being a typical zionist who wants to kill all Muslims and subjugate the world to my nefarious will but you'd be wrong there. I've been to Israel, and the West Bank as well as Gaza, and Jordan and met some wonderful people in these places, Jewish and Muslim, Christian Arabs too.
Before you generalise about all those who dare to defend Israel, take a look at your own prejudice.
How many nukes do these disturbed Pakistani head bangers have?
@Jankaas, Sir Michael et.al.
See this report from this evening and now tell us how Iran is not developing nuclear arms:
http://www.haaretz.com/news/middle-east/satellite-images-show-iran-clean...
Coleridge - "2. They are close to the Islamocrazies of Hamas and Hezbollah. They might just give them a dirty bomb."
There is no such thing as a "dirty bomb". The entire idea is a fantasy concocted during the Blair years to justify the Iraq war.
well spoken marriella isreal can get away with MURDER in this day and age..
Too much time is spent on Palestinians who get 9.5 times more aid per head that anyone else on the planet. Real disasters are just left cos no Jews involved, no one cares.
The ongoing civil war in Sudan has caused the deaths of nearly two million people since 1983, according to a humanitarian agency.
About 80% of southern Sudan's estimated FIVE million people have been displaced at one time or another since 1983 by fighting between rebels from the animist and Christian south, and forces loyal to the government of the Arab and Islamic north.
http://www.guardian.co.uk/world/2011/aug/08/gaza-first-five-star-hotel
This is terrible state of Gaza...5 Star hotel
@JJ
"Diplomats say spy satellite images of an Iranian military facility show trucks and earth-moving vehicles at the site that indicate crews were trying to clean it of radioactive traces."
Indications and speculation are not conformation. Such statements have been around for some time now... I really don't see how that article justifies anything.
We also speculated that Saddam Hussein had WMD.. look where that got us.
I'm not saying Iran has/ does not have such arms but what you're claiming to be definitive proof is nothing of the sort lol
@Julia
..here we go with the evil Arab's and Islamist's. How about this. if they are so evil... if they never comply.. if the world is a better place without them.. then shouldn't we all stop trading with them... but we wont do that either.
Ironically you talk about displacement being wrong in one country whilst claiming it to be absolutely fair in another.. ohh dear
:)
Mariella, you are a shameless liar. The connection between the Jews and the Holy Land was and is unbroken. Stop your fantasies and come down to earth. The Jews worshipped in Jerusalem long before Mohammed and his fairy tales of horses and flying to heaven. Islamists always want more and more. They have Mecca, Medina and part of Jerusalem but now they want all of Israel.
The barbaric attacks on the Jews of Hebron in 1929 is well documented as were the countless other pogroms carried out by mobs of Arabs against Jews all over Palestine.
Let me tell you that before the Jews returned to Palestine, it was a backwater, left to rot by the Turks. And the attitude towards the Chritian holy places was disgraceful
Read Simon Sebag Montifiore's book 'Jerusalem' and learn. Read Mark Twain's reports from Palestine on its dire situation.
If it wasn't for Jewish capital the place would have remained in its sorry state. Now it is a country that is the envy of all freedom loving Arabs.
Mariella: "f you feel so passionate about Israel, why not go and live there "
Err, if I did wouldn't you accuse me of being an evil zionist settler who deserves to be driven into the sea?
'Two of the diplomats told The Associated Press that those traces could have come from what they said was the testing of a small neutron trigger used to set off a nuclear explosion.'
@JJ
Your own quote says 'could'. Now im no English teacher but a quick Google search for the definition returns:
"Used to indicate possibility"
regards
And Julia's post about Sudan reminded me of this: Israel has taken in refugees from Sudan who know that the only country that they can live like human beings and not like cattle is Israel. Funny that they didn't stop in Egypt or an other backwater place. So Israel as usual and rightly so, takes in the Sudanese.
In diplomatic poker Israel has a really good hand. Problem is you have to pay to see 'em!
This is not an isolated problem unfortunately. Everybody has a stake in this game of survival and there are enough hot heads on either side of the divide to bring the roof down on all our heads.
Chicken Little
In the mid-1970s the late Robin Cook wrote an article in the New Statesman warning that selling vast amounts of arms to the Shah of Iran was not such a good idea. Even if the Shah was our friend he might not always be our friend and he might not always be in power.
And so it came to pass, within less than five years. An unfriendly regime came to power in Iran and inherited the vast amounts of arms that the West had sold to the Shah. And so the West tilted towards Iraq during the Iran - Iraq war, and so Saddam took the opportunity to develop some hideous weapons himself and so we had another problem.
That is why international law makes no distinction between the present nature of a regime when it comes to nuclear weapons. Nuclear weapons are so destabilising that no regime should have them. A stable, frendly and democractic regime today may be replaced by an unstable, unfriendly or autocratic one tomorrow. That is why the possession of nuclear weapons by countries outside the Big Five is a big problem. That is why the possession of nuclear weapons by countries who have not signed the NNPT is a big problem (though it is such a big problem our politicians are embarrassed to talk about it).
The old UN resolutions about Iraq that the UK claimed in 2003 to have been revived (in order to claim that the invasion of Iraq was legal) contain clauses that say that Iraqi disarmament should take place in the context of the creation of a nuclear-free Middle East. The fact that the UK used these resolutions to facilitate an attack on a country that did not have nuclear weapons, while neglecting the commitment to a nuclear-free Middle East, has convinced many countries that the UK is not really serious about disarmament and non-proliferation. If a nuclear-armed country that is not a member of the NNPT attacks another country because it might have nuclear weapons in future, and the UK/US/France etc allows it to do so, then the non-proliferation regime and international law will have taken another step in the downward spiral.
"See this report from this evening and now tell us how Iran is not developing nuclear arms:"
and woosh!! JJ has changed direction again.
my post to you had at least 3 questions, which you've totally ignored. very dull, not playing.
Look no further than some of the postings here by the zionist brigade. The Zionist apologists cannot tolerate any form of dissent. That you could even mention that Israel has a case to answer vis a vis the Palestinians is tantamount to treason. The amount of personal abuse heeped on Mehdi is truly shocking. Incitement to racial and religious hatred is a criminal offence in the UK. As for Israel being surrounded by 500 million Arabs, that is factually incorrect. Instead of trying to bully its neighbours, Israel should try to get along with them.
The truth is that Israel does not wnat ot get on with its Arab neighbours. The only sort of relationship it wants is one of servitude. It wants the Arabs on their knees!!!!
I know that Iran has a 100 year massive reservoir of oil and gas but the Iranians really need more nuclear peaceful electricity. Ahmadenejad, Khamenei, katami, the Ayatollahs, the imams the women-stoners all need lots of electricity to power up their VIBRATORS. Well worth risking a world war for!
In response to AJ Kearns:
Seemingly Israel is above the law when it comes to terrorism. The terrorist acts committed on British soldiers by the Stern Gang should be a matter for the British legal system . Israel should be brought to account for all the British lives lost at the King David Hotel.
Julia - excellent post, in both tone/content..
Sir Michael - just read "Mariella's" posts again, not just the content but the tone - and even you must conclude her posts are seriously unhinged, hysterical, deranged. If she really exists, and means what she says, then I do think she should seek psychiatric help....other posters have made pro-Palestinian or anti-Israel posts in rational, calm and passionate ways, but "she" clearly cant...it is not stigmatising people with serious mental health issues - like you say you have - to calmly point out how disturbed this poster appears to be, and "she" does genuinely appear to be
But anyway, lets move on with this....it is of course up to her to seek that help.
@ Sir Michael
Dear Sir Michael,
Such thoughtful and incisive comments made by your goodself are much appreciated. I am of the firm belief that Julia, JJ et al of similar views often resort to personal insult of one kind or another simply because they do not have a valid argument to make about the merits of their case.
I am heartened by the fact that you along with other readers can see these cheap jibes for what they are.
I believe that until the Israelis comes to recognise Palestinians as equal partners for peace, we are not going to get anywhere.
I hardly think that Israel does itself any favours when still enagaged in subjugation of one people, the Palestinians, is ready to engage in a battle with another nation, Iran.
Could you assist. Name me a country in the world where Israel has acted as either a peacemaker ar has been at the vanguard of human rights activism. Correct me if I wm wrong but there are several critical report on Israel's human rights record by Amnesty International
If your not there already you really should go to Iran Mariella and just get - STONED.
Re; Jerry
WHy do you always personalise issues. Despite everything that Sir Michael, you have gone onto repeat and use the very same pejorative terms in your description.
If that is your final position, is ii anywonder that Palestinians are unable to reach an accomodation with Israel.
ADMIT IT. YOU ARE PLAIN WRONG.
Correction of lies spread by Parkour. If Israel is a true democracy as Pete P claims, then why@
1. Was Vanunu imprisoned for 18 years
2. WHy was he sent back to prison in 2010 for violating bail terms
3. Why is he not allowed to leave the country.
4. Why is he banned from speaking to foreign journalists.
@Parkour Pete: Nice attempts at sarcasm and playing the race card. Your over-simplistic analysis ignored the facts which I had clearly set out, but I suppose you're not one to actually read what others have written before chucking your tuppence worth in.
@Mariella: Thank you. I forgot how utterly dismissive Murray was of someone who knew what he was talking about. Even the IAEA report says there is no evidence that Iran is trying to acquire nuclear weapons capability. This is an artificial crisis being drummed up by Israel and her friends, and it has 2003 written all over it. Clearly nobody has learned anything from Iraq.
where is julia harris?
Although I am against stoning, the very fact that you bring it up in such a topic is rather amusing. I mean really.. from nukes to stoning?
Does that mean I should pipe up that the electric chair is still valid in some US states.. and the US has nukes**OMG what a revelation** Does that mean the US is evil? Should we be dealing with these people. Should they be allowed to have peaceful nuclear power? Just curious :)
Also the very fact that Saudi Arabia, Bahrain and other countries we like to associate with, trade with and promote as being "examples of peace" in the middle east also do this. What makes them different to Iran.. if we think it is so disgusting in Iran then surely we should also not trade with those other countries... your haphazard logic and straw clutching is amusing.
Always nice to read other people's opinions but sometimes the logic of some commenters seems so obscene. Unfortunately it also dilutes the valid and real debatable opinions shared by others **sigh**
"JJ 'Two of the diplomats told The Associated Press that those traces could have come from what they said was the testing of a small neutron trigger used to set off a nuclear explosion.'
Alternatively, they could have come from >20% pure grade Uranium which is used for large scale nuclear reactors for its massively increasing energy consumption.
To build a Uranium bomb Iran would have to reach 80% high grade standard - this would take at least ten years from now. The weight of a single Uranium bomb capable of doing serious damage to Israel would have to weigh around 16,000LB. Only the US, China, Russia and France have the capacity to launch a Uranium warhead of that size.
Most nuclear weapons today use plutonium warheads because they are smaller, mobile and can be launched on small-medium rockets - Iran is not even interested in developing these weapons.
In response to David@
Yes we must not forget that in the BBC programme shown last Sunday we had in audience a former IAEI inspector who had all the facts at his disposal. And yet, Douglas Murray who has no expertise in weapons inspection claimed to know more than the actual expert.
In response to Parkour P, anyone with half a brain can see that he is a diehard Israeli apologist, often resorting to personal insults which I have been on the receiving end of. I refuse to be silenced as I long as I have a breath in my body, I will defend the human rights of Palestinians.
If the Koran didn't call for the killing of Jews even those hiding behind trees
If the Moslem world did not ethnically cleanse a million Jews from their lands
If the Arab states did not invade Israel in 1947 promising to murder every last Jew
If the Arabs didn't celebrate the killing of Jewish kids in suicide bombing attacks
If Hamas didn't declare in Article 7 of it's racist Covenant an intention to murder every Jew
If Malaysia didn't annually celebrate an 'anti-Jew Day'
If Ahmadenejad and the islamofascist Iranian regime did not threaten to annihilation Israel and murder it's Jewish population
If Israel wasn't threatened by the positioning of 50,000 missiles aimed at it's civilian population.....
Israel wouldn't need 200 nuclear missiles to defend itself.
AP Exclusive: Iran may be cleaning up nuke work
By GEORGE JAHN, Associated Press
VIENNA (AP) — Satellite images of an Iranian military facility appear to show trucks and earth-moving vehicles at the site, indicating an attempted cleanup of radioactive traces possibly left by tests of a nuclear-weapon trigger, diplomats told The Associated Press on Wednesday.
The assertions from the diplomats, all nuclear experts accredited to the International Atomic Energy Agency, could add to the growing international pressure on Iran over its nuclear program, which Tehran insists is for peaceful purposes.
http://www.google.com/hostednews/ap/article/ALeqM5iSYai4zaB33ik1U_CGcYrq...
Is Mehdi Hasan for or against stoning women to death? Please tell us Mehdi!
"The truth is that Israel does not wnat ot get on with its Arab neighbours"
Mariella is completely right with this statement and I am in 100% agreement with her, we are on the same page Mariella! :)
How would it be possible for Israel or any Sane and right minded person to get on with backward, ignorant, psychopathic, hateful, deceitful, wicked, evil Arabs who hate Jews, Israel and the West to there core and want to see them destroyed?
She is quite right, a point well made that Israel doesn't not want to get on with these Neighbours.
http://www.memritv.org/clip/en/0/0/0/0/0/0/3351.htm
http://www.memritv.org/clip/en/3346.htm
http://www.memritv.org/clip/en/3345.htm
http://www.memritv.org/clip/en/0/0/0/0/0/0/3349.htm
http://www.memritv.org/clip/en/3347.htm
http://www.memritv.org/clip/en/3343.htm
In response to Julia@
1. The Arab world is involved in trade to the EU and US to the tune of 98 billion dollars
2. Where did you get the idea that Israel is a model beacon state to which other states aspire to emulate.
3. The only conclusion that cna be drawn from your depiction of Arabs is that you would like to see Arabs wiped off the face of the map.
4. I suspect too that you come from the camp which says that Palestine is really Jordan.
5. Anybody reading your rant can see that you are a racist intolerant bigot. If your views are representative of those in Israeli, little wonder that the peace process is going nowhere. Never has; never will. The day Israel has to make real peace will be when they use the nuclear option.
Mariella can you name me a single Arab/Moslem state that isn't either:
A fascist military dictatorship
A medieval savage theocracy
A primitive feudal monarchy
An apartheid state
An Islamist tyranny?
Can you name one that
Respects human rights
Where the rule of law applies
That respects freedom of speech
Has a free press
People are not shot dead in the streets for peacefully protesting
Has free election?
Answer....... None. Could it be something to do with adherence to the racist, bloodthirsty, tyranny-loving Koran?
Re. @Marion
Thank you Marion: I take it as a badge of honour to be linked with other contributers who want to see fair play when it comes to the Palestine question.
@David & Mariella
I responded to you both with the disdain your inane postings deserved.
Why do you not admit it PP, you cannot abide anyone giving any kind of support to the Palestinians. As usual, you resort to petty personal insults instead of adressing the real issues. I asked you specfic questions about Vanunu who you falsely claimed was not imprisoned. Well he was for 18 years!!!! Let him leave the country if Israel is the democracy that you claim. Let him practise freely the Christian religion that now follows. He is being persecuted because he has rejected Judaism. Where is the toleracenf ro your fellow Israeli citizen!!
Marion/Mariella how much exactly does the Moslem Public Affairs Committee pay you to write this crap?
Gerry, Likud is only happy to dance the theocratic orthodox tune: “The ultra-Orthodox make up 10% of Israelis and could represent more than 15% in 2025…” Besides, who needs enemies of Israel in Iran when Israeli politics have been is dictated by the former Soviets? Mr. Lieberman is not shy about his racism and genocidal plans for Israel’s neighbors. - Modern Israel is light-year away from the vestiges of noble Jewish traditions of humanism. Israel has been transforming into a banal gangster state of Chicago variety. Stealing natives’ land for the benefits of economic refugees of a particular “religious ethnicity” is to grow the grapes of wrath in ME. The Israel-firsters in UK do not want to live in Israel (but they love Israel as a nice though expensive toy) and prefer to tend their sense of ethnic superiority for the expense of reason and dignity.
JJ, what is the origin of the word algebra? If you are such a purist you should immediately abandon all branches of math...
Lol, Marion and Mariella making conversation to herself, madness.
1. So what? Mainly Oil that the dumb ass Arabs didn’t find anyway, just lucky they happened to be on land where dinosaurs died millions of years ago. Otherwise more than likely they would be sitting in tents picking their feet, burping, farting and beating there women.
2. – Where did I say that? Its certainly a far superior country in probably most respects than any Islamic nation.
3. This is the problem with the dumb, they assume too much and don’t listen to words. Where did I say I wanted them wiped of the map? Calling someone wicked or evil doesn’t say I want them killed, However that is exactly what Arabs say about
Jews, that Jews are Evil etc and should be killed / Destroyed.
4. Definitely, No such people as Palestinian People, they are just Arabs same as Jordanians, Syrians, Lebanese, No separate Palestinian language or Culture, Yassar Arafat made up the narrative to gain support, it worked, but it’s a LIE.
5. I merely react to hatred against Jews and Israel, I wish all people of the world freedom, peace and prosperity. The rhetoric from Israel is that we have had war’s waged upon us and terror from all the Arabs pre and post 1948 and so we understand the nature of our enemy, however the Uber Left, Islamic Supremacists and Liberal minded intellects try to tell us we are the issue.
Israel is to begin construction soon on a vast detention facility in the Negev desert to house the thousands of immigrants that cross illegally into Israel from Egypt every year.
Human rights groups fear that the detention centre, the largest of its kind in the world, with a capacity to hold 8,000 migrants, will turn into a festering refugee camp, and deprive those escaping persecution at home of their rights to seek asylum in Israel.
The project was approved by Israel's right-wing government 18 months ago, but many Israelis are uncomfortable about spurning asylum seekers from war-torn African countries given their own history as a nation of refugees.
"We'll do all it takes to provide reasonably humane conditions," an unnamed defence official told Israel's Haaretz newspaper. "We all wish we didn't have to build such a facility. But we're in a certain situation due to certain circumstances, and we need a facility to address these needs."
The facility, which will be built on the grounds of Ketziot prison near Israel's southern border, will accommodate migrants, including women and children, for up to three years before they are deported to their country of origin; those from "enemy" states, such as Sudan, who cannot be repatriated, could be detained indefinitely.
If Israel is the land of democracy, could somebody please explain why it is building the largest prison in the world, as outlined in my previous submission taken from the Independent Newspaper.
As I have said, the Muslim world in the region and the Uber left like Marion are driven by Sheer Green envy and Jealously of Jewish People and Israel.
They cannot abide and reconcile that they (Muslims) live in backward and tribal societies. They play the victim card and blame everyone else for their lot - never taking responsibility for there own lives and actions. They are always making excuses for there behaviour saying its Iraq or its Israels, or the US’s fault for there misery. Ultimatley its one excuse after the other and its the jealous and envy at the success, sophistication and enlightenment of the Jewish people that drives this constant narrative of Jewish lies and hatred.
Muslim in the region are like bully's at school. They look at the clever boy who is liked by most and excels, a success. However his success is despised by these bullies who are unhappy with their own lives as they are unfulfilled, immature, they are uneducated, unenlightened and un-directed. They choose to stay within the confines of a backward system (Islam) and it is this trap that keeps them there, perpetuating the myth that that Muslims are peaceful and inclusive people and that if we all tried harder to accommodate them, then the issues we face between the west and the Islamic world would cease....Utter Lies and bullshit.
@Mark Wallace
"What will it take for you to see the difference between a nuclear armed Israel and a nuclear armed Iran?"
now there's a dumb question. Israel has nukes, Iran does not.
and here's the view, which i agree with btw, from the Islamofascist Lefty Liberal Anti-Semite Efraim Halevy (ex-director of Mossad);
http://www.ynetnews.com/articles/0,7340,L-4143909,00.html
i wonder if Mr Halevy spends much time in his Islamabad cave dwelling stoning women to death?