Opinionomics | 16 May 2012

Must-read comment and analysis. Grexit! Grexit! Grexit!

1. Economic update – May 2012: Osborne’s austerity strangles Britain (Left Foot Forward)

Tony Dolphin presents his comprehensive monthly assessment of the economic situation.

2. An equality multiplier? (Stumbling and Mumbling)

Chris Dillow looks at the possibility that equality breeds equality, and asks what this means for social policy.

3. Is Germany bluffing on Greece? (Bruegel)

Philine Schuseil rounds up the German-language press response to the possibility of Grexit.

4. How Keynes would solve the eurozone crisis (Financial Times)

Marcus Miller and Robert Skidelsky write that for a country in such desperate straits as Greece, orderly exit from the euro to regain competitiveness looks to be the best option.

5. German voters must break the Merkel mindset that got them into this (Guardian)

Greece's euro membership was as much the German elite's fault as anyone's. Can it find the leadership to resolve the crisis, asks Robin Wells

Angela Merkel murmurs to Francois Hollande. Photograph: Getty Images

Alex Hern is a technology reporter for the Guardian. He was formerly staff writer at the New Statesman. You should follow Alex on Twitter.

Getty Images.
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Is anyone prepared to solve the NHS funding crisis?

As long as the political taboo on raising taxes endures, the service will be in financial peril. 

It has long been clear that the NHS is in financial ill-health. But today's figures, conveniently delayed until after the Conservative conference, are still stunningly bad. The service ran a deficit of £930m between April and June (greater than the £820m recorded for the whole of the 2014/15 financial year) and is on course for a shortfall of at least £2bn this year - its worst position for a generation. 

Though often described as having been shielded from austerity, owing to its ring-fenced budget, the NHS is enduring the toughest spending settlement in its history. Since 1950, health spending has grown at an average annual rate of 4 per cent, but over the last parliament it rose by just 0.5 per cent. An ageing population, rising treatment costs and the social care crisis all mean that the NHS has to run merely to stand still. The Tories have pledged to provide £10bn more for the service but this still leaves £20bn of efficiency savings required. 

Speculation is now turning to whether George Osborne will provide an emergency injection of funds in the Autumn Statement on 25 November. But the long-term question is whether anyone is prepared to offer a sustainable solution to the crisis. Health experts argue that only a rise in general taxation (income tax, VAT, national insurance), patient charges or a hypothecated "health tax" will secure the future of a universal, high-quality service. But the political taboo against increasing taxes on all but the richest means no politician has ventured into this territory. Shadow health secretary Heidi Alexander has today called for the government to "find money urgently to get through the coming winter months". But the bigger question is whether, under Jeremy Corbyn, Labour is prepared to go beyond sticking-plaster solutions. 

George Eaton is political editor of the New Statesman.