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The Staggers

The latest comment and analysis from our writers

4 November 2024

The American election belongs to the oligarchy

Self-interested plutocrats are bankrolling both candidates.

By Adrian Pabst

“Democracy dies in darkness,” or so runs the slogan of the Washington Post, first taken up during the Trump presidency. But apparently it also gets by fine under oligarchy. The newspaper’s decision not to endorse either presidential candidate has thrown its newsroom into turmoil, slashed its subscriber base and triggered the resignations of several members of staff. But the decision itself is arguably less significant than who is alleged to have made it. The Post’s own journalists reported that its owner, the Amazon tycoon Jeff Bezos, personally intervened to spike the planned endorsement of Kamala Harris. This dynamic also played out with the billionaire owner of the LA Times, Patrick Soon-Shiong, who made the same call. Media barons’ flagrant wielding ...

4 November 2024

Should Labour fear Kemi Badenoch?

Downing Street believes that the new Conservative leader has made two early errors.

By George Eaton

A new political era has begun. July’s cataclysmic election still left the UK stranded between the past and the future. Labour struggled to achieve political definition despite its landslide victory; Rishi Sunak continued to lead the Conservatives – and was even called “prime minister” by Keir Starmer. Rachel Reeves’s Budget and Kemi Badenoch’s election as Tory leader have ended this phoney war. The former made clear in word and deed that the UK is under new economic management. Public spending will settle at 44.5 per cent of GDP – its highest sustained level in history. Taxation will reach a record high of 38.2 per cent (putting Britain closer to the European social democratic norm).  Reeves has inverted the Conservative mantra that strong ...

2 November 2024

Has Rachel Reeves missed the bus?

Lifting the fare cap was better politics than it was policy.

By Jonn Elledge

The thing about buses, right, is that they’re not very sexy. Agatha Christie did not write murder mysteries set on one; Brief Encounter did not begin at a bus station. Even transport nerds prefer trains, because they look cooler, and because they often come with good maps. Throw in the fact that people who work in London are vastly more likely to commute by train than people anywhere else, and our political class has often seemed strangely oblivious to what remains the UK’s most used form of public transport. In much of the country, buses are not merely the main, but the only form of public transport available. Yet the deep cuts to local services that came with austerity have gone ...

2 November 2024

Silicon Valley’s greatest moonshot

Big Tech’s billionaires aren’t scared of Trump – they like what he’s selling.

By Will Dunn

Fundamental to the business culture of Silicon Valley is the idea of the moonshot, in which a company stakes its capital and its reputation on an idea that could change the world. As in the original Apollo programme, prodigious investment is justified by claiming the competition as a zero-sum game. A successful paradigm shift makes the opponent irrelevant. After the iPod, CDs are finished. After Facebook, local newspapers are finished. For investors in the AI bubble, the idea that such technology could wipe out millions of jobs is not a risk but a promise. That is what it means to be disruptive, and it is central to the offer that technology companies make to the market: invest enough and they ...

1 November 2024

What Labour gets wrong about Right to Buy

The policy is a drain on council resources and a gift to the private rental market.

By Megan Kenyon

Towards the end of 1979, Michael Heseltine unveiled a policy which he claimed would lay “the foundations for one of the most important social revolutions of this century”. Heseltine, then Margaret Thatcher’s environment secretary, announced the government’s plans to give council tenants the right to buy their homes at a discount. It is not an overstatement to say that his announcement has irreversibly damaged the British housing market. Heseltine was right that Right to Buy would spark a social revolution, though perhaps not of the kind he intended. The introduction of this policy came off the back of more than a decade of prolific housebuilding in the UK. The efforts of Harold Wilson’s government had seen the proportion of council ...

1 November 2024

Why the Budget has cheered Scottish Labour

The SNP can no longer claim that little divides Keir Starmer’s government from the Conservatives.

By Chris Deerin

Conversations with the Scottish Labour leadership have not been happy ones in recent months: wrinkled brows, worry, prevarication, hedging.  If they never quite thought they were on a glide path to victory at the 2026 Holyrood election, Keir Starmer’s entrance into Downing Street certainly helped them believe it was likely. But then came a summer and autumn of wild missteps. Too many own goals at Westminster, too little dynamism, a reckless squandering of what should have been a useful honeymoon period. Starmer’s personal poll rating has cratered. John Swinney’s SNP has started presenting as a more reasonable, moderate and agreeable force. Eek. The effect is that Anas Sarwar’s momentum has stuttered. We’ll see what the polls say in the coming months, but ...

31 October 2024

Labour’s Budget headaches aren’t over

Poor economic growth could force Rachel Reeves to choose between cuts and more tax rises.

By George Eaton

This Budget was the one that Labour always promised to deliver – if you listened closely enough. As I wrote before the election, Keir Starmer and Rachel Reeves’ pledge to “prevent austerity” was only achievable through larger tax rises. These, I suggested, would be imposed after Reeves discovered “the books are worse than thought”. That’s exactly what has happened. The £41.5bn of tax rises announced by Reeves put the UK within touching distance of the western European norm (a tax take of 38.2 per cent of GDP will leave us level with the Netherlands and not far off Germany). Combine this with a new industrial strategy, stronger workers’ rights and the highest public investment since Harold Wilson and a distinctively social-democratic ...

30 October 2024

The UK has moved closer to European social democracy

Rachel Reeves is increasing taxes, investment and regulation in pursuit of a different economic model.

By David Gauke

The political row over this Budget will be about whether Labour has stuck to its manifesto commitments on tax and borrowing. As I argued yesterday, the government is not on strong ground on this point. It promised to stick to its existing fiscal rules and maintained that – beyond the very limited tax increases it had identified – there would be no need for higher taxes. The spending plans which they inherited were recognised as being tight but not undeliverable. Any additional spending would be paid for from higher economic growth. That is not what we heard from Rachel Reeves today. Instead, we heard an argument for higher spending funded by higher taxes and higher investment funded by higher borrowing. The political cost ...