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28 September 2010

New poll puts Labour ahead for first time since 2007

A major psychological boost for Ed Miliband.

By George Eaton

Ed Miliband’s big day has got off to a good start, with a poll putting Labour ahead of the Tories for the first time since the election that never was in 2007. The latest daily YouGov poll has Labour up two to 40 per cent, the Tories unchanged on 39 per cent and the Lib Dems down from a post-conference high of 15 per cent to 12. If repeated at the election on a uniform swing, the latest figures would give Labour a majority of 10 seats.

New Statesman Poll of Polls

chart

Hung Parliament, Labour 16 seats short

All political parties usually receive a poll bounce from their conference and, indeed, when a new leader takes over. But this is still a major psychological boost for the party and Miliband. It highlights why the right are entirely wrong to dismiss Miliband as Labour’s William Hague or even Iain Duncan Smith. It took three and a half years and the fuel strike for a poll to put Hague’s Conservatives ahead. We’ll get a better idea after today’s speech of the Miliband dividend Labour can expect to receive.

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