In a forthcoming interview with Jonathan Derbyshire and Mehdi Hasan of the New Statesman, the Nobel Prize-winning US economist Joseph Stiglitz says that he is “incredulous” at the Conservatives’ plans to cut spending. He describes Tory economic policy as “Hooverite” and dismisses as “crazy” and “fear-mongering” the claim that Britain is at risk of defaulting on its debts.
His response to David Cameron’s and George Osborne’s plans to cut spending: “Incredulous . . . We [Keynesians] had a victory for a year and then back come the Hooverites.”
On Conservative claims that Britain is in danger of a Greek-style debt crisis and risks losing its AAA credit rating: “I think it’s fear-mongering and I think the notion that the rating agencies, which did such a terrible job over rating all these products — that we should show deference to their judgement of good economic policy seems outrageous.”
On the suggestion, put about by George Osborne, among others, that Britain is at risk of default: “I say you’re crazy — economically you clearly have the capacity to pay. The debt situation has been worse in other countries at other times. This is all scaremongering, perhaps linked to politics, perhaps rigged to an economic agenda, but it’s out of touch with reality. One of the advantages that you have is that you have your own central bank that can buy some of these bonds to stabilise their price.”
On what will happen to unemployment if the Tories expand monetary policy: “I don’t think there is much scope for monetary expansion . . . without engaging in new risks for the economy . . . So under the current framework it would almost certainly lead to higher unemployment.”
On Gordon Brown: “I think he is . . . genuinely committed to broad social goals — climate change, developing countries, fixing globalisation.”
On whether Brown would make a good future head of the IMF or World Bank once he leaves Downing Street: “Yes. These are issues that he cares about passionately and that he understands and is very engaged in. He really did play a big role in reshaping the G20.”