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''The shah's plan was to build bombs''

Maziar Bahari

Published 11 September 2008

Akbar Etemad, the shah's chief atomic energy adviser, tells Maziar Bahari about the unlikely birth of Iran's nuclear programme

Dr Akbar Etemad is the father of Iran's nuclear programme. After graduating from Lausanne University in 1963, Etemad returned to Iran and became a nuclear adviser to the Iranian government. He was the president of the Atomic Energy Organisation of Iran (AEOI) between 1974 and 1978.

The rising oil prices of the early 1970s allowed the Shah of Iran, Mohammad Reza Pahlavi, to embark on ambitious industrial and military projects. Under Etemad's supervision, Iran launched an extensive nuclear energy programme. The goal was to produce roughly 23,000 megawatts of electrical power from a series of nuclear power stations within 20 years.

A host of contracts between Iran and nuclear suppliers in Europe and the United States followed: Iran struck a deal with Kraftwerk Union, a Siemens subsidiary of then West Germany, to build two 1,200-megawatt reactors at Bushehr, and negotiated with the French company Framatome for two additional 900-megawatt reactors. In 1974, Iran reportedly invested $1bn in a French uranium enrichment plant owned by Eurodif, a European consortium.

The shah's plans and Iran's co-operation with Europe and the US came to an abrupt halt after the 1979 Islamic Revolution. Many of Etemad's colleagues fled the country or were summarily executed by the new rulers, and Etemad left Iran for France, where he has been living for the past 30 years. Yet losing his position has not made him bitter. He primarily blames the Europeans and the Americans for the current Iranian nuclear crisis. He believes that the west does not respect Iran's sovereignty - and that it is natural for Iranians not to trust Europeans and Americans.

Q Could you tell us about the history of Iran's nuclear technology?

A When Dwight Eisenhower initiated his Atoms for Peace programme in 1953, Iran was one of the first countries to receive a small nuclear reactor. It was primarily used for university research. Then, in the early 1970s, the shah came to the conclusion that Iran should develop its nuclear technology. We needed nuclear power plants to generate electricity: the population was increasing and people were using more electricity than before.

Q Did you ever ask the shah why he decided to develop Iran's nuclear programme when Iran had large oil and gas reserves?

A The shah always believed that oil shouldn't just be burned to produce energy. He used to tell other world leaders that oil is an industrial product and we have only a limited amount of it available to us. He thought that everyone should be looking for alternative sources of energy.

Q What did the American government, Iran's main ally at the time, think of Iran's nuclear policy?

A They agreed with Iran's nuclear policy, but with some reservations. Our negotiations with the Americans started in 1974. From the beginning, they had the precondition that they should have complete control over our nuclear fuel cycle. Both the Ford and Carter administrations told us privately that they didn't have any issues with the Iranian government. The problem was that Yugoslavia and Egypt were waiting to see what Iran and the US agreed. The Americans were asking us to compromise so they could replicate the agreement with other countries. I remember President Ford even wrote a private letter to the shah asking for more flexibility. But I told the shah that the Americans' relationship with other countries is their own problem. We must think about our national interest and have total control over our own fuel cycle. The shah agreed with me and put my comments in his reply to Ford.

Q Did the shah ever tell you that he may have wanted to build nuclear weapons?

A I always suspected that part of the shah's plan was to build bombs. So I came up with a plan to dissuade him. I asked the shah if I could spend a few hours every week teaching him about nuclear technology. I thought he should know enough about nuclear energy to know the dangers of a bomb. At the end of the sixth month I asked him, "So now that you have a good grasp of the technology, what direction do you want to take? Do you want to use it for peaceful purposes or to build bombs? I have to know that in order to plan it."

We talked for about three hours, and the shah told me his ideas about Iranian defence strategy. He thought that Iran's conventional army was already the most powerful in the region, and believed that Iran didn't need nuclear weapons at that moment. He also realised that if Iran developed nuclear weapons, the Europeans and the Americans wouldn't co-operate with it. But I think that if the shah had remained in power he would have developed nuclear weapons because now Pakistan, India and Israel all have them.

Q The current government of Iran says that its reasons for developing its nuclear programme are also peaceful. What do you think about the nuclear policy of the Islamic government?

A You may be able to criticise certain aspects of current Iranian nuclear policy. But the west has isolated Iran. The Europeans and the Americans, for instance, are not even providing them with spare parts for commercial airplanes that were paid for in the shah's time. So Iran has to buy second-hand Russian planes that fail every now and then and kill many Iranians every year. But young Iranian scientists are developing Iran's nuclear technology without any help from the west. This is something that I am really proud of.

Q The Europeans and the US argue that Iran has forfeited its right to enrich uranium because of what the International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA) described as "patterns of concealment" in the 1980s and 1990s.

A This is not a legal argument. I'm not sure what happened in the past. But even if they were not transparent 20 years ago, it doesn't mean that Iran cannot enjoy its right to enrich uranium within the framework of the Non-Proliferation Treaty (NPT). Many countries have lapsed in reporting their activities but were never punished. Iran has co-operated fully with the IAEA over the past five years. The west has only "suspicions". And suspicions have no legal weight.

Q You don't think that the Iranian government is trying to build nuclear weapons?

A I'm not a mind reader. The Iranian government says that it doesn't want to build bombs. But if you ask me, the way the west is isolating Iran leaves it no choice but to build nuclear weapons. Iran has nothing to lose and nothing to fear from sanctions any more. When Israel threatens to attack Iran, it dares to do so because it has nuclear weapons and Iran does not. The Iranian government may now see them as the only way they can defend themselves.

Q It seems that the Iranian government is preoccupied with its survival. Do you think if the west, especially the Americans, guarantees the security and survival of the Islamic regime, it would then be more flexible in its nuclear stance?

A Definitely. Iran wants the nuclear negotiations to be part of a bigger package that guarantees its security. If the west can assure Iranian officials that it doesn't want to overthrow them, Iranians would be more willing to negotiate. The west should stop supporting terrorism against Iran and helping groups such as the MKO [the People's Mujahedin of Iran, a militant Islamist opposition movement based in Iraq].

Q What do you think should be done now?

A Iran doesn't trust the west, and vice versa. By agreeing a temporary freeze of its programme for enrichment of uranium in November 2004, Iran showed its willingness to work with the west. But it was disappointed by the west's response, or lack of it.

There is no solution for Iran's nuclear prob-lem other than a diplomatic solution. I, as an Iranian, feel insulted when countries talk about attacking Iran militarily. A military attack would not weaken the Iranian government, and it could not stop the nuclear programme. It would only start a new regional crisis without a foreseeable end.

When a country is included in the world community it will be much more careful about what it does. The proposals and counterproposals should be transparent. No one knows what it is that the west is offering Iran and what is the Iranian response. A transparent policy would encourage Iranian leaders to be more responsive to international public opinion and act more responsibly. If the west adopts this policy, it can sort out its differences with Iran - not only over its nuclear programme but over other issues as well.

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25 comments from readers

Mahtab
11 September 2008 at 15:43

What a big joke!

This guy is supposed to be a former Shah adviser, but his comments seem to be perfectly formulated and edited as if they where coming from the mouth of the murderous Mullahs in Iran. His desperate attack on the democratic opposition in Iran, the People's Mojahedin, leaves no doubt that this is yet another "perfect story" written, edited and posted by the Iranian regime's notorious Intelligence ministry.

Its funny that they get so desperate that they now even try to buy themselves credit form the Shah!....

Newstatesman editors should be more experienced than to allow these Iranian regime propaganda to appear under their name.

M. Hajian

Kamran Ramyar
11 September 2008 at 16:48

Monarchy, Islamic Republic, Socialists (a.k.a.: MKO), communists, etc.... It does not matter who rules Iran. The fundemental issue is Iran's right to develop nuclear technology and have complete control over its fuel cycle. Iran is a signatory to NPO treaty and therefore bound to its rules, by-laws, and intricacies. Nobody has the right to dictate how Iran should develop its nuclear program - not the Americans, not the British, not the French, or Germans, or European Unin in general, and most important of all NOT THE ZIONISTS LIVING ILLEGLLY AND ON BORROWED TIME IN THE OCCUPIED TERRITORIES!!!!

shahin_usa
11 September 2008 at 17:12

The only joke here is your referral to the Mojahedin Cult ( also know as the Tank Girls) as democratic! Every Iranian is well aware the MKO's insane and murderous history. It must be pretty hard on you guys trying to find a new patron now that Saddam is hell where your "Glorious Leader" also belongs.

alishirvani
11 September 2008 at 17:49

Dear "Mahtab", with all due respect, I, along with many people disagree with your referrence to MKO, or People's Mojahedin as a democratic institution. First, MKO's history is one of violence. Second, Rajavi Family has been running it since the revolution. That by itself disqualifies it from being democratic. It is by definition, an autocratic institution. Third, democracy means tolerance of others & their beliefs. From what I understand, if you are woman & belong to MKO, you must have Hejab, & there is no way around it. So, what if one does not believe in hejab? How does MKO deal with that?

MashtAli
11 September 2008 at 20:04

It is apparent that the terrorist MKO leaders believe their survival depends on U.S. or Israel attacking Iran. So all their efforts are targeted in bringing about such a conflict. They will fabricate “intelligence” and lie to their teeth, just like the Bush admin did prior to attacking Iraq, to achieve their goals. They are ready and willing to sacrifice the whole of Iran so they can continue their disgraceful lives! MKO is nothing but a cult group which has a tight stranglehold over its members. As bad as Islamic Republic leaders are, they are angels compared to MKO leaders. If these people had taken power, dissent would’ve been suppressed much more harshly and labor camps would’ve popped up all over Iran…

alex34
11 September 2008 at 20:11

The war on terror started in 1979 when under the guise of human rights Jimmy Carter removed support from the Shah of Iran, for alleged and highly exaggerated criminal acts by the secret service against communist and fundamentalist prisoners who had been captured after committed crimes. Some 2500 to 3000 people.

Carter then placed Americas support with a Holy man, who was the founding father of the fanatical fundamentalist government in today's Iran, Khomeini.

I do not support BUSHES War on terror because it fails to apply one essential point. "We must first support our friends and allies, for the sake of American honor and credibility, before we pursue our enemies."

Freedom and America had no better friend than the Shah of Iran. And we must lend back support to him. The record of history shows, he co-operated with a sincere aim of bringing all of his people towards goodness, beauty and truth, by giving them personal sovereignty and freedom. Even political freedoms could have evolved over the next 50 years from his foundation of leadership.

Now we are all taking sides on how to deal with a nuclear issue. As if that is the issue. It's a distraction and truly irrelevant when you consider it is a mistrust of the regime in Iran which occurred based on an American error and with the lack of wisdom and education on the part of Iranians.

mestakhr
11 September 2008 at 20:44

This was an informative article for those who like to know about the origins of Iran's nuclear technology and policy in a nutshell. What it shows, as it may well be exemplified in many other areas, is a continuity in Iran's policy from the Shah's time to the present. It is unfortunate, parenthetically, that the commentators before me rather than expressing their views about the gist of the article--Iran's nuclear history/policy--have made it an occasion to sling dirt at the current government and at each others' political posture.

Kiumars
11 September 2008 at 23:04

Who was shah going to use the bomb on? Muslims or Israel?

Shah was a close friend of Israel then he must have intended to kill the Muslims!

Is that why the friends of Israel (i.e. the west) had no problem with shah making the bomb?

Mahtab
11 September 2008 at 23:54

It’s funny to see so many regime people lining to answer my comment....It must have touched a sensitive nerve in Tehran! (and regime lobbyists anywhere else)

My point was simple and clear. There is no doubt this regime is about to develop nuclear weapons. The article is trying to ignore this fact and confuse people as if Mullahs where just some innocent nice guys aiming to serve their people (whom they hang from cranes in the public on a daily basis) with nuclear energy …. This is the big joke!

It is only the right of the Iranian people (and not the Mullahs) to decide about the nuclear program. There are so many wounds, and social injuries Mullahs have done to our society, they could start there if they claim wanting serve the “Iranian nation”.

The bottom line is: no matter how much money and energy you put in whitewashing this regime…. Time’s up for the Mullahs! People of Iran will get red of them very soon….

hass
12 September 2008 at 00:54

Funny how the title of this piece is TOTALLY MISLEADING and the body of the article does NOT say that the Shah planned to make nukes

mehrad
12 September 2008 at 01:29

I sooo agree with Mahtab... they have destroyed our country in the past 30 years. they have made the sociaty go back to the dark ages. you look at just the pictures taken before 1979-1978 people look so happy everywhere but now u should see the pictures... a country who cannot control the streets with simply driving in between the lines wants to have its hands on a nuclear power? a government who hangs people for just speaking their mind about the truth wants nuclear power? this government is weak and now wants support around for something, anything, Nuclear issue is something they try to rally the people around. there was 5000 anti government movements in the past year, the most ever!

alexjones
12 September 2008 at 02:02

It's a pity that the title of the article doesn't do justice to the content of a brilliant interview. Once again Maziar Bahari proves that he's the best commentator of the situation in Iran.

Alex James

London

Majid Saatchi
12 September 2008 at 03:11

In a move which could lead to a deeper probe of the dark world of Iran-backed terror networks in Iraq and their links to Lebanon's Hezbollah, U.S. troops detained a senior official in the Iraqi government, Ali al-Lami, at the Baghdad airport as he returned from Beirut. A U.S. military statement said al-Lami, suspected of ties to Iran, was taken into custody on August 28, for his role in planning a June 24 suicide bombing that killed ten people, including four Americans. "The man has been known to travel in and out of Iraq to neighboring nations including Iran and Lebanon, where it is believed he meets and helps run the Iranian-backed Special Groups in Iraq," the statement said.

For nearly three decades, the mullahs' terror machine and its many tentacles have been reaching outward. Since 2003, Iraq has been singled out as a strategic training ground for Tehran's terror machine. While some aspects of this terrorist campaign have been exposed in recent years, little has been said about Tehran's export of suicide bombers.

When the ayatollahs took 52 Americans hostage in Tehran in 1979, they were emboldened by the wavering international response. They plotted another run - testing Washington's resolve in April 1983 with a suicide truck bomb attack on the American Embassy in Beirut, killing 63 people. On October 23 the same year, another suicide truck bomb targeted the U.S. Marine barracks in Beirut, killing 241 Marines. The Americans packed up and left, and the U.S. policy of appeasing Iran was born.

When U.S.-led forces attacked Iraq, Tehran intensified its recruitment and training of Iraqi suicide bombers as an integral part of its multi-pronged terror campaign. These efforts heightened after the Islamic Revolutionary Guards Corps' (IRGC's) rise to power in all branches of the theocratic regime. This cunning alliance between Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei and the IRGC's top brass, catapulted former Qods Force commander Mahmoud Ahmadinejad to the presidency in 2005.

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Under Ahmadinejad, the industry of recruiting and training suicide bombers — Iranian or otherwise — has grown exponentially. In addition to clandestine training centers, several state-sponsored centers, billed as "non-governmental organizations," are actively and openly recruiting and training what Islamic extremists call "poor men's missiles." During his tenure as mayor of Tehran, Ahmadinejad was instrumental in creating these terror outfits. He provided political cover for them and placed the municipality's resources at their disposal.

One, the "Headquarters for Commemoration of Martyrs of the Global Islamic Movement," gained notoriety in 2004, when it was inaugurated as an NGO whose mission was to recruit "suicide volunteers" to combat "World Arrogance." Spokesman Mohammad Ali Samadi told a state-run daily on the sidelines of a three-day event commemorating "martyred" suicide bombers that nearly 2,000 people had already registered. The application distributed at the event had three categories of suicide operations from which to choose: those targeting U.S.-led forces in Iraq, Jews in Israel or Salman Rushdie.

On October 2005, only months after Ahmadinejad's inauguration, Samadi told the media that "40,000 have already signed up for martyrdom-seeking operations," boasting that they had been, "organized into three battalions of volunteers with more to follow in due course." Samadi later said in July 2006, that the number of would be bombers had grown to 55,000.

The IRGC and its elite terrorist arm, the Qods Force, direct the activities of these terror NGOs, and top IRGC commanders regularly attend their public events. For example Brig. Gen. Salami, a confidant of Ahmadinejad and Director of Operations or the IRGC Joint Chiefs of Staff, was the keynote speaker at the commemoration event. His address was, not surprisingly, entitled "Suicide operations: A security and military strategy perspective."

Mohammad-Reza Jafari, a senior IRGC officer, told the pro-Ahmadinejad weekly Parto Sokhan in summer 2005 that a military base under his command, the "Lovers of Martyrdom Garrison," had begun to recruit and train volunteers for "martyrdom-seeking operations." He added that "a Martyrdom-seeking Division will be formed for each province in the country, organized in brigades, battalions and companies." In an earlier interview with another publication, he stressed his ties with Ahmadinejad, saying: "I have personally met Dr. Ahmadinejad, the distinguished mayor of Tehran. He is a Bassiji [hard-core fundamentalist] and I recommend that other officials make him a role model."

Brig. Gen. Mohammad Kossari, another senior IRGC commander and director of the Security Bureau of Iran's Armed Forces, ominously referred to the U.S. and Coalition forces in Iraq in fall 2005, saying: "We know all of the enemies' weak points and know what to do against them. Today, we have martyrdom-seeking individuals who are ready to strike at these sensitive points."

Hassan Abbasi, director of the "Doctrinal Analysis Center for Security without Borders," the IRGC's think tank for ideological theories rationalizing the regime's strategic use of terrorism, was even blunter. On April 16, 2006, the Sunday Times of London reported that the IRGC had formed a force called the Special Unit of Martyrdom-Seekers to organize more than 40,000 trained suicide bombers "to strike at British and American targets if the nation's nuclear sites are attacked." It quoted Abbasi as saying: "We are ready to attack American and British sensitive points if they attack Iran's nuclear facilities." He added that 29 western targets had been identified, some of them "quite close" to the Iranian border in Iraq.

To be sure, the ayatollahs seek to score psychological and propaganda points with their hype about suicide bombers. Sowing fear is their favorite method of intimidating their "enemies," both without and within. At a minimum, they believe this terrorist saber-rattling will inject some badly needed vigor into their fast depleting ideological base. Nothing energizes these guys' fanatic followers better than the specter of a "human missile" blowing up "infidels."

It is, however, very naïve and downright reckless to discount their threats as hollow rhetoric. Just imagine the death and destruction, if even a small fraction of the purported 55,000 suicide recruits turns out to be the real deal. Nevertheless, the Ayatollahs are extremely vulnerable inside the country, as anti-government demonstrations mount throughout Iran. Is the West finally prepared to recognize this and adjust its policies accordingly?

nawawimohamad
12 September 2008 at 11:03

Iran must remain strong, independent and advance. The country has gone through so much hardships and should now Iranians should forget the past and make the necessary sacrifices to make the country stronger instead of quarelling amongst themselves which will only benefit the enemies of Iran.

Riaz Ahmad
13 September 2008 at 11:17

India is not a member of NPT, yet the west is too keen to transfer advance nuclear technology. This amounts to violation of the core principle of the treaty with impunity. Why should Iran or any one else abide by this nuclear aparthied. Double standards aside, even the lack of shame has its limits, but the west knows no limits.

cyrusthegreat
13 September 2008 at 20:52

One needs to look at the big picture rather than being distracted by personalities and minor events. The real issue at hand is Anglo-American hegemony. With Iran becoming Nuclear, gun boat diplomacy in the Middle East will finally come to an end. This will in turn require an overhaul of geo-political thinking and alliances. In actuality it will foment regional alliances which in turn will be detrimental to the current 'balance of power diplomacy' of divide and conquer tactfully employed by the British for the latter couple of Centuries. It will also compel the US to seriously question, out of national interest, its unequivocal support of Israel. For the US to secure its lifeline to cheap oil it will have to sooner rather than later come to terms with Iran, otherwise Iran will be forcedinto the Russian and Chinese spheres. This will unequivocally challenge the very essence of Anglo-American hegemony. Conclusion, fix your Iran policy in amicable terms or risk losing control of your interests in cheap middle eastern oil. $100 is cheap for a barrel of oil (42 gallons).

cyrusthegreat
13 September 2008 at 20:53

One needs to look at the big picture rather than being distracted by personalities and minor events. The real issue at hand is Anglo-American hegemony. With Iran becoming Nuclear, gun boat diplomacy in the Middle East will finally come to an end. This will in turn require an overhaul of geo-political thinking and alliances. In actuality it will foment regional alliances which in turn will be detrimental to the current 'balance of power diplomacy' of divide and conquer tactfully employed by the British for the latter couple of Centuries. It will also compel the US to seriously question, out of national interest, its unequivocal support of Israel. For the US to secure its lifeline to cheap oil it will have to sooner rather than later come to terms with Iran, otherwise Iran will be forcedinto the Russian and Chinese spheres. This will unequivocally challenge the very essence of Anglo-American hegemony. Conclusion, fix your Iran policy in amicable terms or risk losing control of your interests to cheap middle eastern oil. $100 is cheap for a barrel of oil (42 gallons).

cyrusthegreat
13 September 2008 at 21:24

Any student of history and geopolitics will understand why attacking Iran will be a major faux pas. First, Iran is not a colonial creation and never was part of any colonial empire. Throughout the vicissitudes of history Iran has prevailed as a nation for over 2500 years. If the US decides to attack Iran you can rest assured that Iranian Nationalism will trump any divisions amongst most Iranians. The idea of dividing Iranians based on ethnic grounds, like that of Iraq or the balkans won't work in Iran. Most Iranians are hybids of Persians, Kurds and Azeri's etc. and it would be impractical by any logical standard to create such divisions. The most unifying factor in Iran is Nationalism, which even trumps its state religion, Shi'ism. The geography of Iran is also conducive to asymetrical warfar, giving the indiginous population a critical advantage, not to mention its close proximity to Russia. To date Russia has had great difficulty securing a warm water port in close proximity Persian Gulf and Indian Ocean and China has had great difficulty in securing its future lifeline to cheap Middle Eastern Oil. However, all it would take to alter this balance of power would be to follow through with a pre-emptive stike against Iran. It is that simple! Only a myopic or ignorant individual would even broach the possibility of a preemptive war with Iran. The Israeli's should heed to Shakespeares quote, "oh what a tangled web we weave when we first practice to deceive."

gondwanaland
15 September 2008 at 10:11

Cyrusthegreat

good post.

Iran will have nukes in a few years with or without US/Israel's posturing. Attempts to stop them will be disastrous for America and in turn Israel.

Time for The West to show more respect to this nation, and realise the current strategy will bring long term disaster to us as Iran will certainly move towards Russia and China, which i think is already gradually happening.

drdavidlowry
15 September 2008 at 13:00

Readers of this blog might be interested in the extract below from a remarkable report published in March last year by the Greens in the European Parliament, which details Iran's direct investment in France's uranium enrichment industry.

The full report may be read at:

http://www.greens-efa.org/cms/topics/dokbin/174/174257.the_p...@en.pdf

Dr David Lowry

The Iran Case

On 31 July 2006 the UN Security Council passed a resolution requesting Iran to ”suspend all

enrichment-related and reprocessing activities, including research and development, to be

verified by the IAEA”47 within one month. Iran ignored the deadline pointing to its

“inalienable right” to all parts of the nuclear fuel chain, as stipulated under Article IV of the

Non-Proliferation Treaty.

On 27 October 2006 Iranian officials announced that they have put into operation a second

cascade of 164 uranium enrichment centrifuges a few days before. An Iranian official said

IAEA inspectors were present. The IAEA had indicated previously that it was aware that the

second cascade would be ready for loading but did not comment on the Iranian declaration.

The Iranian move came only days after a draft resolution sponsored by France, the UK and

the US was presented to other UN Security Council members calling for sanctions on Iran. As

a first measure, it was proposed that IAEA technical assistance be cut off, with the explicit

exception of the Bushehr nuclear power plant project. The exception is designed to attempt to

get Russia onboard a possible move on sanctions. Russia is now the main builder of the

Bushehr plant.

On 23 December 2006 the UN Security Council finally passed resolution 1737 that stipulates

in particular:

45 http://www.state.gov/p/eap/rls/rm/2007/80499.htm

46 Siegfried S. Hecker and William Liou, „Dangerous Dealings: North Korea’s Nuclear Capabilities and the

Threat of Export to Iran”, http://www.armscontrol.org/act/2007_03/heckerliou.asp?print

47 Security Council Resolution n°1696 (2006)

Mycle Schneider Consulting The Permanent Nth Country Experiment - Paris, 24/03/07 29

1. Affirms that Iran shall without further delay take the steps required by

the IAEA Board of Governors in its resolution GOV/2006/14, which are

essential to build confidence in the exclusively peaceful purpose of its

nuclear programme and to resolve outstanding questions;

2. Decides, in this context, that Iran shall without further delay suspend

the following proliferation sensitive nuclear activities:

(a) all enrichment-related and reprocessing activities, including research

and development, to be verified by the IAEA; and

(b) work on all heavy water-related projects, including the construction

of a research reactor moderated by heavy water, also to be verified by

the IAEA;

3. Decides that all States shall take the necessary measures to prevent

the supply, sale or transfer directly or indirectly from their territories,

or by their nationals or using their flag vessels or aircraft to, or for the

use in or benefit of, Iran, and whether or not originating in their

territories, of all items, materials, equipment, goods and technology

which could contribute to Iran’s enrichment-related, reprocessing or

heavy water-related activities, or to the development of nuclear weapon

delivery systems (…)

The resolution indeed explicitly excludes from the cooperation ban the supply of equipment

for light water reactors and even low-enriched uranium fuel in order to allow for the

continuation of the Bushehr nuclear power plant project. On 9 February 2007 the IAEA

Director General submitted a report to the Board of Governors on the Cooperation between

the Islamic Republic of Iran and the Agency specifying the conditions of the trade

restrictions.

The current state of nuclear capabilities remains an issue of controversy. The International

Institute of Science and International Security (ISIS), stated in a testimony before the US

Congress:

Most are skeptical that Iran can finish installing 3,000 centrifuges in May

2007, let alone getting them all to enrich uranium. (...) Few would doubt

that at this point Iran has a nuclear weapons capability, whether or not the

plant produces HEU [High Enriched Uranium]. This number of centrifuges

could make enough highly enriched uranium for one or two nuclear

weapons per year, or create a large stockpile of low enriched uranium that

could be used in a break-out strategy to produce HEU quickly either in the

same facility or in a covert centrifuge plant. This benchmark could be

reached within a year or two. 48

The latest nine-month episode is only the last one in a long history of Iran’s nuclear

programme. It all started under the Shah in the 1950s that launched an ambitious nuclear

research and development program, just as many industrialised nations did in the follow-up of

the US initiated Atoms for Peace program. Iran was one of the first countries to sign the NPT

in 1968 and ratified it in 1970. The Safeguards Agreement was signed in May 1974 but the

Additional Protocol only in December 2003.

48 David Albright,”Iran’s Nuclear Program: Status and Uncertainties“, Prepared testimony before the House

Committee on Foreign Affairs, Subcommittee on Terrorism, Nonproliferation, and Trade, Subcommittee on the

Middle East and Asia, Institute for Science and International Security (ISIS), March 15, 2007

The signature of the safeguards agreement in 1974 paved the way for the German company

Siemens-KWU (now part of AREVA NP) to sign a contract for the delivery of two light water

reactors at Bushehr and to start construction in May 1975. After the “revolution” in 1979

Siemens was forced to abandon the project. It was taken up by the middle of the 1980s by the

Russian nuclear industry. The project, now listed as “under construction” by the IAEA for

31 years is the world record holder for extended construction times. Currently start up of the

first unit is projected for 2007 while there is no target date yet for the second unit.

Very early Iran was integrated into the small community of uranium enriching countries. On

23 February 1974, even before the signature of the safeguards agreement with the IAEA,

France signed an agreement with Iran that created the company SOFIDIF49. Iran put up over a

$ 1 billion and was in turn to receive 10% of the produced enriched uranium. The latter part

of the deal was never honoured and the conflict went on for ten years until the International

Chamber of Commerce in January 1991 awarded Iran the equivalent of € 143 million as part

of the settlement, to be added to some € 500 million that had already been paid. A final

settlement agreement, whose details have remained secret, has been signed between France

and Iran in October 1991. France is said to have agreed to pay another $ 1 billion. However, it

remains uncertain whether this includes part of the payments carried through before.

In 1975 SOFIDIF took up a 25% share in the international EURODIF consortium that built a

large uranium enrichment facility in Pierrelatte in the south of France. SOFIDIF still exists,

still holds the same share in EURODIF and is still active. In a letter dated 13 February 2006

(see Annex 5), addressed to the CEO of SOFIDIF, Reza Aghazadeh, Vice-President of Iran

and President of the Iranian Atomic Energy Organisation, informs about the replacement of

the Iranian representatives on the board of SOFIDIF. As recalled during SOFIDIF’s most

recent General Assembly on 16 June 2006, the purpose of the company is “to participate in

the study, the realisation and the operation of uranium enrichment plants based on the French

gaseous diffusion technique”.50 The operation is good business for the EURODIF

shareholders. SOFIDIF reached a net profit of € 17.7 million and decided to pay out

€ 17.6 million in dividends. This corresponds to € 12.80 per share – on steady increase and

twice as much as 2002 – which is excellent return on investment, considering the share value

of € 15.25 each. The Iranian Atomic Energy Organisation had a net income from dividends in

2005 of € 7 million from uranium enrichment in France.

At the same time Iran has been accused of a number of serious breeches of its obligations

under the NPT. In November 2004, the IAEA Board of Governors makes public a 32-page

document with an unusually detailed account of Iran’s omissions under the NPT Safeguards

Agreement (see summary in Annex 4). If many of the issues seem to have been cleared up,

but matters of “serious concern” remain, as the Director General of the IAEA has reported to

the IAEA General Conference in September 2006. While the Director General confirms that

“all the nuclear material declared by Iran to the Agency has been accounted for”, because of

“outstanding issues relevant to the scope and nature of Iran’s current and past centrifuge

enrichment programme, the Agency cannot make any further progress in its efforts to provide

assurances about the absence of undeclared nuclear material and activities in Iran”.

There are analysts that consider that Iran is not aiming at the fabrication of nuclear weapons

but rather target a “virtual deterrence” capacity. Nader Barzin’s hypothesis, based on

extensive research on primary sources and interviews with key Iranian stakeholders, is that

49 60% French Atomic Energy Commission, later COGEMA and today AREVA NC, 40% Iranian Atomic

Energy Organisation (OEIA)

50 Rapport de gestion à l’Assemblée Générale Ordinaire concernant l’exercice clos le 31 décembre 2005

Mycle Schneider Consulting The Permanent Nth Country Experiment - Paris, 24/03/07 31

after the invasion of Iraq and the “encirclement” by the US, Iran felt it had to respond, but in

another way than North Korea.

The Iranian response has been subtler: making its capacities known –

deter – without going up to the fabrication of weapons – thus remaining

in legality, respecting the terms of the NPT, and showing its good

international citizenship.51

Barzin is convinced that the Iranian enrichment programme had been known to US

intelligence for a long time but that the Iranians decided themselves to release the information

in order to demonstrate a virtual nuclear weapons capability. However, it is perfectly clear

that if Iran settles the IAEA’s “outstanding issues”, there is nothing in international law that

could prevent the country from establishing a full-scale uranium enrichment and plutonium

separation programme. On the contrary, according to Article IV of the NPT, in principle the

IAEA is obliged to provide technical assistance.

51 Nader Barzin, L’Economie Politique de Développement de l’Energie Nucléaire en Iran, (1957-2004), Thèse

de Doctorat, Ecole des Hautes Etudes en Sciences Sociales, 23 June 2004

Charmer
18 September 2008 at 08:18

It is unfortunate that Dr. Etemad's misguided nationalism, one which bears the imprint of the

by now obsolete (in terms of its form) of his generation's conflictual encounter with the demonised "West", has clouded his judgement.

To point that he ends up lending his support to

the cheap exploitation of Iranian nationalism

by the awful and cynical regime of Tehran.

In all fairness, one should also note that the regime of Tehran is past master at exploiting

every relevant actor's weaknesses.

Be it the arrogant hypocrisy of the "West", the

nationalistic inferiority complex of exiled ageing

Iranians or that of Iran's young people.

No, Dear Dr. Etemad, with all his faults, the late of Shah of Iran would not have embarked on the manufacturing of a nuclear weaopn unless

it had been necessary.

That is to say if the former Iraqi regime had done so,

The current regime in Tehran lies when it speaks of the "peaceful nature" of its nuclear programme.

It is hell bent on making nuclear weapons and for the sake of democracy in iran and peace and stability in the region, it must be stopped

by the imposition of effective diplomatic and economic sanctions.

Charmer, Paris

IranianRealist
20 September 2008 at 02:37

Here is the link to the article Mr. Saatchi pirated without mentioning its source :

http://www.foxnews.com/story/0,2933,417362,00.html

Blatant plagiarism at its best.

When do we want to learn, huh ??

IranianRealist
20 September 2008 at 02:57

"the nationalistic inferiority complex of exiled ageing Iranians or that of Iran's young people."

Are you sure you are talking about Iranians ? All I see is incessant narcissism stretching to megalomania at times. Spend some time reading youtube slant remarks made by our youth ad nauseam .

IranianRealist
20 September 2008 at 04:26

"Any student of history and geopolitics will understand why attacking Iran will be a major faux pas."

I assume you are a student of history or geopolitics. A poor one in both indeed as we will see shortly.

"First, Iran is not a colonial creation and never was part of any colonial empire."

Wrong! Iran was conquered and ruled by the Greeks for over two centuries. A significant number of Greeks and Spartans resided in Iran and integrated in the population. The cultural exchanges were bilateral in spite of what some prejudice historians claim. That is just one example.

"Throughout the vicissitudes of history Iran has prevailed as a nation for over 2500 years."

Wrong. No matter how grim, the matter of fact is after the invasion of Arabs, the sovereignty of Iran was compromised and was not re-established for several centuries. Pure luck had it for us to emerge as the same nation again (whatever that is supposed to mean) in lieu of any other geopolitical permutation that could have happened with similar likelihood.

"If the US decides to attack Iran you can rest assured that Iranian Nationalism will trump any divisions amongst most Iranians."

Naive speculation. Read the next comment.

"The idea of dividing Iranians based on ethnic grounds, like that of Iraq or the balkans won't work in Iran. Most Iranians are hybids of Persians, Kurds and Azeri's etc. and it would be impractical by any logical standard to create such divisions."

Kurds, Azerbaijan, Khuzestan et al. all embody a deluge of separatists frustrated by the perpetual humiliation, intolerance and contemptuous bigotry of us Persians. I am afraid those racist jokes that we exuberantly laughed at for decades will take a toll on us eventually.

"The most unifying factor in Iran is Nationalism, which even trumps its state religion, Shi'ism."

yet another unsupported premise. Existing evidence by and large suggests otherwise. See the results of the recent survey carried out by World Public Opinion: When asked about their identity 62% of Iranians declared to be "Primarily as a member of my religion" whereas only 26% identified themselves as "Primarily as a citizen of Iran".

Charmer
24 September 2008 at 08:54

I could not agree more with the "Iranian Realist"

on the nauseating character of all the bottomless

bluster that is "maufactured " in Iran.

But the "truth" is that, psychologically speaking,

risible boasting and nationalistic bluster are precisely the hallmark of an advanced inferiority complex.

A truly confident nation need not engage in

boasting excessively (!)

And our "Iranian Realist" is absolutely right

in pointing out to the crucial, that is to say, both

constructive and destructive input of "foreigners" in shaping Iran's culture and history.

More importantly still, he is dead right in underscoring the role of mer chancee in

" preserving" Iran' s identity as a nation.

That is why a future and truly confieent Iran

should rid itslf and help rid others of all manner

of nationalist and cultural neurosis.

This can only be done by assuming the complexity and contingency of one's historical

identity.

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