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US 2020: all the election latest from the New Statesman

Latest updates

25th November 2020

The divided heart of the GOP

What will American conservatism look like after Trump?

25th November 2020

What Trump wants now

How misguided fears of a presidential coup exposed the hysterical thinking of the liberal Resistance.

 

25th November 2020

Leader: The last days of Trump

As the president concedes power, the problems that fuelled his political rise will continue to haunt the republic.

24th November 2020

The 2020 US presidential election in data: how Joe Biden won

The strength of the Democrat's voter coalition lay in its breadth. 

23rd November 2020

Can Joe Biden's transition team become a progressive administration?

Progressive frustration with some of the president-elect’s appointments is premature, but the incoming administration must do more than avoid the worst excesses of the outgoing one.

20th November 2020

Why fretting over the US-UK “special relationship” overlooks its reality

From bust-ups over busts to diplomatic gaffes, analysis of US-UK relations too often focuses on hoo-hahs and passing frenzies.

 

18th November 2020

What US democracy can learn from ancient Greek philosophy

In the face of intense political partisanship, Plato and Aristotle stressed the need for friendship among citizens and extolled the virtues of moderation and like-mindedness.

17th November 2020

Can the right thrive on Parler?

Right-wing personalities are moving away from liberal social media “echo chambers”, but risk building a useless one of their own.

16th November 2020

What the US election 2020 reveals about America's Rust Belt

A resurgence of progressive politics in America's former industrial heartlands is unlikely any time soon.

16th November 2020

Why did the Republicans perform so well in the US Congressional elections?

Three factors played a part: preconceptions, policy and polls.

 

13th November 2020

World Review Podcast: The Next President

The New Statesman's World Review podcast with Emily Tamkin and Ido Vock.

13th November 2020

Is Donald Trump conducting a coup?

By refusing to acknowledge the results of a free and fair election, the US president and his party are performing a high-wire act.

 

13th November 2020

The city shift: how the urban-rural divide deepened in the US election

City Monitor piece examines how our political polarisation can be mapped across America's cities, suburbs, and rural areas. 

12th November 2020

How Facebook ad spend predicted the US 2020 election

New Statesman analysis shows Donald Trump failed to win in key states where Joe Biden outspent him on social media.

 

12th November 2020

How QAnon conspiracy theorists entered the US Congress

Professional purveyors of falsehoods are now among America’s trusted lawmakers.

 

11th November 2020

Peter Wilby: Murdoch calls time on Trump, why the polls were wrong, and Wigan Warriors are back

Fox News called Arizona for Joe Biden before almost anyone else, told the president to accept defeat graciously, and cut away from a Trump campaign press conference.

11th November 2020

Without control of the Senate, the Democrats face big challenges. But there is reason for hope

The fear is that Biden’s presidency will be ineffectual from the start, and that he will be unable to steer the US out of its moral and political slump.

11th November 2020

Sarah Churchwell’s Diary: My sleepless nights watching CNN, why the arts matter and fighting for truth

Last week my brain spun itself flat, like a pizza, trying to process the US election results. Now it’s just bits of dough everywhere.

11th November 2020

The Republicans are at a crossroads: do they distance themselves from Trump or embrace his appeal?

Some in the party believe that the the creed should live on even as the high priest departs.

11th November 2020

Leader: After Trump

Joe Biden’s victory was rightly celebrated but the Democrats must avoid nostalgia for the age of liberal triumphalism.

9th November 2020

Joe Biden's route to a Donald Trump-free White House

What must happen next – and when – in order for the outgoing US president to submit to defeat?

9th November 2020

What Donald Trump’s US election defeat means for Europe’s populist leaders

With Trump’s departure, European populists will lose the most visible champion of their worldview. But some may be relieved. 

 

9th November 2020

How US democracy is resisting Donald Trump’s chaotic attempt to steal the election

The president has responded to electoral defeat by displaying the same incompetence that has defined his time in office.

9th November 2020

Would Bernie Sanders have done better than Joe Biden in the US election?

Sanders’s brand of radical politics is popular among activists – but it appeals less to the key voters needed to win the White House.

 

7th November 2020

Joe Biden takes Pennsylvania to win the 2020 US presidential election

Donald Trump's days in the White House are now numbered.

6th November 2020

Why Joe Biden’s US election victory matters even with a Republican senate

From action on climate change to effectively legalising marijuana, there’s plenty the president-elect can achieve.

6th November 2020

World Review Podcast: America Goes With The Joe

The New Statesman's World Review podcast with Emily Tamkin and Ido Vock.

6th November 2020

US election 2020: Donald Trump has already lost Rupert Murdoch's support

The 45th president only enjoyed the media tycoon’s support for as long as he was useful. 

6th November 2020

Why we shouldn’t be surprised that Donald Trump is trying to steal the US election

The president has been undermining US institutions and norms for four years.

6th November 2020

US election 2020: Donald Trump in denial as Joe Biden edges closer to victory

The president has repeated unevidenced claims of voting fraud.

5th November 2020

Will Donald Trump take the US 2020 election to the Supreme Court?

Many of the Trump faithful already believe that this election is being stolen.

5th November 2020

Trumponomics was always a lie

A policy founded on Donald Trump's desire to be popular has done lasting damage to the world's largest economy.

5th November 2020

How accurate were the US presidential election polls?

Old assumptions about where a candidate gets their support may warrant a rethink.

5th November 2020

US election 2020: How Donald Trump could try to overturn a Joe Biden victory

As votes continue to be counted, concerns build that Trumpism may live on past the final result.

4th November 2020

How Donald Trump’s loss of the popular vote could signal a longer term gain

The Republican candidate has continued a long-running losing trend – but expanded the party's minority vote.

4th November 2020

World Review Podcast: Biden His Time

The New Statesman's World Review podcast with Emily Tamkin and Ido Vock.

4th November 2020

Five charts that tell us how the US voted

Early data reveals a febrile and unpredictable political landscape.

4th November 2020

US presidential election 2020: map Trump and Biden's remaining paths to victory

Explore the remaining possible outcomes of Tuesday's election.

4th November 2020

US election 2020: what do the county-level returns indicate?

High-return counties favour Donald Trump, but Joe Biden is turning more counties blue.

4th November 2020

American voters want certainty. Instead they have doubt, division and a nation under threat

If Joe Biden had prevailed in Florida or Texas, we could have retired for the night. But we now face days and even weeks of uncertainty. 

4th November 2020

America's test

With Donald Trump claiming to have won the US election even before all the votes had been counted, an extraordinary contest has left the republic more divided than ever.

4th November 2020

How Donald Trump used Twitter to set a dangerous precedent for US democracy

Donald Trump has spent a decade sowing doubt online, warping reality into his own social media-driven narrative.

4th November 2020

Why Pennsylvania is the battleground Joe Biden hoped he wouldn’t have to fight for

The 2020 election hinges on a state in which the Democrats have an uncertain foothold, and where legal battles over postal voting are being mounted.

4th November 2020

Even if Joe Biden wins, the Democrats’ weaknesses have been mercilessly exposed

By waging war against the grassroots, the Democratic National Committee reduced itself to a vote-management machine.

4th November 2020

US election 2020: Inconclusive results point to days of uncertainty

Both presidential campaigns are trying to frame the narrative to their advantage. 

4th November 2020

Why Joe Biden's hopes in the US 2020 election rest on suburban whites

The Democratic candidate needs white suburbia to turn out for him. Data from Ohio suggests it might just work.

4th November 2020

Will the US presidential election come down to four swing states?

And will there be a court battle over Pennsylvania?

4th November 2020

Hispanics in Florida shift to Trump on US election night

Early numbers from Florida spell positive news for the Republican incumbent.

3rd November 2020

US presidential election 2020: why voting is often so difficult

A visual tour of the labyrinthine election infrastructure that can mean many Americans’ voices aren’t heard.

 

3rd November 2020

US presidential election night 2020: which states to watch when

Keep an eye on the Sun Belt states – Florida, Arizona, Georgia – for early signs of a Joe Biden victory.

3rd November 2020

The New Statesman's US election prediction: Joe Biden has a 90 per cent chance of victory

A second victory for Donald Trump would require a much bigger polling error than that seen in 2016.

3rd November 2020

US election 2020: the US media has repaid Donald Trump for four years of insults

All but one of the major newspapers in the US have endorsed Joe Biden for president. 

3rd November 2020

US presidential election 2020: is Donald Trump or Joe Biden leading in our poll tracker?

 

3rd November 2020

US 2020 presidential election forecast model: will Donald Trump or Joe Biden win?

The New Statesman's model, forecasting the upcoming US presidential election.

 
 

2nd November 2020

US Election 2020 in Pictures

From the queues and merchandise, to the rallies and protests, our creative editor selects the best pictures from the presidential campaign. 

2nd November 2020

World Review Podcast: Election Day Eve

The New Statesman's World Review podcast with Emily Tamkin and Jeremy Cliffe.

2nd November 2020

How election victory for Donald Trump could threaten revitalised US cities

The president has campaigned on an anti-immigration rhetoric – but foreign-born residents have been key to Philadelphia’s revival.

 

2nd November 2020

What the US election means for the rest of the world

Two different visions are on the ballot paper: four more years of Trump’s unilateralism versus Biden’s multilateralist agenda.

2nd November 2020

US presidential election 2020: Are the polls tightening?

Outlandish predictions always attract attention online, but changes over recent days appear to be mostly noise.

2nd November 2020

Revealed: Joe Biden has been hit harder by Twitter’s new retweet policy than Donald Trump

New Statesman analysis suggests the changes have significantly limited the reach of the Democratic candidate’s tweets.

30th October 2020

World Review Podcast: Terminator Trump – Judgement Day

The New Statesman's World Review podcast with Emily Tamkin and Jeremy Cliffe.

30th October 2020

Hispanics won’t be loyal Democrats forever

Democrats could do with Hispanics in the Sun Belt what Donald Trump did with white voters in the Rust Belt  but it won’t yield as big a dividend as the party might hope.

30th October 2020

US presidential election 2020: America in the world

The third of three dossiers of selected New Statesman pieces unpacking the race for the White House.

30th October 2020

US presidential election 2020: America beyond the beltway

The second of three dossiers of selected New Statesman pieces unpacking the race for the White House.

30th October 2020

The rules of racism

American racism is best understood as a caste system, argues an important but imperfect new book. 

30th October 2020

US presidential election 2020: The state of American democracy

The first of three dossiers of selected New Statesman pieces unpacking the race for the White House.

30th October 2020

Why US democracy as we know it may soon be over

In the future, the United States may be described as a “hybrid authoritarian” system rather than an unequal democracy. 

30th October 2020

Anti-Semitism in the time of Trump

How hatred and conspiracy have been normalised in American political life.

29th October 2020

The attention economy is still working for Trump

The business model that underpins most of the internet favours a more polarising candidate.

29th October 2020

From Arizona to Virginia: the US 2020 Election Swing States

The US presidential election will be won or lost in certain key battlegrounds. Our series delves into the history, demographics and voting trends that could shape their results.

29th October 2020

US election swing states: Georgia on our minds

Why the southern state continues to cause hope and heartache for Democrats.

 

28th October 2020

Even if Donald Trump is defeated, the left must get ready to fight Trumpism

Should Joe Biden become president, he will face a four-year campaign of far-right resistance. 

28th October 2020

Why you should be confident that Joe Biden is going to win the US election

Many different types of poll agree: Donald Trump is no more popular than he was in 2016, while Biden is far more popular than Hillary Clinton.

28th October 2020

US election swing states: will Donald Trump hold on to Pennsylvania?

Despite favourable demographics, support for the president in the rust-belt state has been slipping since 2016.

28th October 2020

A fractured United States

Donald Trump’s brazen violations of democratic norms are not new, but a continuation of a political culture built on racism.

28th October 2020

Can you be too old to be president?

How gerontocracy rules in the age of decline. 

28th October 2020

America and the politics of pain

Gravely ill in hospital with sepsis, our writer had a revelation on how Donald Trump transformed the US’s inequalities into a suicidal tribalism.

28th October 2020

Why I’m starting to doubt my long-held belief that Trump will win the US election

Two unexpected developments have forced me (tentatively) to reconsider my initial prediction about how 3 November will end.

28th October 2020

Leader: Why Trump and his clan must go

If US democracy is to survive, the removal of Trump and his enablers from office is not just desirable but essential. 

28th October 2020

The best reason to root for Joe Biden and celebrate if he wins? Climate change

Without the participation of the federal US government, achieving the Paris agreement’s goal is near inconceivable.

26th October 2020

Amy Coney Barrett is confirmed to the Supreme Court

With eight days to go until the presidential election, Republicans confirm Barrett to a lifetime appointment.

26th October 2020

Why the gap between bookmakers and pollsters could bode well for Trump

If the betting markets accurately reflect the true state of play, then the US president stands a reasonable chance of victory.

26th October 2020

Why a Joe Biden win would be disastrous for Boris Johnson

The world stage will be a far lonelier place for the Prime Minister without Donald Trump in the White House. 

26th October 2020

“Good enough”: What focus groups say about Joe Biden’s appeal

Donald Trump’s challenger doesn’t evoke strong emotions in voters, but that may play to his advantage. 

24th October 2020

NS Podcast: The Divided States of America

The New Statesman's World Review podcast with Emily Tamkin and Jeremy Cliffe.

23rd October 2020

What record levels of voter turnout could mean for the US 2020 election

More ballots have already been cast in Texas than were cast in that state for Donald Trump alone in 2016.

23rd October 2020

"It gave me a name": What critical race theory means to its practitioners

Critical race theory has been denounced by Donald Trump and by the Conservative Party – but what does it stand for? 

23rd October 2020

US election debate: Donald Trump sticks to lies and conspiracy theories

Though the US president interrupted far less than in the first debate, he was even more misleading. 

21st October 2020

How Joe Biden’s foreign policy would not be a total departure from that of Donald Trump

If he triumphs in the election on 3 November, Biden’s approach could come as a rude awakening for some Europeans.

20th October 2020

US 2020 election: Donald Trump's grip on his white working class base is waning

Non-college educated white voters helped secure the 2016 Republican win. Will they remain loyal?

20th October 2020

US election swing states: Can the Democrats retake Michigan from Donald Trump?

Voters in the midwestern state are more aware, informed, energised and empowered than they were in 2016.

19th October 2020

US-China economic integration shaped today’s world, but now it is going into reverse

A New Statesman Media Group special on the decoupling of America and China.

19th October 2020

Podcast: The End of America's Forever Wars

The New Statesman's World Review podcast with Emily Tamkin and Jeremy Cliffe.

 

19th October 2020

Why a Joe Biden win is unlikely to improve relations between the US and China

Under Obama, Biden spoke of transforming Sino-American relations with trade – but now he talks of “getting tough” on China. 

16th October 2020

Donald Trump falls for a spoof Joe Biden story

The US president seemingly believed that Twitter had closed its entire social network in order to prevent negative coverage of Biden from spreading.

15th October 2020

How East Asia’s balance of power is shaping its US election stance

Both principles and pragmatism are at play in the region ahead of the presidential contest. 

14th October 2020

The making of Kamala Harris

The US’s first female vice president-elect defies easy definition because she resists it.

14th October 2020

Can Joe Biden defeat Donald Trump?

The Democratic presidential hopeful and veteran insider could end the Trump era on 3 November. If he succeeds, will he set the US on a path to renewal?

14th October 2020

Liberalism will remain vulnerable unless it can speak to our need for emotional storytelling

Even if Joe Biden does triumph on 3 November, this should not be mistaken for a restoration of some temporarily disrupted order.