Rachel Reeves is pretending everything is absolutely fine
This Spring Statement didn’t take account of an inconvenient event: the outbreak of war
ByReviewing politics
and culture since 1913
This Spring Statement didn’t take account of an inconvenient event: the outbreak of war
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The OBR’s forecast was prepared before the war in Iran broke out
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It’s looking like fiscal drag forever
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Rachel Reeves’s Budget is the start of a new reckoning
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By misreading the past, Keir Starmer and Kemi Badenoch are being hobbled in the present
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The Chancellor warned that “critics” who opposed her fiscal strategy were “dangerously” wrong
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She is fiddling her way into an economic crisis.
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Even the Chancellor’s supporters fear Britain’s plight could soon get much worse.
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Making economic policy by forecast is driving Britain in circles.
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The OBR says that Britain can no longer afford to exist with its current fiscal policy.
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Labour backbenchers are preparing to rebel against cuts that haven’t even been announced yet.
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Instead of parliamentary bust-ups, Scottish politicians have found a novel answer to the benefits bill: silence and inertia.
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But do they have the smarts to take advantage?
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Some combination of tax rises or spending cuts is likely to be necessary by the autumn.
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Labour cannot fund the renewal of the public realm simply by relying on higher taxes on business and the wealthy.
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The country needs a Thatcher or a Blair to provide a dose of fiscal reality.
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We can’t spend more without taxing more and we can’t tax less without spending less.
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The world has changed, and policy must change with it.
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The Chancellor will now be forced to contemplate tax rises.
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Weak growth and a Trump trade war could force the party to change its Europe policy.
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