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Ben Walker is a data journalist at the New Statesman.
Non-college educated white voters helped secure the 2016 Republican win. Will they remain loyal?
Why 2016's oversights are unlikely to be repeated.
The New Statesman's model, forecasting the upcoming US presidential election.
Faced with a second wave of Covid-19, voters lack confidence that the government will do what is necessary and right.
President Trump may have thought attacking Biden on law and order would boost his base. It did the opposite.
Polling on Boris Johnson in the UK and Jair Bolsonaro in Brazil shows that public opinion shifts toward neutrality, but not endearment.
On the eve of the first presidential debate, nine states are within a three-point margin of error for the leading candidate.
Nationally, polling may look positive for Labour, but the regional picture shows that the party cannot win without regaining the north
Trump’s nickname for Clinton conceptualised all that she was to a lot of Americans. The same cannot be said for “Sleepy Joe”.
The shift in favour of the Scottish Yes side is now the most prolonged in polling history.
