There are not enough Labour rebels to cancel out the Tory Brexiteers, pro-EU Tories wanting another referendum and the DUP.
Commentators and loyal Conservative MPs are worried Theresa May isn’t at the races as far as the argument for the deal goes.
If his younger brother says the deal would make the UK a vassal state, then Boris Johnson can’t u-turn again and vote for it.
The evidence suggests not.
The faction within the Labour leadership that might have voted for May’s deal looks to have been comprehensively defeated.
As ever, the first victims are those least able to defend themselves.
No 10 hopes a no-deal Brexit would be such a nightmare for both the UK and the continued existence of the Tory Party that dissidents will back the PM’s deal. But that’s far from certain.
Good campaigns can lose. Bad campaigns can win.
Thanks to the Republicans paying a “Trump tax”, the Democrats have taken control of the House.
It’s hard to tell if the incompetence proves this document is fake – or real.
If Labour MPs rate their chances of getting a better deal than the Prime Minister, they’re more likely to vote against hers.