View all newsletters
Sign up to our newsletters

Support 110 years of independent journalism.

  1. Politics
  2. The Staggers
9 October 2018

Could the SNP use a referendum on Brexit to get a People’s Vote of its own?

Scotland’s Brexit negotiator Mike Russell said the SNP could ask for a Section 30 order. 

By Julia Rampen

Nicola Sturgeon confirming that the SNP would back a People’s Vote in the run up to the party’s conference was undoubtedly significant, if only because of Scotland’s Remainer-in-chief having been silent on a second referendum on the Brexit deal up until now. But few asked what Sturgeon actually meant when she asked for a People’s Vote.

As James Millar wrote for the New Statesman, one of the reasons the SNP was so hesitant to back the idea was because the precedent of reverting to the status quo could also apply to a Scottish context. The more astute indyreffers realise that there could be a possibility that, post-Scoxit, a coalition of diehard unionists and regretful swing voters could demand much the same thing.

There are two reasons the SNP has come round to a People’s Vote. The first is simply that it’s not very likely to happen – or at least only as likely as another general election. “In my view, the outcomes can include and may include a referendum, they might include a People’s Vote referendum, they might include an election, it is so difficult to tell what might happen in future. People’s Vote it’s hard to find the parliamentary numbers for that to take place,” Mike Russell, the Scottish government cabinet secretary with responsibility for Brexit negotiations, told the New Statesman.

But there’s another reason. The SNP has spent the last year and a half revisiting Sturgeon’s March 2017 call for another Scottish independence referendum, and the dismal losses in the general election that followed. This sequence included Theresa May’s willingness to legally block a second referendum (she was happy to remind them of it at the start of this year’s conference). While the SNP grassroots may be cheerleaders for Catalonia, the party’s leadership believes that a referendum still needs to be held under the auspices of Section 30 of the 1998 Scotland Act, which has to be approved by Westminster.

If a referendum on the Brexit deal suddenly looks plausible, the SNP can be expected to negotiate hard with its fellow Remainers before it backs the option. In particular: what would happen if Scotland voted once again against Brexit, but the majority of voters in the UK did not?

Select and enter your email address Your weekly guide to the best writing on ideas, politics, books and culture every Saturday. The best way to sign up for The Saturday Read is via saturdayread.substack.com The New Statesman's quick and essential guide to the news and politics of the day. The best way to sign up for Morning Call is via morningcall.substack.com Our Thursday ideas newsletter, delving into philosophy, criticism, and intellectual history. The best way to sign up for The Salvo is via thesalvo.substack.com Stay up to date with NS events, subscription offers & updates. Weekly analysis of the shift to a new economy from the New Statesman's Spotlight on Policy team. The best way to sign up for The Green Transition is via spotlightonpolicy.substack.com
  • Administration / Office
  • Arts and Culture
  • Board Member
  • Business / Corporate Services
  • Client / Customer Services
  • Communications
  • Construction, Works, Engineering
  • Education, Curriculum and Teaching
  • Environment, Conservation and NRM
  • Facility / Grounds Management and Maintenance
  • Finance Management
  • Health - Medical and Nursing Management
  • HR, Training and Organisational Development
  • Information and Communications Technology
  • Information Services, Statistics, Records, Archives
  • Infrastructure Management - Transport, Utilities
  • Legal Officers and Practitioners
  • Librarians and Library Management
  • Management
  • Marketing
  • OH&S, Risk Management
  • Operations Management
  • Planning, Policy, Strategy
  • Printing, Design, Publishing, Web
  • Projects, Programs and Advisors
  • Property, Assets and Fleet Management
  • Public Relations and Media
  • Purchasing and Procurement
  • Quality Management
  • Science and Technical Research and Development
  • Security and Law Enforcement
  • Service Delivery
  • Sport and Recreation
  • Travel, Accommodation, Tourism
  • Wellbeing, Community / Social Services
Visit our privacy Policy for more information about our services, how New Statesman Media Group may use, process and share your personal data, including information on your rights in respect of your personal data and how you can unsubscribe from future marketing communications.
THANK YOU

“Before we have finalised the People’s Vote project there would have to be substantial discussion about what happened in those circumstances,” Russell said. “Now would that trigger a Section 30 order? Are there other ways to do this? Those are the questions we have to talk about.”

Content from our partners
The promise of prevention
How Labour hopes to make the UK a leader in green energy
Is now the time to rethink health and care for older people? With Age UK

Select and enter your email address Your weekly guide to the best writing on ideas, politics, books and culture every Saturday. The best way to sign up for The Saturday Read is via saturdayread.substack.com The New Statesman's quick and essential guide to the news and politics of the day. The best way to sign up for Morning Call is via morningcall.substack.com Our Thursday ideas newsletter, delving into philosophy, criticism, and intellectual history. The best way to sign up for The Salvo is via thesalvo.substack.com Stay up to date with NS events, subscription offers & updates. Weekly analysis of the shift to a new economy from the New Statesman's Spotlight on Policy team. The best way to sign up for The Green Transition is via spotlightonpolicy.substack.com
  • Administration / Office
  • Arts and Culture
  • Board Member
  • Business / Corporate Services
  • Client / Customer Services
  • Communications
  • Construction, Works, Engineering
  • Education, Curriculum and Teaching
  • Environment, Conservation and NRM
  • Facility / Grounds Management and Maintenance
  • Finance Management
  • Health - Medical and Nursing Management
  • HR, Training and Organisational Development
  • Information and Communications Technology
  • Information Services, Statistics, Records, Archives
  • Infrastructure Management - Transport, Utilities
  • Legal Officers and Practitioners
  • Librarians and Library Management
  • Management
  • Marketing
  • OH&S, Risk Management
  • Operations Management
  • Planning, Policy, Strategy
  • Printing, Design, Publishing, Web
  • Projects, Programs and Advisors
  • Property, Assets and Fleet Management
  • Public Relations and Media
  • Purchasing and Procurement
  • Quality Management
  • Science and Technical Research and Development
  • Security and Law Enforcement
  • Service Delivery
  • Sport and Recreation
  • Travel, Accommodation, Tourism
  • Wellbeing, Community / Social Services
Visit our privacy Policy for more information about our services, how New Statesman Media Group may use, process and share your personal data, including information on your rights in respect of your personal data and how you can unsubscribe from future marketing communications.
THANK YOU