Labour could win election, poll shows

Tory lead cut to just two points in new YouGov poll.

Labour could yet emerge as the largest party after the election, according to a new poll which reveals that the party is now just two points behind the Conservatives. The Sunday Times/YouGov survey put the Tories on 37 per cent, down two points since the last poll, with Labour rising two to 35 per cent and the Liberal Democrats up one to 17 per cent. Other parties were down one to 11 per cent.

If repeated at a general election on a uniform swing, the findings would leave Labour as the largest single party in a hung parliament, nine seats short of an overall majority.

The Tory lead is now at its lowest level since December 2008 when Gordon Brown's handling of the financial crisis boosted support for Labour. The poll will reinforce concern in Conservative circles that the party's campaign has so far failed to connect with voters.

The recent bullying allegations against Brown have failed to dent support for the government and Labour appears to have benefited from increasedeconomic optimism.

David Cameron will attempt to raise his party's spirits today with a keynote speech to the Conservative Spring conference in Brighton. The Tory leader is expected to say that it is his "patriotic duty" to oust Brown from Number 10.