George Eaton is political editor of the New Statesman.
The Tories' tax and spending pledges have left a host of hostages to fortune.
Welfare cuts will hit the self-employed and others far harder than the National Insurance rise.
The Chancellor believes he can raise taxes and borrowing without suffering any lasting political damage.
A snap contest would undermine the Prime Minister's trustworthiness and squander Brexit negotiating time.
The Chancellor has long been a fiscal conservative and Brexit dominates all else.
There are huge risks to allowing the SNP a second vote - and to denying one.
Brexit has boosted Tim Farron's party's fortunes.
Len McCluskey has won 1,185 nominations to Gerard Coyne's 187. But the challenger's campaign insist they "will win".
The Labour leader exploited Conservative splits over disability benefits.
The party could yet thrive if Brexit disappoints those who voted Leave.
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