George Eaton is political editor of the New Statesman.
The Chancellor believes he can raise taxes and borrowing without suffering any lasting political damage.
A snap contest would undermine the Prime Minister's trustworthiness and squander Brexit negotiating time.
The Chancellor has long been a fiscal conservative and Brexit dominates all else.
There are huge risks to allowing the SNP a second vote - and to denying one.
Brexit has boosted Tim Farron's party's fortunes.
Len McCluskey has won 1,185 nominations to Gerard Coyne's 187. But the challenger's campaign insist they "will win".
The Labour leader exploited Conservative splits over disability benefits.
The party could yet thrive if Brexit disappoints those who voted Leave.
The German Eurocrat is the biggest threat to the possibility of a fourth term for Merkel.
Even after the Copeland by-election defeat, Labour MPs believe their leader is unassailable.