An American spanner in the works
Peter Hardstaff reports on the anger felt at the Bali climate conference over the US stance on cutti
By Peter Hardstaff Published 14 December 2007So here is the way things have played out in the last 24 hours.
At around midnight (Bali time) on Thursday 13th the US delegation dropped a negotiating bombshell. Text was submitted proposing to replace an agenda for talks on mandatory emissions cuts with essentially a process for agreeing voluntary emissions reductions. This sent the whole conference into a spin.
Governments and NGOs here went into overdrive and thankfully the US was pretty isolated. However, predictably with the United States, the submission of this last minute extreme proposal was simply an attempt to create extra leverage in another part of the talks.
The key sticking point all day Friday has been whether and how to reference the science of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change, and specifically the recommended target ranges for emissions reduction. The US was trying to trade-off agreeing to drop its extreme proposal with others agreeing to delete reference to the IPCC’s call to cut industrialised country emissions by between 25-40 per cent below 1990 levels by 2020. The US claims that referencing this target range (which I should point out is a conservative one) ‘prejudges’ the negotiating process to come.
The US has also been trying to delete reference to differentiated action by so-called ‘Annex I’ countries (i.e. industrialised nations) and the developing countries. A fundamental principle of the Kyoto Protocol is treating developed and developing countries differently and it looks like the US is trying to subvert this.
After all the compromises that have been made by developing countries over the past two weeks, the mood here is one of disbelief, frustration and downright anger with the US delegation.
Predictably, the negotiations have gone completely underground in the past few hours. A relatively small group of negotiators is now involved in fighting it out. Some country delegates have already left but most are just sitting around chatting, e-mailing their families or booking island tours for the weekend or beyond. Their work is done and it’s now down to a select few to try to thrash out a deal. All press conferences have been cancelled as no delegation wants to say anything publicly that could upset an already very tense situation.
It is now 5.30 pm as I write this and chances are the talks will go through the night which is not good news for the many people who are already strung out and sleep deprived. All most of us can do now is wait and cross our fingers.
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7 comments
No, I have an American mother, which is why I can speak and write in English and understand the anglo-saxon mind.
But, from here in Paris, it seems to me that a democratic majority does pretty well, witness our Président Sarkozy.
I do agree that some should be culled. As your wondeful Gilbert and Sullivan Operetta song says:
I have a little list, and none of them would be missed, I have a little list ..... and so on.
My list is that all Greens and Environmentalists would not be missed.
Et, peut-être, les socialists, les gens qui ne peut pas travailler dans un boulot, et intellectuelles qui pensent qu'ils sont plus intelligent que les autres, mais qui ne peuvent pas distinguer les mensonges dans la fôret d'opinions.
Its over! The G77 (the new world order) have delivered a "roadmap" to the USA to follow through 2009.... and beyond, uhh.
'Roadmap' is such a discredited term - have these folk no imagination? The Americans are on a road to nowhere and no American can read a map.
Why would profit based companies spend any profit working out how to cut emmissions, voluntarily ?
Perhaps it has never occurred to you that the Americans might be right.
How can anyone defend the failed Kyoto Protocols requiring mandatory reductions when it has not worked at all? Only Germany and England have met the 5 percent reduction mandate, but only because of programs put in place before Kyoto. America is doing a lot better than Europe in controlling CO2 emissions, with its incentive-based voluntary technology-driven voluntary approach.
Now, if I was an American, I would give you a piece of my mind and ask you – do you really think a program that has failed is better than a program which has succeeded? Do you think the Americans are imbeciles? Do you think Europeans are geniuses? It’s true that Europe has the Environmentalists and the UN on its side, but it’s also true that those who demonstrate failure in practice should be ignored in favor of those who demonstrate success.
But, perhaps you don’t agree, but from France, it seems you are selling an argument which only a moron or an intellectual could believe.
Bonne journée, et nous souhaitons que vous aurais essayer de comprendre, au lieu de croire les comptes de fées dans le brouillard des mensonges de l’ONU.
America was founded, as you Brits might recall, on the principle of individual liberty - the principle that individuals should be free to do what they want to do, limited only in that one individual has no right to limit another's similar liberty - typically this would mean, to cause them tangible harm.
The next question is, who bears the burden of proof as to whether an alleged harm is real?
Practically speaking, if that burden rests on the individual wishing to engage in an activity, and he has to first lay to rest all allegations put forth by persons who for their own reasons want to limit or preclude that activity, then simply by virtue of having to bear this burden he will not be able to engage in the activity at least at the same level - even if he can prove a negative, it will be highly costly to do so.
Furthermore when the chosen activity is otherwise productive, such as transportation or energy production, there are societal benefits from it, which is all the more reason to put the burden on those alleging the harm.
Thus the burden of proof in our country rests not on the individual but on those making the allegation - and this is a matter of love of freedom, not "selfishness" or "greed."
While emissions from factories, power plants and cars have been proven to cause other harms, every component in those emissions that has been shown to cause those harms is already strictly regulated by the EPA and similar state-level bodies.
We simply do not agree that the burden of proof with respect to CO2 being the proximate cause of the 20th century warming has been met. And what we see of the process actually CREATES and FOSTERS skepticism - the revision of the climate history to eliminate or downplay prior warm periods when CO2 levels were lower, for example, and the various contradictory claims as to what global warming in turn will product (e.g., more/stronger hurricanes versus fewer/weaker hurricanes) as well as the apparent contradiction as to whether global warming, man-made or not, has now begun to stall (it hasn't, or on the other hand, warming causes cooling, or on still another hand, global dimming, also man-made, masks the full effect of CO2). We're skeptics of AGW for the same reasons we were skeptics of Anita Hill - not because we're "conservative" but because if we're supposed to believe a story we'd appreciate it if you'd keep the story straight.
The political question is who bears the burden of proof and what is it - the answer is that those seekingt to curtail otherwise free, productive activity bear the burden of proof and that it be tangible proof, not ever-changing models, and that your story be kept straight.
The science is the matter of providing that proof and keeping the story straight, neither of which has happened.
Unless and until it does we're not "stonewalling" or "delaying," just going about our daily business which nobody can actually prove has anything to do with the weather.
@aelemay
"Do you think the Americans are imbeciles? "
I believe a democratic majority are imbeciles. I also believe that that majority should be drastically culled for the greater good of mankind.