Cameron is good in a crisis. Sadly, it tends to be one he’s created himself

Cameron's intense relaxedness about the technicalities of government is his greatest weakness.

No 10 Downing Street, once described by William Pitt the Younger as "my vast, awkward house", is the worst-designed place imaginable for running a country. The labyrinthine layout - a mixture of baroque state rooms, winding stairwells, secluded offices and poky passageways - actively hinders co-ordination between officials and advisers. The layout breeds petty rivalries: "like a medieval court", one long-serving mandarin says. The Prime Minister's orders are easily lost or deliberately misplaced. Britain is governed less from the corridors of power as from the broom cupboards of inertia.

Gordon Brown tried to solve the problem, exerting maximum control over the operation, by installing himself at the centre of a vast, open-plan "war room". David Cameron, less bothered by detail than his predecessor, reversed the innovation, returning the seat of prime ministerial power to more private quarters.

Cameron's intense relaxedness about the technicalities of government is, many Tories concede, his greatest weakness. Many of his political successes are really the accomplished disentanglement from troubles caused by earlier inattention. The "veto" he wielded at a European summit last year was pure escapology. Chained to the pro-European Liberal Democrats, submersed in the shark-infested waters of Tory backbench rebellion, the clock ticking, how would he get out alive? Then - ta-da! - he emerged as the man who finally said "no" to Europe, winning applause from his party and a boost in opinion polls. As political theatre, it was compelling but, as policy, the "veto" failed. The City was not protected from Brussels regulation; Britain's influence over the future reform of European trade rules was diminished.

Busking from the floor

Perhaps Cameron had no better option but that is because he neglected to put in the diplomatic work, building the alliances that would have given him more room for manoeuvre. He still has to go to Brussels and win arguments over things that he has prematurely sold to the country as victories.

Twice last year, during the phone-hacking scandal and after the inner-city riots, Cameron's grip of the situation came under serious question. Both times, he rescued himself with virtuoso busking from the floor of the House of Commons. The Tories are glad that their leader acquits himself well in a crisis but it bothers some of them that he needs exam conditions to perform.

That trait becomes especially problematic when combined with the natural tendency of Whitehall to bury or ignore difficult policy. Getting anything done requires a clear and consistent application of prime ministerial focus. Nor does it help that Cameron's director of strategy, Steve Hilton, has an even shorter attention span than his boss. Hilton is notorious for whimsical and sometimes outlandish policy fixations - he is fond of declaring that "nothing is off the table". He has a reputation for throwing tantrums when his ideas are blocked or ignored, as they often are. There are Cabinet Office officials who consider avoiding the implementation of Hiltonian diktats central to their job description.

Cameron is hardly the first prime minister to encounter this problem. In his second term in office, Tony Blair created a Downing Street "delivery unit" to overcome frustration at pulling on the "rubber levers" of Whitehall, which appear to yield but shift nothing on the ground. In opposition, Cameron and his inner circle devoured Blair's memoirs, paying particular attention to the former PM's regret at having squandered the early years of government, when he still had sufficient political capital to get difficult things done.

Having imbibed that lesson, the Tory leadership took a strategic decision to launch multiple policy "revolutions" across a number of fronts simultaneously. Cabinet ministers were given free rein to indulge their most ardent reforming urges. Some have fared better than others.

By far the most advanced is Michael Gove's education reform. (There is no more diligent a disciple of Blair in British politics than the Education Secretary.) Senior Labour figures privately accept that he has been highly effective in pushing his academies and free schools programme and that it is largely irreversible.

By contrast, Kenneth Clarke's liberal "rehabilitation revolution" in penal policy has been shelved on orders from Downing Street, for fear that it presented the government as "soft on crime". Iain Duncan Smith's universal credit, advertised as a miracle cure for welfare dependency, will emerge in October 2013 as a tweaked version of the existing benefits system, with a few perverse anti-work incentives taken out and some new ones added.

Off the rails

The biggest upheaval of all is taking place in the one public service that Cameron promised to leave unmolested. A vast NHS re-organisation, barely understood by the public, hated by doctors, will cause endless disruption with no compensating improvement in care. Health policy is, in the words of one Tory insider, "a train that has left the rails and is now sliding across the landscape". It can deliver only havoc.

What Cameron and Hilton once envisaged as a heroic, revolutionary tide looks more like a disjointed series of policy experiments. Some will be finished, some abandoned, some will work, others will blow up in the government's face. The end result certainly won't look like a coherent project to refashion the state and empower the "big society", no matter how many times the Prime Minister calls it that.

Since he became leader of the Conservative Party, Cameron has struggled to explain why it is that he wants to be in politics, other than because that is an agreeable pursuit for a man of his background and presentational skills. His greatest achievement has been persuading people that those qualities, combined with boundless self-confidence, are the natural markers of leadership and governing competence, making him the obvious candidate to clear up a mess left by the previous government. For his next trick, he must persuade people that he is also the right man to clear up the mess created by his own unfinished and neglected revolutions.

27 comments

Luddite's picture

1% it was your now totally economically discredited pervious socialist government that failed miserably. Why don’t I explain to you what happened to the export led recovery? Explain to you why the makers have stopped marching. We haven’t. I don’t know anyone unemployed that doesn’t want to be, and neither do I know anyone facing redundancy most are working O/T most haven’t had a pay rise in yours that’s why must are doing O/T . Matthew fox: O/T that’s [over-time] working more hours than you are contracted to undertake that’s how millions make ends meet, after 13 years of your now totally economically discredited previous socialist government. I remember the 1980s well it started badly after a short period of a very unpopular Labour government, the winter of discontent and humiliation at the hands of the IMF. The electorates gave Maggie a landslide victory the unions political agitated against that democratic result but Maggie in spite of the difficulties and opposition persevered. Liberated the Argentinians form a brutal military dictatorship and brought the public finances back under control, helped President Reagan overcome the Evil Empire, saved Britain from political and economic stagnation and made friends thought-out the Arab world and beyond, but don’t get me wrong at the time I was going around screaming 'Maggie Maggie Maggie, Out! Out! Out! ...

matthew fox's picture

Inastew, still ignoring those bad trade deficits numbers?

Didn't you know that exports declined to those countries outside Europe.

Imports Up Exports Down, that was the narrative.

Indu Pendent's picture

Hmm. Who was responsible for running the last government and can the Colaition learn any lessons from this?

Before 2008 and the banking crisis, Labour borrowed but did not invest £350Bn. The money was used to grow the public sector to win votes and resulted in the biggest structural deficit for the UK. Our kids now have to repay the money.

So who was to blame? Was it Ed Balls who manipulated the Treasury forecasts to support more borrowing - which led to the OBR being set up? Was it Tony who ran the biggest vote winning spin machine since the Nazi's? Or was it Gordon who's greed for power was allowed to run free by the party?

The good news is that we can let the Scots buy us out and the money will go quite a long way to covering the massive increase in national debt left by the last government.

matthew fox's picture

Peter, when I become like Cloddite, swear, lie and write in caps, then you will be able to pass judgement.

People with glass arguments shouldn't throw stone, please remember that.

Is it a poor way of defending Cloddite, or aren't you prepared to sink that low?

matthew fox's picture

Yet another long winded no from Cloddite, he is in the zone today.

Let me remind you what Rachel Lomax, a former Deputy Governor of the BOE, said about Thatcherism Cloddite.

"When Prime Minister Thatcher said there was no alternative during her austerity programme in the Eighties it created long-term economic and social problems which took years to sort out."

Mrs Thatcher was a borrow, spend and tax Conservative, and sold off BP, the Trustee Savings Bank,BT and so on to fund tax cuts for the wealthy, and gullible Cloddite swallowed it hook line and sinker.

Is it a normal Friday night for you Cloddite, sleeping it off in a ditch?

postageincluded's picture

I do like the idea that the architecture of the PM's home determines the quality of our goverment. Our "broom-cupboards of inertia" contrast strongly with the arcane grandiosity of the French and American presidents governing from their palaces.

Wikipedia has a funny account (to me at least) of how Number 10 was pretty much rebuilt in the 60s. The original awkward internal plan was meticulously preserved - they even decided, once they'd taken years of grime off the brick-work of the facade, to paint the bricks black again, so as to preserve the icon. By the end of the decade the dry rot had recurred. You really couldn't invent a better analogy to the governance of the UK.

matthew fox's picture

Inastew more bad economic news, please keep up.

UK industrial output declined by more than estimated in November, with the output by mining, energy and manufacturing industries contracting during the month, data from the Office for National Statistics showed today.

On a monthly basis, industrial production dropped 0.6% in November after a revised 1% contraction in October.

Industrial production declined 3.1% in November. This was the biggest fall in production since December 2009, the statistics office said.

Indu Pendent's picture

@matt

So Miliband and (his boss) Balls up now support the coalitions public sector inspite of the the intense pressure from the unions. It shows how wrong they have been for the last 18 month and that that accept they were wrong.

Matt, is your friend Bob Crow wrong for critcising Labour's U turn on economic policy?

Indu Pendent's picture

@matt
Add 'cuts' after 'public sector.

Balls says priority is maximising job. Cutting wages and living standards is acceptable to do this. Do you know what has turned Balls Tory? Perhaps Milibandwagon has being saying this all along (i.e. for the last few weeks) and the Coalition are moving on to his ground?

PS very interested to hear of your support for Bob Crow (if you do)

Chuck Waster's picture

I find it both highly amusing and sadly revealing that you can read an interesting and informative article about modern British politics and then scroll down the page to find, what I presume to be, two adults pettily bickering over a difference in their views and accusing eachother of smelling bad.

Guys, if you want someone to pat you on the back for overly obviously expressing your views then do it on a forum which supports them, on here you both look like script reading 5 year olds.

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