A crisis has come, so it’s time for Cameron to bang on about Europe
The European crisis demands a fuller response than Cameron has given but he is cautious with good re
By Rafael Behr Published 15 September 2011
David Cameron doesn't like the European Union; he likes talking about it even less. He was an adviser in the last Tory government, which drank itself to death on a noxious, anti-Europe brew. He then saw the party hit the bottle in opposition, while voters looked on unimpressed. So when he became leader, Cameron ostentatiously poured the contents down the sink. There would, he declared, be no more "banging on about Europe".
Now, the sound of banging is back but it has a new tone and a new urgency. The crisis in the eurozone is potentially as dangerous as the one that engulfed the world's banks three years ago. EU institutions have failed to cope. The outcome will be the creation of new institutions or a messy unravelling of the single currency - or a combination both. Greece is bankrupt. Other eurozone members are in deep financial distress. Banks across Europe are exposed, holding piles of government debt, bought on the assumption of low risk, now revealed to be junk. European leaders have twice negotiated multibillion pound bailout packages, only to see them rejected by markets in the way that an upset stomach rejects food: a pause for attempted digestion, then a violent eruption.
The new Eurosceptics
The Prime Minister's response has been remarkably muted, given the gravity of the situation. One reason is coalition with the Liberal Democrats. Nick Clegg's attachment to continental Europe is deep. His political career was founded in Brussels; his mother is Dutch and his wife is Spanish. While senior Conservatives wearily roll their eyes at the thought of a meeting with Herman Van Rompuy, Clegg jabbers away with the Belgian president of the European Council in his native language.
For most Lib Dems, pro-Europeanism is a badge of cosmopolitan anti-nationalism more than it is a policy. It is, in that sense, the direct opposite of shire-Tory Euroscepticism. Coalition negotiations between the two parties on the subject were, however, relatively straightforward. The Lib Dems needed to show their members that they had symbolically spiked the Tories' anti-Brussels guns; the Conservatives were glad of the excuse to surrender a bellicose stance that they knew would be impractical in government.
The Tories dropped their manifesto pledge to "bring back" powers from Brussels. The Lib Dems accepted a "referendum lock" - a legal obligation to poll the nation in the event of more powers being ceded to the EU. It seemed like a neat compromise but it rested on the belief that no big European shake-up would come along to stir up the back benches. It was a reasonable assumption, but wrong.
On 12 September, around 100 Conservative backbenchers packed out the Thatcher Room in Portcullis House, parliament's modern annexe, to inaugurate a new Eurosceptic group. It was chaired by George Eustice, a former press chief for Cameron and one-time UK Independence Party member, alongside two fellow MPs. All three were new to parliament in 2010. Their aim is to rehabilitate Europe as a safe topic for Tory debate, decontaminating the sceptic brand, stripping out what one leading member calls "the obsession with referendums" - and developing a practical strategy for disentangling Britain from some of its EU obligations.
The group doesn't yet have a name but it does have a provisional licence from senior Tories in government ("after some sucking of teeth", according to one co-founder). On 10 September, the Foreign Secretary, William Hague, welcomed the move in an interview in The Times. The group also sees potential allies in Oliver Letwin, the powerful Cabinet Office minister, and Steve Hilton, Cameron's chief adviser. Both men are on a crusade against bureaucracy and are inclined to see the EU as an infidel redoubt.
The Prime Minister's views are vaguer. His distaste for the EU is instinctive but not passionate. One strategy to fire Cameron up, according to a leading Eurosceptic, is to persuade him that Brussels is impeding the "big society": "If one of his pet projects comes under attack, the red mist descends and he can become quite hawkish." For the time being, Cameron needs convincing that it is safe for Tories to focus on Europe without reinforcing spittle-flecked caricature. The 2010 intake of new MPs helps. Most are hostile to the EU - it is hard to get through constituency selection in any other stance - but theirs tends to be a more urbane, libertarian hostility. They resent Europe as a source of regulation and labour protection, not as some imagined conduit for colonisation by Germany. This is not a sign that the old fanaticism is fading. It has triumphed so thoroughly as to be integral and unobtrusive, an ideological watermark in the new generation. Pro-European Tories, meanwhile, are an endangered species. Ken Clarke, the Justice Minister, is their lonely flag-bearer in the cabinet. Most Conservatives see in the eurozone crisis an opportunity that is too good to be wasted.
Diplomatic hooliganism
The UK government has already accepted the logic that, if the single currency is to survive, its members must pursue much deeper political integration, swapping sovereignty for solvency. Even as a non-eurozone member, Britain would have to take a position in negotiations.
On 13 September, George Osborne warned the cabinet that a new EU treaty was on the cards. Tory MPs are bound to see that as an opportunity to begin the great repatriation of powers. They will be frustrated. It would be diplomatic hooliganism for Britain to hold a euro rescue hostage, demanding that old treaties be unpicked. Tory ministers know it, although they will blame the Lib Dems for tying their hands. That will test the discipline of the rebranded, sober Tory sceptics.
The new generation might be more sophisticated in their anti-Europeanism than their 1990s forbears but their patience has not been tested; nor has their tolerance of prime ministers who disappoint. The European crisis demands a fuller response than Cameron has given but he is cautious with good reason. He knows that Euroscepticism is a heady brew for the Tories. The party says it can handle the drink now. Perhaps it can - but the Prime Minister should be nervous at the sound of this particular cork popping.
Rafael Behr is chief political commentator of the New Statesman
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12 comments
Many voters see leaving Europe like hanging - they'd vote for it if only it didn't involve killing someone. Post biggotgate, the Tories are picking up votes by making noises about Europe which appeal to millions of voters, then not actually doing anything which appeals to millions more. Labors problem is its policies were aligned to yesterdays opinion polls and have unraveled -- is Labor currently pro or anti Europe or may be some where in the middle? What will they be at the next election? http://www.grantsforcollege101.com/
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"its about Coalition policy on Europe, which may well unravel soon"
Didnt Gordon change the world with biggotgate? Its no longer dirty sub-human to have a view on Europe. The closet Labour and Tory Euro sceptics (MPs and ordinary people) come out but no one pays any attention.
3 posts to a NSM Tory bashing blog confirms it - a boring non-issue and not the next illusive bandwagon for Ed "theoretically the leader" Milliband.
Given the Tory sceptics are a pointless single issue group with nothing to push against, they will evaporate quickly.
Many voters see leaving Europe like hanging - they'd vote for it if only it didnt involve killing someone. Post biggotgate, the Tories are picking up votes by making noises about Euorpe which appeal to millions of voters, then not actually doing anything which appeals to millions more.
Labours problem is its policies were aligned to yesterdays opinion polls and have unravelled -- is Labour currently pro or anti Europe or may be some where in the middle? What will they be at the next election?
Give the British people that long promised, but never granted referendum on Europe. Let the people decide.
Un-democratic, un-audited and bent: you can no longer see the PIIGS from the farmers.
Welll no matter how hard Ed keeps complaining about the Labour policies inherited by the Tories and the reforms, I'm afraid the economy is mostly out of our control. Ed doesn't have a viable plan or any policies and even if he did promise anything it wouldn't hold up. I agree with the coalition... it's a waiting game, prepare for the worse cos we're in for a bumpy ride.
only making a point that no matter who is in power will have to deal with the same issue and even though Ed can jump and shout about the economy ultimately its out of our hands, so theres no point in point fingers. Time to brace ourselves...
There's a dangerously xenophobic tone to your description of Clegg jabbering away in Flemish (or possibly Walloon) as if speaking a European language was a sign of lack of culture, rather than the other way round.
Don't be a little englander - we've got a fair few of those already.
'The crisis in the eurozone is potentially as dangerous as the one that engulfed the world's banks three years ago'
its the same one.
'The Prime Minister's response has been remarkably muted, given the gravity of the situation. One reason is coalition with the Liberal Democrats. Nick Clegg's attachment to continental Europe is deep'
really? that's the reason is it? Or could it be that right now adult politics is required and shouting 'told you so' isn't all that constructive.
'The UK government has already accepted the logic that, if the single currency is to survive, its members must pursue much deeper political integration, swapping sovereignty for solvency'
erm, the uk can't 'accept' this logic, it's just an extension of succesfully implementing a single currency- it's what needed to happen, and i belive osborne was the first brit mp to tell the europeans that they had to get on with this process- he actually made the point about the fiscal integration. Meanwhile, Balls was one newsnight slagging Osborne off because he wasn't, and i'm paraphrasing, Balls was saying that the euro crisis was partly Osborne's fault cos he wasn't getting on a plane to europe and telling the eurokok mp's how SERIOUS the situation was - yep, 6 ish weks ago that's what Balls was saying. Yup folks, that's what was going on, one man telling his European neighbours a hard truth that they probably didn't want to have to hear (some of them only beginning to realise that there is NO OTHER solution for them assuming keeping euro together, so Osborne telling hard fact which was't winning himself any favour, yet Balls on tellie spouting populist meaningless claptrap 'Osborne must tell them how SERIOUS the situation is'... implying of course that nones spotted it, the debt mess.
So right now Mr Behr, the politics we may see may be conducted more discreetly- Indeed the Uk will have some bargaining power. I can understand your panic that Cameron isn't being loud enough, after the last govt and it's disgraceful record on bargaining and negociation, i agree that we want to make sure our man dosen't miss an opportunity, but I don't think we should confuse grown up political negociation with failing to miss the issue. We have become so used to idiots like balls and their style, and the whole shout him down style stab him in the back , that uness a politician is doing this, we think they're not doing their job.
It will be veruy interesting to see how europe racts to Uk's demands. I wonder how long it will be before some of the euro area countries then copy britains demands to be freed od red tape (as economies plunge). If that does indeed happen, then osborne will have
1. come to power at 39 i immediately identified the danger of the debt and then acted, the worlf following 9 months later.
2. identified the nonsense in european contracts that previous morons signed us up to (Balls was there remember) and then acted, other european countries following 9 months later?
These things with the most difficult backdrop possible and a moron shadow chancellor largely responsible for the domestic mess tying the man's hands iwth exploitative populist nonsense taunts.
We need cool heads right now, the left has nothing to offer. Actually , not true. miliband speech was the first decent thing the left have done in a long long time. They will assasinate him for it.
@Stu
Huh? Where is Ed M even mentioned in this article - its about Coalition policy on Europe, which may well unravel soon.
But you have to keep banging the same old drum, don't you, like Cameron in PMQs?