How Dave hit the ground sprinting

David Cameron has adopted shock-and-awe tactics in his first 100 days as Prime Minister, going furth

On 11 May, David Cameron succeeded Gordon Brown as Prime Minister, taking the helm of the country's first coalition government since 1945 - not to mention being, at the age of 43, the youngest British leader since Lord Liverpool in 1812. On 18 August, Cameron will mark his first 100 days in office. Critics and supporters alike would agree that the new Prime Minister has presided over a frenetic few months. The much-mocked Tory election slogan "Vote for change" has been borne out: there has been change aplenty, change enough.

So, how should we judge Cameron's initial period in power? The notion of the "first 100 days" was pioneered as a measure of American presidential dynamism by Franklin Delano Roosevelt when he took office in 1933, in the midst of the Great Depression. It has since become a symbolic, if artificial, benchmark for assessing the early successes of a US president - successes personified by FDR himself, who pushed 15 major bills through Congress in his first 100 days.

“I do not see how any living soul can last physically going the pace that he is going," said Senator Hiram Johnson of FDR at the time, "and mentally any one of us would be a psychopathic case if we undertook to do what he is doing."

David Cameron, like FDR before him, understands that leaders have limited windows of opportunity to effect real change after winning elections and taking office - and Cameron did not even win an election. Nonetheless, ensconced inside No 10, with the support of Nick Clegg and the Liberal Democrats, he has moved at confident speed. The Queen's Speech on 25 May - which the Prime Minister accurately described as a "radical programme for a radical government" - unveiled 23 bills (and one draft bill) detailing ambitious plans for major reform of schools, welfare, the police and the political system. Every week brings another policy, proposal or white paper.

“Shock and awe, we should remember, is Cameron's style," says Professor Tim Bale, author of The Conservative Party: from Thatcher to Cameron. "It's exactly what he did when he became leader of the party in late 2005. The aim was - and is - to show people he's hit the ground not just running, but sprinting, to symbolise a big shift and show he's there to make a difference."

This, however, is as far as the comparison with Roosevelt goes. The latter's presidency rescued the United States from depression; Cameron's premiership risks sending Britain back into recession. While FDR used his first 100 days to extend the remit of the US federal government - boosting employment through public works, regulating banking and Wall Street, providing support for agriculture and labour - Cameron has used his to set about ­dismantling the British welfare system and rolling back the state; to make changes which, as he remarked in a speech on 7 June, "will affect our economy, our society - indeed, our whole way of life".

The Secretary of State for Education, Michael Gove, has hinted that profit-making companies will be allowed to run new "free schools" in England, set up by parents outside of local authority supervision. The Secretary of State for Health, Andrew Lansley, has set in motion the "denationalisation" of the National Health Service by handing over the budget for hospital care to family doctors, and encouraging hos­pitals to attract more private patients from home and abroad. The Secretary for Work and Pensions, Iain Duncan Smith, has launched an assault on the benefits system, including swingeing cuts to housing benefit that threaten to make hundreds of thousands of poor families homeless.

We cannot say we were not warned. In his speech to the Conservative party conference in October 2009, Cameron declared that his mission as prime minister would be to tear down so-called big government. The phrase "big government" appeared 14 times in that one speech, in which, studiously ignoring the role played by bankers in causing the worst financial crisis in living memory, he claimed: "It is more government that got us into this mess."

Despite appearances to the contrary, Cameron is less a Whiggish pragmatist than a radical, in the Margaret Thatcher mould. His combination of market-oriented reforms to the public sector and savage cuts to public spending - hailed by the investment bank Seymour Pierce as heralding a "golden age of outsourcing" - suggests that he is intent on completing the neoliberal, state-shrinking revolution that Thatcher began and which Tony Blair and Gordon Brown did little to reverse.

Cameron's right-wing instincts on the economy, however, have never been properly acknowledged by a press pack beguiled by his “rebranding" of the Conservative Party and distracted by his "progressive" stance on gender, sexuality and race issues, as well as his self-professed passion for civil liberties and the environment. In fact, for far too long, it has been fashionable for commentators on left and right either to belittle Cameron as a man of no substance, a spin merchant, a PR man, a "simulacrum" (to quote the former Tory MP George Walden, writing on these pages in June), or to praise and admire him as a pragmatist, a centrist, a "moderate" in the "One Nation" mould of Benjamin Disraeli and Harold Macmillan.

Disregard the rhetoric and image, and consider instead the record: in his first 100 days, Cameron has gone further than Thatcher - and much faster, too. His "modernising" ally and minister for the Cabinet Office, Francis Maude, has said that the Tories always planned to outstrip the Iron Lady.

“If you look at the last transitions of governments, and the way they came in, I would say one of the things that Thatcher regretted was not pushing ahead vigorously enough, and quickly enough, in terms of reform," Maude said. "The big reforming Thatcher governments were not until 1983 and 1987."

But the big, reforming Cameron government has arrived here and now. That the Prime Minister sits in coalition with Nick Clegg and the Liberal Democrats is irrelevant. The latter may be a centre-left party but it is, as Richard Grayson, vice-chair of the Lib Dems' Federal Policy Committee, has argued, "being led from the centre right". Clegg, like Cameron, has voiced his admiration for Thatcher and, in particular, for her victory over the trade unions in the 1980s. Meanwhile, the Liberal Democrat members of cabinet control none of the front-line, big-spending government departments. Cameron has filled the Treasury, the Foreign Office, the Home Office, the Ministry of Defence and the Department for Work and Pensions with Tories.

“I think Cameron has a huge advantage over Thatcher, in that, at least as far as the Conservative Party component of the coalition goes, he has for the most part got the people he wants in the posts he wants them in," says Bale. "She was much more constrained early on by the need to give jobs to big beasts she didn't agree with or thought were hopeless. There aren't too many of those in the cabinet now."

In his zeal to cut an already falling deficit and "balance the books", for example, Cameron and his Chancellor, George Osborne, have delivered £40bn of tax rises and public spending cuts on top of the £73bn target they inherited from Gordon Brown and Alistair Darling. In the US, cutting the deficit may be a medium-term challenge, but here in the UK, for the Cameron-led coalition, it has become an obsession - "the most urgent issue facing Britain", according to a letter sent by Cameron and Clegg to their cabinet colleagues on 2 August.

Inside the space of 50 days, and behind the cover of an "emergency" and "unavoidable" Budget, Cameron and Osborne have taken one of the biggest macroeconomic gambles of any prime minister and chancellor to have entered Downing Street.

Robert Skidelsky, the cross-bench peer and biographer of J M Keynes, tells me that the Budget was bold, but boldly wrong. "It assumes that determined fiscal tightening will restore confidence and produce a private-sector boom. I believe it will damage confidence and produce a double-dip recession ... Unless the policy is reversed, it will wreck the coalition, increase social conflict and damage the country."

But the Prime Minister, who has announced the deepest and fastest cuts in public spending in living memory, has claimed that his Budget will "protect the poor". The Institute for Fiscal Studies disagrees, describing the "overall impact" of Cameron's economic measures as "regressive" and calculating that his cuts will affect poorer households "significantly harder than richer households". This is the harsh Cameronomics of the coalition.

Next comes the Comprehensive Spending Review, in October, which will set out detailed plans to slash departmental spending by at least a quarter over the next five years. Such fiscal sadism is without precedent. Indeed, it is often forgotten that during Thatcher's premiership public spending grew in real terms by 1.1 per cent a year on average.

For now, Cameron's political honeymoon continues. His approval ratings are high, and the public seems to have accepted the need for "austerity". But what happens when voters start to feel the pinch? Commenting two days after the Budget, on 24 June, the pollster Peter Kellner rightly struck three cautionary notes: "First, the measures have been announced but not yet implemented; second, we do not yet know which specific public services will feel the pain of spending cuts; third, we don't yet know whether the economy will keep growing or slip back into recession." He added, ominously: "Public attitudes a year from now may be very different."

Tony Blair once denied that New Labour was "Mrs Thatcher with a smile instead of a handbag". It is difficult to conceive of a more apt description of David Cameron. Confident, charming, eloquent and telegenic, he has moved effortlessly from opposition into government. Whether it is standing beside Barack Obama in the White House, or berating Harriet Harman from the despatch box in the Commons, he exudes authority. And, in perhaps the high point of his first 100 days, his response to the Saville report on Bloody Sunday was rightly lauded by commentators from across the political spectrum. "For me, it was his People's Princess moment," says Bale, "a pitch-perfect statement that spoke for the country as a whole, irrespective of whether they'd voted for him or not."

Speaking for the "country as a whole" is one thing; governing in the national interest is quite another. It took Thatcher two years to hit her stride, with an austerity Budget in 1981 that led in fairly short order to widespread social discord, followed by public-sector strikes and a long, violent confrontation with the trade union movement. Cameron, by contrast, hasn't waited that long. His desire for cuts in his first three months in office has provoked the unions to begin preparing for national days of protest and co-ordinated industrial action against the government's spending review in October. Union leaders have promised "the biggest public mobilisation since the anti-poll-tax movement". That way riots beckon.

“In the 100 days from March to June [1933]," wrote the American journalist Walter Lippmann, in the wake of FDR's reforms, "we became again an organised nation, confident of our power to provide for our own security and to control our own destiny."

In August 2010, few observers of David Cameron's first 100 days, even in the Prime Minister's loyal inner circle, would make a comparable claim. But it cannot be said often enough: Cameron, like FDR, is a radical. For Roosevelt, his first 100 days were, in the words of the historian Arthur Schlesinger, "only the start of a process that ended by transforming American society". Without a proper mandate, with potentially appalling economic and social consequences, but with a smile on his face, David Cameron has begun a process to do the same to Britain.

42 comments

Arthur Williamson's picture

I hate to say it but David Cameron has played the game brilliantly. He has steamrollered reforms through, and Harriet Harman, despite being the current Labour Leader, has had virtually nothing to say about it. Her post budget speech was impressive but apart from that she has been rather noticeably quiet. I suspect Mrs Harman isn`t strong enough to be leader, and I suspect Mr Cameron knew this all along.

Thank goodness for Andy Burnham and Ed Balls. What with NHS reforms, Education reforms and the budget, those 2 really have been kicking up a stink. The worrying thing is, the Miliband brothers have been very quiet and it looks like one of them will be the next leader (I HOPE NOT).

Andrea's picture

It's important to point out that the cuts agenda is completely unnecessary. The way out of recession is to invest. The deficit, which is far from being the biggest the country has had, can be paid off with the profits of growth.

But at present, business isn't investing, which worsens the crisis. At such a time, to cut public spending and cut investment even more is the worst possible thing to do.

The correct response to the crisis therefore is "investment not cuts", a call that is gaining more and more support on the left.

The Thatcherites are basically trying to make the working class pay for the incompetence of the rich whom they represent. The rich caused the crisis, not us.

john's picture

Like most labour and socialists you have buried your head in the sand. Gordon Brown ruined pension funds and savings for those that wanted to save and look after themselves in retirement. Gordon Brown reduced the manufacturing sector in this country by not supporting it thereby losing jobs for its core voters.
Education has reached a new low with a high percentage of children leaving school unable to read write or add up despite millions of tax payers money gone into Education. Our Health Service has slip futher down the international table and you talk about the utopia of a Labour government. Blair as already pointed out is living the life of a very wealthy person he was not interested in sharing wealth from the rich to the poor he was only interested in creating wealth for himself and yes lets have another enquiry into Dr Kelly the lies and deception of the last 13 years has been a great insult to the British public.
I would love to hear your plans to turn around the economy what alternatives did the coalition government have ? Cable and other Labour supporters form the Lib Democrats have a strong influence on policy decisions so please do not forget that when slating the Prime Minister. As for the article itself what a complete load of rubbish.. a one sided analysis of the Colition Government led by David Cameron. Prime Minister David Cameron may not have reached the required majority to rule on his own but he did obtain the greatest share of the votes.

frances smith's picture

i think youre confusing speed and competence. he may well have done lots of things very quickly, but in a very short period of time they will be revealed to be the wrong things.

and yes, labour did mess up on the economy, but the cameron solution is even more bonkers.

what is it about cameron that makes me think of the charge of the light brigade?

john's picture

Time was not on our side we needed to take quick action to gain credibility with the money markets.
The Bank of England backed the government So many past governments have just sat and waited before making changes. The Labour goverment was going to make so many changes but in actual fact did not do a lot to help the poor or working man in the street. Sp i do not condem the new government for wanting to change things quickly and improve the finances of this country.I think it is a good thing to have a government come in and review situations and if broke make the necessary changes as outlined in their election manifesto. Once again Francis you have made a personal attack on one man namely David Cameron by calling him bonkers without submitting alternative solutions. Why are you constantly attacking David Cameron when he is leading a coalition government that has many socialist views amongst it cabinet. Rather unlike Gordon Brown ,David Cameron debates and discusses issues with his ministers.

Jeffrey's picture

The only thing in this entire article that I disagree with is the suggestion that any of this is a bad thing. Something tells me Mr. Hasan wouldn't be at all concerned about the "lack of a proper mandate" if his man-crush Gordon Brown were PM. Hilariously, the author is still trying to fight the bogeyman of Margaret Thatcher, just as the Left is still mired in the political thought of thirty years ago.

Nick's picture

It's good to see that I'm not the only one who objects to the ever increasing right wing gatecrashers who come on here with their almost automatic opposing views. Let's just hope they go away and try and ruin some other party!

I'm all for free speech but they rarely put up intelligent debate, their use of words is often personally derogatory and their argument almost non-intelligible. I occasionally have a look at a Tory or Liberal site to see what's being said but they'll never relate to my kind of thinking or indeed to the thoughts of many who provide very eloquent and constructive statements on here. so I refrain from making a contribution.

It doesn't apply to them all but you can usually tell a Tory by their first few words. So if you come on here please......some constructive debate please?

Andrea; I wholly endorse what you have to say, these cuts represent the most regressive step imaginable. What's more Cameron and Clegg must rethink their plans in the light of economic growth indicators.

Eric Priezkalns's picture

What a boring and mundane analysis of some of the most extraordinary political events that the UK has seen in a long time.

The beginning of this article starts with too many tedious asides: how old Cameron is; why we talk about the first 100 days in office; "...and Cameron did not even win an election. Nonetheless, ensconced inside No 10, with the support of Nick Clegg and the Liberal Democrats..." Come on! This is neither informative nor insightful. It does not matter if the reader is on the left or right. Everyone reading this article knows what happened in the election and immediately afterwards, so there is no need to repeat it.

But from a bad start, we go into a steep downhill dive thanks to the absurd comparison of FDR with Cameron. Criticize Cameron if you like, but using 1930's America as a basis for economic comparison is laughable. FDR did expand the state. In 1933 and the rest of the 30's, he raised US public expenditure to the low 20's as a % of GDP. UK public expenditure has not been that low since... well, the 1930's. The lowest Thatcher got was 34% of GDP in 1989. In 2000, at the peak of Brown's zealous pursuit of prudence, he came pretty close to matching Thatcher. Since 2000, public expenditure has pretty consistently grown as a % of GDP, and that growth accelerated due to the government's response to the world economic crisis. So comparing FDR's expansion of the state to Cameron's cuts is as meaningful a form of economic analysis as comparing Raul Castro's recent liberalization of tiny parts of the Cuban economy to the People's Budget of David Lloyd George. You cannot judge by direction of change in isolation, or else you'd be forced to conclude that Cameron is closer to Castro than to FDR!

And towards the end of this article, we get another painful mangling of history, with Thatcher apparently taking two years before her austerity budget prompted public sector strikes. The implication is that the only difference between Cameron and Thatcher is that Thatcher was slow to act. So why not step back a few years earlier, and compare Cameron to Callaghan? Callaghan justified his economic policies by saying they were needed to fix an economic mess. Those policies prompted public sector strikes. The only reason not to compare Callaghan to Cameron is because it would not fit the rhetorical goals of the article. In particular, it does not fit the rhetorical question which is asked: "but what happens when voters start to feel the pinch?" Well, in Callaghan's case, he lost an election. In Thatcher's case, she won. Taken to its conclusion, using an analogy between Cameron and Thatcher leads somewhere you do not want to go - that the success or failure of Cameron's 'gamble' with the economy is not a decisive factor that will determine if he is a political success.

terence patrick hewett1's picture

if you really wish to know what the av,. labour voter thinks: go to the Tribune.

Nick's picture

Quite why NS is attracting so many Tory supporters god only knows; they simply don't belong here and should go and promote the imposition of economically and socially damaging cuts elsewhere.

To those who think cutting is so good have yet to be stabbed by the knife. I presume those that advocate cuts of the scale proposed by lunatics Cameron and Clegg are in good health, have ample savings, possess a good pension provision, are safe from ever being a victim of crime, enjoy job security for life and have no children in need of a decent education. If not, may I suggest they fall of their pedestal and take a reality check as to what awaits them just around the corner?

Dave may have hit the ground sprinting but it's nothing compared with the pace he'll need to find when fleeing the angry crowds who will become victims of all he thoughtlessly proposed in the interests of power with his bedfellow Clegg.

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