Return to: Home | Politics | UK Politics

Tactical Briefing

Jesse Armstrong

Published 15 May 2008

From: The Unit To: GB Subject: In-depth polling

So, pretty good week, up to a point. Apologies for the somewhat negative tone of last week's memo. What we all need to remember is that we still have two years to turn things round. Two years is a long time. Certainly from where we're sitting, planning media strategy for you and the government, two years feels like an enormously long period of time. That's nearly 800 days' worth of newspapers to be filled with comment and analysis of your performance.

It's exciting. In some ways, too exciting to think about all at once. The fun of presenting you week in, week out for two years.

The excitement has certainly been getting to some of the team here. We lost another two on Thursday. But really don't think we need to read anything into the haemorrhaging of staff. There's a healthy pile of CVs coming in. Including a guy who's worked on ideas for children's TV shows (although never in a paid role) and a woman who did some work experience on Andrew Neil's programme and said she would be willing to join the party if we compensated her salary to a commensurate figure.

Anyway, in other developments, we've finally got the results through from the private polling we've been conducting. We really weren't sure about sending it through. Particularly during the period when you were eating only Cullen skink soup and communicating with us and your senior staff entirely via Post-it notes stuck to the empty tins.

But now you seem to be back on top of your game and Damian says you talked to him on Thursday, so here are the results we've pulled in:

The headline was that the Tories have a 20-point lead. However, it's not all doom and gloom. When we asked respondents how they would vote if we changed all our policies and appointed an entirely new cabinet, but you still remained in place, it resulted in a statistically insignificant but still very healthy 3-4 per cent poll bump. Food for thought?!

In ratings for the leaders head-to-head you obviously came last. But the disappointing news was that your support has dropped below that of a notional fourth-party "charismatic authoritarian" candidate. There is no positive angle we can think of to this piece of information.

As far as personal values went, Cameron was rated higher than you in terms of presentational abilities, competence and concern about poverty. There was a slight shift to us when we followed up the poverty question with the additional query: "Seriously? No kidding? Cameron? On poverty? Better than Brown? Gordon Brown. From Scotland. Cameron's better? From Eton and corporate PR? No shit? You seriously actually think that?" But there was a certain amount of feeling that the additional question may have had some inadvertent bias built in.

Let us know your thoughts.

Post this article to

  • Digg
  • del.icio.us
  • newsvine
  • Reddit

1 comment from readers

johannine
17 May 2008 at 10:44

''IF we changed all our policies and appointed an entirely new cabinet, but you still remained in place, it resulted in a statistically insignificant but still very healthy 3-4 per cent poll bump.

Food for thought?!'''

Yeah sure is [i think the people know policy can not be expected to be acted on , its just to get re-elected , policy cant ever replace acting WHILE STILL IN POWER

[by their deeds will we know them [not your 'promises [read policy].

People know policy is spin run past the spin meister that polls well

[all the good policy in the world is no good when its only a non core promise wether spun before election or after losing

[after 3 terms we just know its pure spin

[according to the sky is falling teaching/ theory]

Govt has two years [to by their deeds , to win back the people

[look at what swartsnegger did in less time , but not by policy or promises but by acting [doing] while he still had believability and power ,

ie put the runs on the board while your still in the game

Ask the howard liberals how good their neo [new] policy is believed now

[act while still in govt ''the Tories have a 20-point lead'' because they sound better than what clearly is only self serving isnt working for anyone but the elites Right NOW.

Think when not in power you need money [big buisness ] to get elected ,

but to get re-elected you need votes ,[ie the poor hold more votes ,] ,

you need votes more than more big buisness buisness you need VOTES more than the tory elites who lobby for big buisness intrests you have been serving so far [too far]

,

who are only too pleased to get 'their' guys back in with spin meister voter polling they can sell to the poor [by giving them faulse hope ,but suck in the voters by simple promises [hah] policy.

[BUT THAT WONT DO IT FOR YOU WHO COULD DO REAL CHANGES NOW]

ARNOLD turned it arround ,

only by neo labour doing the same can you expect to be believable ,

power is terrible when its lost by obeying those only wanting fresh new blood ,because the old blood went stale trying to serve two masters

Post your comment

Please note: you will need to login or register before you can comment on the website

Also by Jesse Armstrong

Read More

Vote!

Should we build new nuclear power plants?

Suggest a question

View comments

© New Statesman 1913 – 2009

Tracker