Scottish First Minister could make way for his deputy Nicola Sturgeon if independence is rejected.
The onslaught against the Yes side by big business and the Treasury has not had the success many expected.
In the fortnight in which one of Franklin’s lost ships was found in the Canadian arctic, and Scotland – like Quebec before it – is voting on independence, the parallels between the UK and Canada have never been stronger.
Alex Salmond will lose – perhaps by as much as a 55-45 margin – but lose well, an outcome that will satisfy an overwhelming majority of Scots and the one, I suspect, that Salmond himself favours.
Mike Smithson, founder of politicalbetting.com, has taken advantage of fluctuating odds – backing both sides at different points when the odds have lengthened – to lock in a profit.
The First Minister says he won't stage another vote. But could someone else?
The poll cited by the nationalists would leave Labour as the largest party.
If it’s a narrow No, the campaign for a second Scottish independence referendum will begin on Friday 19 September.
How many undecided voters are there? Different polling methods pick up different results.
The Yes side continues to lead among men by eight points, but trails among women by 16.