So long as Miliband retains the support of around 20% of 2010 Lib Dem voters, the Tories have no hope of victory.
The Labour leader appears determined to avoid the challenge of fixing state services without spending more money on them.
The danger for Miliband is that his "cost-of-living" attack will be blunted as the economic recovery accelerates. Labour must offer a bigger vision.
How Labour plans to meet its target of 200,000 new homes a year by 2020, including "use it or lose it" powers to tackle land hoarding and a "right to grow" for councils.
The shadow London minister says the capital needs 800,000 new houses and criticises Labour's London mayoral "beauty parade".
We should be celebrating, not berating, the role parents play in the workforce and in society.
Having threatened to resign from the last Labour government over the project, Miliband is now merely "sceptical".
Miliband is running out of time to inspire people with more than just a feeling that he has noticed how expensive life has become.
The shadow London minister tells the New Statesman: "I’ve got no interest in being involved in a beauty parade" and accuses Labour's mayoral hopefuls of "playing ego politics."
The shadow chancellor enjoyed a better day in the House as he pinned down Danny Alexander on living standards.